Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

Postby WindsorBrokers » Tue Jun 25, 2013 4:57 am


The Euro maintains negative sentiment, with extension of pullback from1.3414, below 1.3100, Fib 50% of 1.2795/1.3414, posting fresh three-week low at 1.3058. Consolidative /corrective phase is under way, with price attempting through the upper boundary of consolidation range, for test of initial resistance at 1.3160, and 1.3200, Fib 38.2% of 1.3414/1.3058 fall. Slightly improved hourly studies see some upside potential, however, larger picture’s negative structure keeps the downside favored, as long as 1.3253, last Friday’s high stays intact. Bearish resumption below 1.3058, to open 1.3031, Fib 61.8% and psychological 1.3000 support next.

Res: 1.3160, 1.3200, 1.3236, 1.3253
Sup: 1.3100, 1.3058, 1.3031, 1.3000



Near-term recovery phase off fresh low at 1.5342, retraced 61.8% of 1.5528/1.5342 downleg, at 1.5460 zone, where gains were capped. Positive hourly structure sees potential for further recovery towards more significant 1.5500 barrier, Fib 38.2% of 1.5751/1.5342 slide and 1.5528, last Friday’s high, however, prevailing negative tone on 4h chart would keep the downside at risk, as long as the price holds below initial 1.5500 barrier. Initial support lies at 1.5425 and is reinforced by 20 day EMA, with break here and psychological 1.5400 level, to hint lower top formation and fresh weakness towards 1.5342 and possible bearish resumption towards 1.5300 zone, initial target and Fib 61.8% of 1.5007/1.5751 ascend.

Res: 1.5464, 1.5500, 1.5528, 1.5564
Sup: 1.5425, 1.5400, 1.5367, 1.5342



The pair is trading in near-term consolidative mode, after extending rally from 93.78 to 98.69, near 50% of 103.72/93.78 descend. Hourly studies are weak, as the price hovers close to the range floor, however, more constructive 4h technicals see potential for further recovery, as the price is supported by 20 day EMA and 20/55 bullish crossover, with 96.85 expected to hold. Immediate targets lay at 99.00 and 99.27, 10 June high, break of which to confirm bottom at 93.78 and open way towards psychological 100 barrier, also Fib 61.8% of 103.72/93.78. Alternative scenario sees increased downside risk on violation of 96.85 support, with 96.23, 50% of recovery rally and 96.00, round figure support, expected to come in focus once 96.85 is cleared.

Res: 98.05, 98.30, 98.69, 99.00
Sup: 97.20, 97.00, 96.85, 96.23



The pair trades in a near-term consolidative mode, after fresh extension of larger downtrend, posted new low at 0.9146. With the upside being limited at 0.9300 and near-term studies negatively aligned, fresh extension lower and test of next target at 0.9100, would be likely near-term scenario. Conversely, lift above 0.9300 and 0.9324, 11 June low, would delay bears in favor of possible stronger corrective action towards 0.9400/30, next resistance zone. However, overall bearish tone, do not see potential for more significant recovery action for now.

Res: 0.9300, 0.9324, 0.9354, 0.9400
Sup: 0.9200, 0.9146, 0.9100, 0.9050

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