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[Volkov Yuriy]

Market Fundamental Analysis for February 4, 2026 USDJPY

Event to watch today:

15:15 EET. USD – ADP Employment Change

USDJPY:

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On February 4, USD/JPY is holding near 156.25: the dollar is steady, while the yen is weakening amid upcoming elections in Japan and discussions about additional fiscal stimulus. At the same time, the market remains mindful of the risk of currency intervention, so any statements from officials can quickly shift the balance of supply and demand.

In the U.S., sentiment is supported by a reassessment of rate expectations: participants have become more cautious about Federal Reserve rate-cut forecasts, which helps keep yields supported and sustains demand for dollar assets. In Japan, the Bank of Japan has not yet signaled an urgent policy tightening, and the difference in interest-rate conditions continues to weigh on the yen.

Next, the focus is on U.S. data and the news flow around Japan’s elections: strong U.S. economic readings keep the potential for further dollar strength. At the same time, the key risk for longs is abrupt steps by regulators to stabilize the exchange rate, which could trigger a sharp strengthening of the yen.

Trading recommendation: BUY 156.25, SL 156.00, TP 157.00

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[Volkov Yuriy]

U.S. stocks on the rise: 5 names that could take off

In January, our clients most actively traded #AMD, #Amazon, #GoDaddy, #Tesla, and #Moderna—and these names recorded the highest share of profitable trades. Today’s review focuses on U.S. equities: quarterly earnings, demand for technology, and news about new products are setting the tone for the start of 2026.

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Growth outlook for U.S. stocks in H1 2026:

#AMD — Rising demand for server solutions for AI workloads → potential revenue acceleration if corporate tech spending remains strong.
#Amazon — Expansion of cloud services and a stronger advertising segment → profit support even amid uneven retail sales.
#GoDaddy — Steady demand from small businesses for websites, online stores, and digital services → growth possible through new paid features.
#Tesla — Strong momentum in the energy segment and plans for new products → shares could gain if sales stabilize.
#Moderna — The company is refreshing its vaccine portfolio and advancing new developments → upside possible on positive project news.

FreshForex analysts believe that over the coming months these stocks will be driven most by three factors: fresh company earnings, product-related news, and overall global market sentiment. With a constructive backdrop, they see potential for prices to move above current levels—but even in a positive scenario, it’s wise to cap risk on trades in advance.

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Analysis of margin levels for February 5, 2026 XAUUSD


XAUUSD: BUY 4880.86-4986.86, TP1-5092.86, TP2-5462.46.


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• Long-term trend: long-term. The maximum accumulation of volumes of the current contract is located in the range of 4850.00–4930.00 quotes. At the moment, XAUUSD investment transactions are carried out within the specified range, which indicates a temporary uncertainty.



• Medium-term trend: long. The maximum accumulation of volumes of the medium-term trend is located in the range of 4900.00-4930.00 quotes. At the moment, XAUUSD investment transactions are carried out below the specified range, which indicates the weakness of buyers.

• The area of favorable purchase prices in terms of margin provision is located between the 1/4 and 1/2 zones built from the maximum on 02/04/2026.

• Quote of the upper limit of the 1/4 zone–4986.86.

• The quote of the upper limit of the 1/2 zone is 4880.86.

• Intraday targets: updating the highs from 02/04/2026–5092.86.

• Medium-term goals: the test of the lower limit of the GNKZ is 5462.46.



• Trading recommendations: purchases from a range of favorable prices during the formation of a reversal pattern.

• Buy: 4880.86–4986.86, Take Profit 1–5092.86, Take Profit 2–5462.46.


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