"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.
11.05.2017
Euro
Current situation
The U.S. currency maintained control of the flows on Wednesday. The pair extended its losses below 1.0900. Sellers managed to lead the spot to 1.0850 during the day trade. The technical indicators were mixed in the 4 hours timeframe. The 50,100 and 200 EMAs were bullish while MACD and RSI pointed to buyers’ activity decline. The resistance is at 1.0900, the support comes in at 1.0850.
Trading recommendations
A move below 1.0850 will signal the strength of sellers sending the euro to 1.0800.
Pound
Current situation
The GBP/USD pair remained in an uptrend on Wednesday. Buyers tried to reclaim 1.3000 in the morning but failed again. The pound bounced off the level and headed to 1.2900. According to the 4 hours chart all the technical indicators remained in green. The resistance lies at 1.3000, the support comes in at 1.2900.
Trading recommendations
A break below 1.2900 will show room for further downside. Sellers may drive the pound to 1.2850.
USD/JPY
Current situation
Buyers found a strong resistance at 114.00. Sellers seem to be guarding the level not allowing bulls to move beyond the hurdle. Buyers were trying to retake the level during the European trades after unsuccessful attack on Tuesday. The pair just approached the level in the mid-European session flirting with the level the whole European session. All the technical indicators were mixed in the 4 hours chart. The resistance lies at 114.00, the support comes in at 113.00.
Trading recommendations
Inability to post fresh highs may turn the market bearish for a while. If the price succeeds and fixes below the mark of 113.50, the market may start a descending correction to 113.00 – 112.50.
AUD/USD
Current situation
The AUD extended its correction on Wednesday. The Aussie was strengthening the whole day heading towards 0.7400. The 4 hours chart showed that the indicators were mixed. The EMAs were negative while MACD and RSI showed a buy signal. The resistance lies at 0.7400, the support comes in at 0.7350.
Trading recommendations
A move below 0.7350 would revive bearishness towards 0.7300. Meanwhile the pair is growing and we prefer to stay out of trades until we get a sell signal.
XAU/USD
Current situation
The recent bullish spike lost steam after breaking above 1220 dollars per ounce. Gold prices stalled their upward trajectory trading in a tight range between 1220 – 1225 during the European session. A bout of fresh buying pressure emerged ahead of the NA opening. Buyers continued pushing the yellow metal upwards heading towards 1230. The moving averages moved downwards in the 4 hours chart. MACD and RSI pointed to a possible move upwards in the same chart. The resistance is highlighted 1230, the support comes in at 1220 dollars per ounce.
Trading recommendations
While to the upside, 1230 resistance will need to be retested for support before a price can rally towards 1240 dollars per ounce.
Brent
Current situation
Brent bounced from 48.50 on Tuesday and maintained its bid tone on Wednesday. Buyers were struggling hard to move the price to 49.50 dollars per barrel the whole day. The indicators were mixed in the 4 hours chart. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs maintained their negative slope while MACD and RSI were growing. The resistance is highlighted 49.50, the support comes in at 48.50 dollars per barrel.
Trading recommendations
To neutralize the current selling pressure buyers need to reclaim 50.50 we are bearish until then.
DAX
Current situation
DAX buyers failed to retake 12800 on Tuesday. Buyers had to give up their gains and retreated. The index continued losing ground on Wednesday. Sellers moved the price to 12700 where the benchmark faced a minor upward rejection. According to the 4 hours timeframe the EMAs remained positive while MACD and RSI showed buyers’ activity slow down. The resistance lies at 12800, the support comes in at 12700.
Trading recommendations
The overall outlook remains bullish, for a rise towards 12800 resistance area.
S&P500
Current situation
S&P500 remained under selling pressure on Wednesday. The index was struggling with 2390 to move lower the first part of the day. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs maintained their bullish slope in the 4 hours chart. MACD and RSI moved to the downside. The resistance lies at 2400, the support comes in at 2380.
Trading recommendations
In order to recover some strength, the index needs to rise back and hold above 2400. Meanwhile, if the index remained under pressure the benchmark may retake 2390 and move to 2380.
*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman