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[Volkov Yuriy]

Murray's level analysis from 15 January 2026

BTCUSD: BUY 94500, S/L 912000, TP 97000

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Four-hour BTC/USD chart. The price broke through the level (+2/8) and we saw another redrawing of Murray levels. Currently, the price is near the reversal level (7/8). We see a pullback forming from the weekly supertrend line. Against this backdrop, we expect the price to decline to the four-hour supertrend line.

Trading decision: BUY 94500, S/L 912000, TP 97000

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Silver +144% in 2025 and another +28.7% in 2026



FreshForex analysts note that in 2026, the key benchmarks for silver (XAGUSD) will remain Fed decisions, movements in the US dollar and real yields, the supply–demand balance, and investor flows into metals.

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Demand for silver (XAGUSD) is picking up — here’s what’s behind its growth:

• The Fed may cut rates → holding funds in bonds and deposits becomes less attractive, increasing interest in metals.
• The dollar is weakening → silver priced in dollars usually becomes more expensive.
• Markets are nervous → investors more often buy “safe-haven” assets, including silver.
• Silver is essential for industry (electronics, solar panels) → industrial demand supports prices.
• Speculators and funds are stepping in → as prices rise, new buyers enter the market, strengthening the trend.

Silver (XAGUSD) is supported by two factors at once — safe-haven demand and industrial consumption — which is why silver may grow faster than gold.

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Market Fundamental Analysis for January 16, 2026 EURUSD

Event to pay attention to today:

16:15 EET. USD - Industrial Production Volume Change

EURUSD:

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EUR/USD on Friday, January 16, 2026, is trading near 1.1610, but the single currency’s position remains fragile. The US dollar is supported by strong US data and fading expectations of near-term policy easing: the market is increasingly pricing in a longer period of high rates, which keeps demand for the dollar steady from investors and companies hedging currency risks.

The backdrop for the euro is mixed. The European Central Bank emphasizes its readiness to keep rates at current levels as long as inflation stays close to target and no new shocks emerge. At the same time, a stronger dollar and competition in external markets weigh on the region’s export outlook, while talk of possible turbulence in global markets periodically brings back interest in the dollar as a safe-haven currency.

Over the day, the key driver remains US releases and commentary: any signs that inflation pressure is holding up will work against EUR/USD. The euro could find support if euro area data improves confidence in sustainable growth, but in the base case market participants remain inclined to hold dollars, increasing the likelihood of a moderate decline in the pair.

Trading recommendation: SELL 1.1615, SL 1.1635, TP 1.1525

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Winter target: gold $5,000 and silver $100

FreshForex analysts emphasize: the winter targets of $5,000 for gold (XAUUSD) and $100 for silver (XAGUSD) already look achievable: quotes have closely approached key psychological levels. As of January 21, 2026, gold is holding above $4,850, and on January 20, silver set a new record, rising to $96.

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5 reasons why the market could reach $5,000 and $100 this winter:

1. The Fed is easing → rates may fall → metals will become more profitable in an investor's portfolio.

2. The dollar is weakening → gold and silver are rising amid currency pressure.

3. Markets are uneasy → investors are moving to safe havens amid rising uncertainty.

4. Silver is catching up with gold → silver often rises faster during periods of strong momentum.

5. Industrial demand is growing → silver is supported by technology and energy.

Gold (XAUUSD) is being used as a safe haven, while silver (XAGUSD) is further supporting industrial demand, hence the potential for faster growth.

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Elliott wave analysis of the market for January 22, 2026 BTCUSD

BTCUSD: BUY 90500, SL 89500, TP 92000.




As expected, Bitcoin continued to remain under serious pressure from sellers. Rare attempts to rectify the situation yielded no results, and the price ended up falling below the previous trading day's level.

Immediately after that, buyers made another attempt, the results of which we can now observe. The price is rising slightly, and everything looks quite good for buyers. The price may well form at least a zigzag upward, at most moving above the maximum of wave 5, which previously formed the initial diagonal triangle.

In this regard, it is worth considering the possibility of concluding purchase transactions at current market values.

Investment idea: BUY 90500, SL 89500, TP 92000.

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Market Fundamental Analysis for January 23, 2026 EURUSD

Event to pay attention to today:

11:00 EET. EUR - Business Activity Index in the Services Sector

16:45 EET. USD - PMI Index for the Services Sector

EURUSD:

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The EURUSD pair shows moderate strengthening of the euro against the US dollar, reflecting the weakness of the American currency amid expectations of key macroeconomic data from the United States. Investors remain cautious while assessing growth prospects and inflation dynamics, which reduces demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset. Additional support for the euro comes from relative stability in the eurozone’s economic indicators and the absence of new negative signals from European regulators.

Fundamental pressure on the US dollar is increasing due to expectations of possible monetary policy easing in the United States in the medium term. Market participants are pricing in a slowdown in economic activity, which limits the potential for dollar appreciation. Against this backdrop, the euro appears more resilient, especially given that the European Central Bank has recently shown no urgency to adjust its policy stance.

At the same time, the pair remains sensitive to incoming US economic data. Stronger-than-expected indicators of economic activity or inflation could temporarily support the dollar and trigger a correction in EURUSD. In the base scenario, the balance of risks remains tilted in favor of the euro, allowing for further upward movement of the pair within the current fundamental environment.

Trading recommendation: BUY 1.1750, SL 1.1710, TP 1.1830

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Market Fundamental Analysis for January 26, 2026 GBPUSD

Event to watch today:

15:30 EET. USD - Change in orders for durable goods

GBPUSD:



GBP/USD is trading around 1.3660, holding on to the recent pound recovery. The pair is supported by a weaker dollar amid rising uncertainty in the US and increased focus on central-bank decisions this week. Another factor is the jump in demand for the yen on expectations of possible action by Japanese authorities, which adds pressure to the dollar more broadly.

In the UK, market participants are reassessing the latest macro data: steadier consumer demand and signs that inflation pressure has not fully faded reduce the likelihood of a quick rate cut by the Bank of England. This helps the pound look more stable than some peers, especially as investors are more cautious on US dollar risks and reassess the US rate path.

From the US side, the main drivers remain the Fed’s signals and inflation and activity figures. If the regulator confirms a measured approach and avoids tightening financial conditions too abruptly, the dollar may remain under pressure, supporting further gains in GBP/USD. At the same time, an unexpected rise in US inflation could revive demand for the dollar and increase volatility.

Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3665, SL 1.3615, TP 1.3815

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Weekly review: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | 30 January 2026​

XAUUSD: BUY 5095.50, SL 5045.50, TP 5245.50​




Gold enters the week at all-time highs: XAUUSD is holding near $5 095.45 per ounce and is testing the area above $5 100. Demand is fueled by geopolitical and trade risks, as well as a softer dollar. Additional support comes from central-bank buying and inflows into gold-backed funds; physical bar purchases are also increasing.

The key driver this week is the Federal Reserve meeting on January 27–28. A rate pause is widely expected, but comments about the next steps and the inflation outlook can quickly shift sentiment and the dollar. While uncertainty remains, interest in safe-haven assets stays strong, and pullbacks are often bought.

Trading recommendation: BUY 5095.50, SL 5045.50, TP 5245.50


#SP500: BUY 6916, SL 6840, TP 7144​




The S&P 500 starts the week around 6 916 points amid high sensitivity to U.S. news. Investors are watching the Fed decision on January 28 and a series of major corporate reports that shape expectations for profits. If management guidance confirms steady demand and investment activity, the index may keep a positive tone.

Risks for the market include potentially stricter signals from the Fed about the pace of inflation improvement and political statements on tariffs that raise uncertainty for businesses. Economic data and bond yields will also matter: a rise in yields often cools interest in equities. If the week is calm, demand for risk assets may recover.

Trading recommendation: BUY 6916, SL 6840, TP 7144


#BRENT: SELL 65.00, SL 66.30, TP 61.10​




Brent is trading near $65.01 per barrel: prices are supported by U.S. production disruptions from winter storms and tensions around the Middle East. However, gains are capped by expectations of higher supply in 2026 and cautious demand estimates, so the market reacts sharply to news on inventories and shipments.

This week, focus is on U.S. oil stock statistics and signals from OPEC+ ahead of upcoming quota discussions. If reports confirm rising inventories or producers show readiness to increase output, pressure on Brent will intensify. The Fed decision also matters: a stronger dollar after the meeting often weighs on commodities and supports a scenario of moderate price declines.

Trading recommendation: SELL 65.00, SL 66.30, TP 61.10


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[Volkov Yuriy]

Gold (XAUUSD) Breaks Above $5,400

On January 21, FreshForex analysts had already pointed to a potential rise in gold. On January 28, 2026, gold (XAUUSD) confidently cleared another milestone for the first time, breaking above $5,400 per ounce and setting fresh all-time highs amid strong demand for safe-haven assets. The rally continued on January 29, with prices approaching $5,600, underscoring that the market is not treating this move as a one-off spike, but rather as a repricing of global “risk costs.” Demand for defensive assets is back in the spotlight, and in this environment the “yellow metal” often becomes the simple, widely understood refuge that capital flows into when confidence in the near future fades.

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5 drivers behind gold’s further upside:

1.Geopolitical tensions and escalation risk: Any intensification of conflicts, sanctions pressure, or threats of crises expanding typically increases demand for gold as a universal safe-haven asset. The higher the uncertainty, the larger the “safety premium” embedded in the metal’s price
2. The U.S. dollar trend and confidence in fiat currencies: When the dollar weakens, gold often finds support—it becomes more affordable for buyers in other currency zones and serves as a way to preserve purchasing power during FX volatility
3. Interest-rate and inflation expectations: What matters for gold is real financing conditions—the relationship between rates and inflation. If markets expect easier monetary policy or persistently high inflation, gold tends to look more attractive because the alternative yield on conservative instruments appears less compelling
4. Fundamental risks: debt, deficits, fiscal sustainability: Rising debt burdens and growing discussion of fiscal risks increase demand for assets that are not tied to government or financial-sector liabilities. In such periods, gold is often perceived as “insurance” against systemic imbalances
5. Structural demand from central banks: When central banks increase gold’s share in reserves, it creates a more stable base of demand. This factor often softens pullbacks and supports the broader trend, especially amid geopolitical and currency risks

The break above $5,400 strengthened the bullish narrative for XAUUSD — markets are pricing in a higher geopolitical premium and deeper fundamental risks (currency, debt, and interest-rate policy). As long as geopolitical risks persist, rate uncertainty remains elevated, and questions linger over the debt sustainability of major economies, gold may stay among the priority instruments for diversification and capital protection. And once again, we remind you: read high-quality analysis from FreshForex and earn!

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Weekly review: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | 6 February 2026​

XAUUSD: BUY 4630.60, SL 4625.60, TP 5080.60​

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Gold starts the week after a sell-off: higher margin requirements on the exchange and a stronger US dollar prompted some players to close positions. XAUUSD is around 4630.60 per ounce; analysts link the pressure to strong US data and news related to the Fed’s leadership.

The focus is on US statistics and the regulator’s comments; meanwhile, the January employment report may be postponed due to a partial government shutdown. Central bank buying and forecasts from a number of banks for gold in 2026 support interest in buying dips.

Trading recommendation: BUY 4630.60, SL 4625.60, TP 5080.60

#SP500: BUY 6988, SL 6978, TP 7288​



The S&P 500 starts the week at record levels: the index is around 6,988 points thanks to strong earnings expectations and demand for companies linked to artificial intelligence. Improving US manufacturing activity also provides support.

Key events include major tech companies’ reports and budget headlines: the US Congress is discussing ending the partial government shutdown, which could delay the January employment report. In a calm environment, the rally may continue, but surprises could quickly increase volatility.

Trading recommendation: BUY 6988, SL 6978, TP 7288

#BRENT: SELL 66.30, SL 66.80, TP 60.00​



Brent remains under pressure, trading around 66.30 per barrel after signals that US–Iran talks may resume, easing concerns about supply disruptions. A stronger US dollar is also weighing on commodities.

This week, the market will assess the supply-and-demand balance: news reports note that OPEC+ has decided not to change production levels at least until March. If tensions do not intensify and expectations of rising inventories are confirmed, pressure on prices may persist.

Trading recommendation: SELL 66.30, SL 66.80, TP 60.00

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