Ramirez wrote:Hi Guys,
I need your advice and experience in the eur/chf setup, I posted on Friday.
I made 110 Pips, but I'm pretty sure that I could have made many pips more, if had found a better exit point.
Actually I wanted exit the trade after bouncing away from the blue 4 hour trendline. But as I saw the steam and power
which the 1hour bar had, I decided to stay in and to try a breakout (what I actually don't do anymore).
What happened next? The breakout came and went down 7 pips above the yellow daily trendline. In hindsight I think, that was the point to exit.
Instead to exit, I waited for a touch of the trendline (cause I hoped for a another breakout of the yellow daily trendline) and missed to go out. Within a couple of secs the bar went up again above the blue trendline, and then I closed the trade.
How could I have traded this trade better.
I appreciate any help and advice.
Greetings Ramirez
Hi Ramirez,
Actually the situation you have encountered is what we all encounter everyday and I guess one of the greatest difficulties we all face is not so much to do with the entry but WHEN TO EXIT. Sure, you may have set your profit targets way below or above (...geezz, we all want big profits dont we?) and the price is not even near to that yet and now there is a an OPPOSING TRENDLINE or HORIZONTAL SUPPORT and RESISTANCE level that the price has to break in order to continue moving towards your profit target (your exit). If it does then that is absolutely fantastic. But then the question is: what if it doesn't? What if price bounces back from the opposing trendine or horizontal support and resistance levels? Then you see your big profits getting eaten right before your eyes and you just cant sit still in your chair!
The best way to avoid this is to have a plan (a system) to follow that tells you exactly what you are to do when such situations happens to save yourself from stressing out too much
AND...here are some techniques to help you:
(1) if you are in a short (sell) order, just wait for the candle that bounces off from the trendline to close. Then watch the next candlestick to form to see if it will break the high of this "bounce" candlestick or not? If it does, then wait for this candlestick to close. Once it closes, move your stop loss and place it some few pips above the high of that candlestick that broke the high of the bounce candlestick. How many pips above should you place it? Your choice...2-3 or 5?
(2)You need to understand something about reversal candlesticks...if you see that the bounce candle is a very strong reversal candlestick pattern, you better start thinking about
(a)moving your stop loss tighter as in (1)
(b) just get all you profits out immediately ( you will never go broke taking a profit...)
(c) or take partial profits off and leave the remaining and move stop loss tighter and see if it might be just a temporary reversal off the trendline and will eventually fall back and break the opposing trendline or support level to the downside.
(3)Is there a nearby "peak" where you can bring your stop loss (trailing stop technique) and place it just a few pips behind it? If you cant find it in the larger timeframe Like 1hr, 4hr), switch to the smaller timeframe (5, 15 and 30min tfs) and you can some peaks there and do that.
Ok, this is for a short trade so do the exact opposite for a long trade.
If other traders here have something better or some techniques that they would like to share, pls do so as we all can learn and improve.
Regards