Weekly Outlook: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | 12 December 2025XAUUSD: BUY 4215.50, SL 4195.00, TP 4337.00Exclusively for our readers - a 26% bonus for all new clients to their trading account balance when depositing $260 or more. Claim
Gold enters the week supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut and a weaker dollar. The spot price is holding around 4,215 per ounce as of Monday morning. The market assigns a high probability to a rate reduction already at the December meeting, which lowers real yields and increases the appeal of non-yielding safe-haven assets. An additional backdrop is the continued interest from the official sector: according to professional organizations, central banks are maintaining net purchases and, overall, intend to build up gold reserves.
On a one-week horizon, the base case for XAUUSD remains constructive: potential monetary easing in the United States, a cautious tone in assessing the economy, and elevated uncertainty support demand for this “quiet” asset. Risks to the upside scenario include a tougher-than-expected Fed statement, unexpectedly strong U.S. data, a stronger dollar, and profit-taking after new highs. As a tactic, we suggest buying at 4,215.50, with a protective stop at 4,195.00 and a target area at 4,337.00.
Trading recommendation: BUY 4215.50, SL 4195.00, TP 4337.00#SP500: BUY 6870, SL 6830, TP 7140
The U.S. equity market approaches the week of a key Fed decision near record levels: the index is fluctuating around 6,870. A cut in the policy rate would increase the economy’s sensitivity to investment stimuli and ease financing conditions, which typically supports large-cap stocks. Another factor is resilient earnings expectations in sectors investing in digital infrastructure and automation. On the news front, a series of corporate reports and comments from Fed leadership will set the tone for the coming weeks.
Key risks to further gains include a future rate path that proves higher than participants expect, signs of cooling consumer activity, and potential margin pressure from costs. Even so, if the course toward monetary easing is confirmed, the base case is moderate further upside. The tactic is to buy from 6,870 with protection at 6,830 and a target of 7,140.
Trading recommendation: BUY 6870, SL 6830, TP 7140#BRENT: BUY 63.80, SL 63.30, TP 69.80
Brent crude begins the week around 63.80 per barrel amid expectations of a Fed rate cut and supply-related headlines. The likelihood of monetary easing in the United States supports the outlook for future energy demand. On the supply side, sporadic disruptions and OPEC+ caution in ramping up output persist, while high-frequency data indicate fluctuations in actual shipments from certain countries. In parallel, foreign-trade statistics for major consumers signal heavy import loads toward year-end.
On a one-week horizon, the balance of factors looks moderately supportive for prices: the combination of rate expectations, supply news, and cross-border constraints in commodity trade keeps a risk premium in place. Risks to the upside scenario include an acceleration in global production in 2025–2026, weak inventory data, and possible de-escalation of geopolitical threats, which would quickly remove the fear component from prices. We suggest a Brent buying tactic with entry at 63.80, a stop at 63.30, and a target at 69.80.
Trading recommendation: BUY 63.80, SL 63.30, TP 69.80Up to $20 for each lot in real money - get a guaranteed income by connecting
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