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[Volkov Yuriy]

Murray's level analysis from 15 January 2026

BTCUSD: BUY 94500, S/L 912000, TP 97000

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Four-hour BTC/USD chart. The price broke through the level (+2/8) and we saw another redrawing of Murray levels. Currently, the price is near the reversal level (7/8). We see a pullback forming from the weekly supertrend line. Against this backdrop, we expect the price to decline to the four-hour supertrend line.

Trading decision: BUY 94500, S/L 912000, TP 97000

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Silver +144% in 2025 and another +28.7% in 2026



FreshForex analysts note that in 2026, the key benchmarks for silver (XAGUSD) will remain Fed decisions, movements in the US dollar and real yields, the supply–demand balance, and investor flows into metals.

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Demand for silver (XAGUSD) is picking up — here’s what’s behind its growth:

• The Fed may cut rates → holding funds in bonds and deposits becomes less attractive, increasing interest in metals.
• The dollar is weakening → silver priced in dollars usually becomes more expensive.
• Markets are nervous → investors more often buy “safe-haven” assets, including silver.
• Silver is essential for industry (electronics, solar panels) → industrial demand supports prices.
• Speculators and funds are stepping in → as prices rise, new buyers enter the market, strengthening the trend.

Silver (XAGUSD) is supported by two factors at once — safe-haven demand and industrial consumption — which is why silver may grow faster than gold.

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Market Fundamental Analysis for January 16, 2026 EURUSD

Event to pay attention to today:

16:15 EET. USD - Industrial Production Volume Change

EURUSD:

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EUR/USD on Friday, January 16, 2026, is trading near 1.1610, but the single currency’s position remains fragile. The US dollar is supported by strong US data and fading expectations of near-term policy easing: the market is increasingly pricing in a longer period of high rates, which keeps demand for the dollar steady from investors and companies hedging currency risks.

The backdrop for the euro is mixed. The European Central Bank emphasizes its readiness to keep rates at current levels as long as inflation stays close to target and no new shocks emerge. At the same time, a stronger dollar and competition in external markets weigh on the region’s export outlook, while talk of possible turbulence in global markets periodically brings back interest in the dollar as a safe-haven currency.

Over the day, the key driver remains US releases and commentary: any signs that inflation pressure is holding up will work against EUR/USD. The euro could find support if euro area data improves confidence in sustainable growth, but in the base case market participants remain inclined to hold dollars, increasing the likelihood of a moderate decline in the pair.

Trading recommendation: SELL 1.1615, SL 1.1635, TP 1.1525

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Winter target: gold $5,000 and silver $100

FreshForex analysts emphasize: the winter targets of $5,000 for gold (XAUUSD) and $100 for silver (XAGUSD) already look achievable: quotes have closely approached key psychological levels. As of January 21, 2026, gold is holding above $4,850, and on January 20, silver set a new record, rising to $96.

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5 reasons why the market could reach $5,000 and $100 this winter:

1. The Fed is easing → rates may fall → metals will become more profitable in an investor's portfolio.

2. The dollar is weakening → gold and silver are rising amid currency pressure.

3. Markets are uneasy → investors are moving to safe havens amid rising uncertainty.

4. Silver is catching up with gold → silver often rises faster during periods of strong momentum.

5. Industrial demand is growing → silver is supported by technology and energy.

Gold (XAUUSD) is being used as a safe haven, while silver (XAGUSD) is further supporting industrial demand, hence the potential for faster growth.

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Elliott wave analysis of the market for January 22, 2026 BTCUSD

BTCUSD: BUY 90500, SL 89500, TP 92000.




As expected, Bitcoin continued to remain under serious pressure from sellers. Rare attempts to rectify the situation yielded no results, and the price ended up falling below the previous trading day's level.

Immediately after that, buyers made another attempt, the results of which we can now observe. The price is rising slightly, and everything looks quite good for buyers. The price may well form at least a zigzag upward, at most moving above the maximum of wave 5, which previously formed the initial diagonal triangle.

In this regard, it is worth considering the possibility of concluding purchase transactions at current market values.

Investment idea: BUY 90500, SL 89500, TP 92000.

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Market Fundamental Analysis for January 23, 2026 EURUSD

Event to pay attention to today:

11:00 EET. EUR - Business Activity Index in the Services Sector

16:45 EET. USD - PMI Index for the Services Sector

EURUSD:

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The EURUSD pair shows moderate strengthening of the euro against the US dollar, reflecting the weakness of the American currency amid expectations of key macroeconomic data from the United States. Investors remain cautious while assessing growth prospects and inflation dynamics, which reduces demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset. Additional support for the euro comes from relative stability in the eurozone’s economic indicators and the absence of new negative signals from European regulators.

Fundamental pressure on the US dollar is increasing due to expectations of possible monetary policy easing in the United States in the medium term. Market participants are pricing in a slowdown in economic activity, which limits the potential for dollar appreciation. Against this backdrop, the euro appears more resilient, especially given that the European Central Bank has recently shown no urgency to adjust its policy stance.

At the same time, the pair remains sensitive to incoming US economic data. Stronger-than-expected indicators of economic activity or inflation could temporarily support the dollar and trigger a correction in EURUSD. In the base scenario, the balance of risks remains tilted in favor of the euro, allowing for further upward movement of the pair within the current fundamental environment.

Trading recommendation: BUY 1.1750, SL 1.1710, TP 1.1830

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