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[Volkov Yuriy]

Elliott wave analysis of the market for January 06, 2026 BTCUSD.

BTCUSD: BUY 94500, SL 93000, TP 103000

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The situation in Bitcoin continues to develop according to the previously considered wave scenario. The price is doing its best to move higher, apparently developing the third wave within the forming bullish impulse.

At the moment, this wave still does not look completed. For this reason, a continuation of the upward price movement is expected in the near future. Accordingly, previously opened long positions should be kept in play, and new ones may be opened if possible.

Investment idea: BUY 94500, SL 93000, TP 103000.

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Market Fundamental Analysis for January 7, 2025 EURUSD

Event to watch today:

15:15 EET. USD – ADP Employment Change

EURUSD:

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The EUR/USD pair is holding near 1.1700, while the dollar’s moves remain restrained: market participants are waiting for fresh U.S. labor-market data to refine expectations about the Federal Reserve’s next steps. Ahead of the release, investors typically cut large positions, so the reaction to the news may be sharp even if the figures deviate only moderately.

The backdrop for the dollar is mixed. On the one hand, part of the demand for the U.S. currency is supported by periods of elevated uncertainty and interest in safe-haven assets. On the other hand, the market still prices in the possibility of further rate cuts in the U.S. in 2026 if the economy slows and price pressures ease. Any signs of cooling employment could increase pressure on the dollar.

In Europe, the single currency is supported by improving sentiment; however, softer eurozone inflation data reduce the likelihood of a firm ECB response and limit the euro’s upside. In this setup, the key driver for the pair today remains U.S. macro data: weaker-than-expected figures would argue for EUR/USD strength, while stronger results would favor a return of demand for the dollar.

Trading recommendation: BUY 1.1705, SL 1.1685, TP 1.1795

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Analysis of Margin Levels for January 8, 2025 XAUUSD

XAUUSD: BUY 4382.15–4442.15, TP1 — 4502.15, TP2 — 4634.05

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• Long-term trend: bullish (long). The largest volume concentration of the current contract is located in the 4200.00–4250.00 quote range. At the moment, investment activity in XAUUSD is taking place above this range, indicating strong buyers.



• Medium-term trend: bullish (long). The largest volume concentration of the medium-term trend is located in the 4320.00–4340.00 quote range. At the moment, investment activity in XAUUSD is taking place above this range, indicating strong buyers.

• Attractive buy area from a margin/coverage standpoint is located between the 1/4 and 1/2 zones, built from the high of 07.01.2026.

• Upper boundary quote of the 1/4 zone: 4442.15.

• Upper boundary quote of the 1/2 zone: 4382.15.

• Intraday targets: a retest / update of the highs from 07.01.2026 — 4502.15.

• Medium-term targets: a test of the lower boundary of the ZNKZ — 4634.05.



• Trading recommendations: buy within the attractive price range upon formation of a reversal pattern.

• Buy: 4382.15–4442.15, Take Profit 1–4502.15, Take Profit 2–4634.05.

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Crypto is charging higher again: BTCUSD and the pack are ready to run

In December, our clients most actively traded cryptocurrencies such as BTCUSD, ETHUSD, BNBUSD, SOLUSD, and XRPUSD — and these instruments delivered the highest share of profitable trades. Today’s review focuses on the crypto market: demand from major investors, news from large corporations, and the ongoing development of leading blockchain platforms are setting the tone for early 2026.

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Growth outlook for cryptocurrencies in Q1 2026:

• BTCUSD — strong interest from institutional investors and the expansion of exchange-traded crypto products support demand even during pullbacks.
• ETHUSD — increasing network usage and progress toward faster, cheaper transfers create room for strengthening in a calm external environment.
• SOLUSD — active project development and rising attention from major market participants point to further upside potential if news remains positive.
• BNBUSD — ecosystem service growth and infrastructure upgrades provide support, though price moves may be sharp.
• TONUSD — expansion of Telegram-related services and user tools may drive additional demand if adoption momentum continues.

FreshForex analysts believe that in the coming months the market will be shaped by three key factors: overall global market sentiment, inflows and outflows into public crypto instruments, and news around the development of major networks. Even under a positive scenario, prudent risk limits should be set in advance.

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Market Fundamental Analysis for January 9, 2025 GBPUSD

Event to pay attention to today:

09.01 15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Rate

GBPUSD:

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GBP/USD is holding near 1.3435 after the pound strengthened in early January. Investors are waiting for key US labor-market data, which directly affects expectations for the Federal Reserve’s rate path and, consequently, demand for the dollar.

The pound has been supported by improved market sentiment and a reduction in domestic risks, but upside potential is limited by expectations for Bank of England policy: discussion of a possible rate cut in the first quarter is restraining buyers. Market participants are also watching UK output and business-activity data to gauge how sustainable the recovery is.

If US data comes in strong, the dollar typically gains the upper hand. Therefore, the base scenario for today is to sell the pair with a protective stop above current fluctuations and a target below current levels.

Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3435, SL 1.3465, TP 1.3345

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