Spain Weighs On Global Markets
US markets closed down after worries about Spain continued to flourish. After positive earnings reports all week, markets slumped on Friday. This morning Asian markets are tumbling following Wall Street's lead. Global markets are not in such a positive mood this Monday morning, and the catalysts behind this mood swing are fairly thin but rooted in intensifying concerns about funding pressures affecting stressed European sovereign credits and China’s persistent bias in favor of tight property lending conditions.
Currency markets are reinforcing the negative mood with almost all of the major crosses pushing lower against the USD except for the yen. The commodities complex is also correcting lower with oil and gold off and mixed performances being put in across the metals and agricultural commodities. Spain’s funding costs are getting are surging with the 10 year note back up above 7% at the time of writing.
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UPCOMING EVENTS :
2012-07-23 07:00 GMT | Switzerland - Monthly Statistical Bulletin (Jul)
2012-07-23 12:30 GMT | US - Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun)
2012-07-23 14:00 GMT | EMU - Consumer Confidence (Jul)
2012-07-24 02:30 GMT | China - HSBC Manufacturing PMI (Jul)
FOREX NEWS :
2012-07-23 04:42 GMT | GBP/USD down 0.3%, support at 1.5550
2012-07-23 04:22 GMT | EUR/USD trading at fresh 2-year lows above 1.2100
2012-07-23 03:54 GMT | GBP/JPY hits fresh 6-week low sub-122.00
2012-07-23 03:45 GMT | EUR/JPY drops below 95.00, MoF watching closely
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EURUSD : 1.20996 / 1.21001
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY
1.2216 | 1.2159 | 1.2136
1.2080 | 1.2026 | 1.1969
SUMMARY : Down
TREND : Down trend
MA10 : Bearish
MA20 : Bearish
STOCHASTIC : Oversold
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
Technicals are bearish- 1.22 is key psychological level to watch as movement declines from congestion near 1.2150. Price is currently holding at 1.2113, with strong resistance at 1.2100. Short term and long signals are all aligned with strong sell signals. Our outlook remains bearish. MA's are all in the red, Stochastic is reading sell and MACD and ADX support the bearish bias. The question is how far can the euro fall? 1.21 is going to be a difficult number to break through. There is a strong chance that the pair will be rangebound between the 1.21 to 1.22 level today.
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GBPUSD : 1.55666 / 1.55672
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY
1.5694 | 1.5653 | 1.5616
1.5552 | 1.5515 | 1.5480
SUMMARY : Neutral
TREND : Up trend
MA10 : Bearish
MA20 : Bearish
STOCHASTIC : Overbought
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
Technicals remain neutral - unable to breach 200 day MA 1.5751 suggests limited upside potential; with downside support is at 50 day MA 1.5622 which was shattered in early trading. The pair just fell right through the support line and continued to decline. This does not change our outlook for today, we remain neutral. Short term signals are reading bearish, but when we move out to near term and long term, signals are mixed and confused.
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USDJPY : 78.067 / 78.069
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY
78.810 | 78.605 | 78.425
77.985 | 77.800 | 77.645
SUMMARY : Down
TREND : Down trend
MA10 : Bearish
MA20 : Bearish
STOCHASTIC : Oversold
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
Technicals are bearish with RSI at 38 indicates potential for continued decline. Congestion at 78.20 - 78.00 is likely, with significant support expected at 78.00. If the pair breach the 78.00 then a run to 77.15 is likely. Short term and long term are all in the red and our bias is bullish. The pair at this writing is close to the 78.15 mark, keep an eye on the 78.00, it will tell the story.
Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd, (http://www.fxcc.com)