HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

Re: HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

Postby HFblogNews » Tue Sep 27, 2022 5:22 pm

Date : 27th September 2022.

Market Update – September 27.

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Trading Leveraged Products is risky

*USDIndex – at 113.40 after hitting another new 20+ year high at 114.41, as treasuries continue to rally. 10-year yield surged over 20 bps to test 3.898%, the highest since early 2010. The 2-year was over 13 bps cheaper to 4.340%, a new 15-year peak. The 30-year bond was up only 10 bps to 3.715%, an 8-year high. The curve held in the -44 bp area.
*EUR – lifted slightly amidst a general correction in the Dollar, at 0.9652.
*JPY traded at 144.20. Resistance set at 146.00.
*GBP dropped to an all-time low of 1.035 overnight, but bounced to 1.0800 currently. BoE’s Bailey said the Bank will not hesitate to change rates as much as needed while noting he is monitoring the financial markets. That disappointed as the markets hoped to hear something firmer and more definitive on the crash in Cable. The UK100 bounced and managed a fractional gain at the end of the day.

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*Stocks: Stock markets started to stabilize overnight and Nikkei and ASX managed gains of 0.5% and -0.4% respectively. Wall Street gave up early gains and closed with losses of over -1.0% on the US30 and US500, with the latter at 3655, piercing the 3666 nadir from June 16, and is the weakest since December 14, 2020. The US100 slid -0.60%.
*USOil closed yesterday below $76 (9-month low) on indications that OPEC+ may enact output cuts to avoid a further collapse in prices.
*Gold – drifted to $1621 outside daily BB.
*BTC – higher at $20,162.

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Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) NZDUSD (+1.27%). Retesting 50-hour SMA at 0.5715, Intraday fast MAs aligning higher, MACD histogram & signal line hold negative but close to 0, RSI rise to 57, H1 ATR 0.00175, Daily ATR 0.00878.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

Postby HFblogNews » Wed Sep 28, 2022 6:58 pm

Date : 28th September 2022.

Market Update – September 28 – Renewed Selling.

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Trading Leveraged Products is risky

*USDIndex – breaks range and tops at 114.63. Economic data on confidence, durables, home sales, and the Richmond Fed index were stronger than expected, while home prices declined and broke a long string of gains.
*Yields: A tweet from DoubleLine Capital’s Gundlach that he was buying Treasuries provided some support along with dip-buying and safe haven demand. The 10-year Treasury yield ended over 5 bps higher, testing 3.99% after having dropped over 10 bps to a low of 3.797%.
*GBP in a renewed selling, UK bonds sold off sharply, yields on US bonds higher and US stocks to the lowest level since 2020. 10-year gilt on Tuesday rose 26% to hit a 14-year high of 4.5% after the Bank of England’s chief economist Huw Pill said the loosening of fiscal policy announced last week would “require a significant monetary response”.
*Kwarteng met the heads of companies including Aviva, Legal & General, Royal London, BlackRock, Schroders and Fidelity, to reassure them that his economic strategy would work after days of turmoil in financial markets. Later he spoke to Conservative MPs to calm fears that the government had lost control of the economic situation.
*IMF criticize Britain’s new economic strategy, saying the proposals are likely to increase inequality. Moody’s warned that unfunded tax cuts were credit negative.

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*EUR – fresh low at 0.9540.
*JPY traded at 144.70.
*Stocks: closed mixed with the US100 managing a 0.25% gain, while the US30 declined -0.42%, with the US500 sliding -0.2% to 3647.
*USOil steady at $77. The energy crisis in Europe intensified as European authorities investigated what Germany, Denmark and Sweden said were attacks which had caused major leaks into the Baltic Sea from two Russian gas pipelines.
*Gold – drifted to $1619.97.
*BTC – slide back to $18K area, as stocks fell deeper into a bear market. Ether was also down by less than 1%. – “crypto winter”?Image

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Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) AUDJPY (-0.77%) extends outside daily BB. Intraday fast MAs aligning lower, MACD histogram & signal line are negative, RSI at 23, H1 ATR 0.218, Daily ATR 1.166.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

Postby HFblogNews » Thu Sep 29, 2022 4:35 am

Date : 29th September 2022.

Market Update – September 29 – Sterling & Stocks drift as BoE boost fades.

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Trading Leveraged Products is risky

*USDIndex – tumbled at 112.43 after the BoE’s actions ( worst session in 2.5 years). Today it found some ground edging towards 113.35, buoyed by renewed pressure on the pound.
*Yields: UBoE’s announcement that it will buy up to GBP 5 bln a day for 13 days in a bid to stabilise markets bruised by the government’s mini-budget may have helped Gilts and wider bond markets to recover somewhat yesterday, but while Australia and New Zealand bonds rallied in catch up trade, yields are already rising again in Europe and the US. Record surge in Gilts where the 30-year rate plunged an historic 105 bps to 3.913%, unwinding the better than 130 bp selloff to a 5.135% high. The 10-year Gilt crashed 50 bps, the most since 1992, to 3.999%.

While intervention supported Gilts, Treasuries rallied on haven demand amid global investor jitters, bargain hunting, a solid 7-year auction, and a month-end bid.

*GBP remains volatile as BoE presses panic button. Sterling rallied on the BoE’s initial announcement of bond purchases, but Cable has since settled at 1.08 area as the rapid switch from scheduled asset sales to “temporary” bond purchases has not really helped to instill confidence in the currency.
*EUR – returned to 0.9665.
*JPY traded at 144.70.
*Stocks: The 1.96% bounce to 3718 in the US500 snapped a six-day string of losses, the worst since February 2020, as the index climbed off of Tuesday’s 3647, a new 2022 low. Strength was broadbased with energy climbing over 4%. The US100 jumped 2.05% to 11,051, and the US30 rose 1.88% to 29,683.
*USOil up to $81. Goldman Sachs cut its 2023 oil price forecast, citing expectations of weaker demand and a stronger USD. China’s travel during the upcoming week-long national holiday is set to hit the lowest level in years as Beijing’s persistent zero-COVID rules prompt people to stay at home and economic woes dampen spending. Citi economists have lowered their China GDP forecast from 5% year-on-year growth to 4.6% for the fourth quarter of 2022.
*Gold – after some buying retreats to $1647.
*BTC – at 19375.
*Today: German Inflation, ECB’s Panetta, de Guindos, Elderson and Lane speech, US GDP and Jobless claims.

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Biggest FX Mover@ (06:30 GMT) NZDUSD (-1.05%) back to 0.5655. Intraday fast MAs aligning lower, MACD histogram & signal line are turnign to 0, RSI at 2342, H1 ATR 0.00173, Daily ATR 0.00953.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

Postby HFblogNews » Fri Sep 30, 2022 5:51 pm

Date : 30th September 2022.

Market Update – September 30 – Quarter End.

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Trading Leveraged Products is risky

*USDIndex – has dropped back to 112.00, as bonds and stocks remained very jittery into quarter end, month end and week end. The US Q2 chain price indexes accelerated to 9.0% for the headline, and 4.7% for the core. Credibility issues are keeping also buyers sidelined as the central banks are seen having waited too long to address rising price pressures, with worries now that they are overdoing rate hikes and will push the world into recession.
*Yields: The German 10-year rate is down -3.2 bp in early trade, the US rate -4.1 bp.
*UK PM Liz Truss will stick to her plan to reignite economic growth, breaking her silence after nearly a week of financial market chaos.
*German Chancellor Olaf Scholz – set out $196 billion “defensive shield”, including a gas price brake and a cut in sales tax for the fuel, to protect companies and households from the impact of soaring energy prices. That came after the 10.9% German Inflation figure for September.

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*Stocks were headed for their worst month! Nikkei still closed with a loss of -1.8%, the ASX was down -1.2% by end of trade while CSI 300 and Hang Seng are down -0.3% and up 0.1% respectively. However, markets seem to be finding a footing and European and US futures are mostly managing slight gains.
*Japan’s factories ramped up output in August and China’s factory activity returned to growth this month, data showed.
*GBP – has lifted above 1.10
*EUR – is at 0.98.
*JPY – traded at 144.57.
*USOil – steady at $81.
*Gold – rebounded to $1670.
*BTC – steady at 19410
*VIX index has been on the rise and hit 33.46 earlier, just shy of the 34.75 May high, though has yet to really test the 40 area last seen in late 2020.

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Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) USA100 back to 11333. Intraday fast MAs aligning higher, MACD histogram & signal line are turning higher but still in negative area, RSI at 54.76, H1 ATR 58.36, Daily ATR 354.98.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

Postby HFblogNews » Mon Oct 03, 2022 5:13 am

Date : 3rd October 2022.

Market Update – October 3 – New Week, Month & Quarter.

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Trading Leveraged Products is risky

*USDIndex – Holds Friday’s range at 111.80. Dollar remains in demand following a weak 3rd quarter, HOT CORE CPE inflation on Friday and an emergency FOMC meeting behind closed doors today. Asian stock markets struggle in key Holiday week, risk appetite remains fragile ahead of more rate hikes and US jobs on Friday. The JPY underperforms in the Asian session.
*EUR – Trades at 0.9820 now, capped by an 8-day high at 0.9900 but off last weeks 0.9550 low. Alternative gas supplies began to flow over weekend for Greece, Bulgaria & Poland.
*JPY – Remains weighed as 145.00 is tested once more. Fin. Min. Suzuki – Japan stands ready for “decisive” steps in the foreign exchange market if excessive Yen moves persist.
*GBP – Continued to recover following mini-budget inspired collapse last week. Capped at 1.1200 so far today ahead of Fin Min Kwarteng’s speech. Rumours swirl of U-turns on tax cuts.
*Stocks US stocks moved lower again on Friday remain pressured. Third consecutive Quarterly fall, largest percentage fall for Q3 in the S&P500 in 20 years, 3rd consecutive week lower and 2nd consecutive month lower. The first 9-months of 2022 has been the worst since 2008. APPL, MSFT led tech lower on Friday, biggest losers Nike -12.8% & Carnival -23.3% both following warnings regarding margins due to inflation. Q3 Earnings now expected to be +4.5% down from 11.1% on July 1.

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*USOil rallied over 3% to test $82.00 after weekend reports of OPEC+ cutting production “up to 1.5 million barrels per day”.
*Gold – holds at $1665 but remains capped at $1675.
*BTC – rejected $20.0k on Friday and trades at $19.2k now.

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Today EZ, UK & US Final Manufacturing PMI, US ISM Manufacturing, Speeches from Fed’s Bostic, Barkin, George & Williams, BoE’s Mann & UK Chancellor Kwarteng.

Week Ahead – US Services, RBA & RBNZ Rate decisions, ADP & CAD & US (NFP) Jobs.

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Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) NZDJPY (+0.82%) Rallied from Friday’s collapse from 83.00 to 81.00, to test 82.00 today. MAs now aligning higher, MACD histogram & signal line negative but rising, RSI 52.05 & rising, H1 ATR 0.253, Daily ATR 1.233.

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Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

Postby HFblogNews » Tue Oct 04, 2022 4:53 am

Date : 4th October 2022.

Market Update – October 4 – Stocks Bounce, Yields Fall, RBA Springs a Surprise.

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Trading Leveraged Products is risky

*USDIndex – Descends into 111.50, support area, and under 9-day EMA for first time since September 19. Yields slipped significantly (US 10yr @3.65%) following reverse from UK Chancellor tax cut plan lifting UK GILTS and wider sentiment. ISM Manu. data hit a 2.5 year low but at 50.9 remains in expansion mode. Oil & Oil Stocks rallied on OPEC production cut rumours and TSLA dropped -8.6% on delivery misses and with no immediate solution. RBA surprised with a 25bp hike vs. an expected 50 bp interest rate hike. AUD & JPY underperform overnight.
*EUR – Trades at 0.9840 now testing Friday high but capped by a 9-day high at 0.9900.
*JPY – Remains weighed. 145.00 was breached but only for an hour yesterday, despite hawkish comments from Japanese officials – trades at 144.80 now.
*GBP – UK government confirmed it will scrap plans to abolish 45% top tax rate in humiliating U-turn. Sterling continued to rally, Cable and GBPJPY breached 20-Day MA. Cable now trades at key resistance 1.1350.
*Stocks – US stocks, ripe for a bounce at the beginning of the Quarter, leapt over 2%. US500 +92.81 (+2.59%) 3678 Energy stocks led with XOM & CVX (+5%) and APPL & MSFT, (+3%),which led tech lower on Friday, led the rally on Monday. TSLA sank -8.6% pulling TWTR -3.10% & RIVAN -3% lower. US500.F 3731 now.

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*USOil rallied over 6% to $84.35 highs after weekend reports of OPEC+ cutting production “up to 1.5 million barrels per day”. Trades at $84.00 now.
*Gold – spiked higher from $1665 over the key $1700 and trades at $1703 now.
*BTC – rallied from sub $19.0k yesterday to $19.7k now.

Today US Factory Orders and Speeches from Fed’s Williams, Logan, Daly, Mester & Jefferson, ECB’s Lagarde.

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Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) EURJPY (+0.56%) Rallied from Thursday’s collapse to 140.00 to test 143.00 zone today. MAs now aligning higher, MACD histogram & signal line positive & rising, RSI 67.44 & rising, H1 ATR 0.243, Daily ATR 1.706.

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Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

Postby HFblogNews » Wed Oct 05, 2022 6:00 am

Date : 5th October 2022.

Market Update – October 5 – Stocks Leap 3%, USD & Yields Sink.

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Trading Leveraged Products is risky

*USDIndex – Sank and descended into 110.00 as USD and Yields slipped (US 10yr @3.61%). JOLTS missed significantly (10.05m vs 11.24 last time), adding to hopes Fed may be on the cusp of moderating and possibly even ending rate hikes in coming months (the Fed Pivot). Stocks charged higher (NASDAQ+3.34%). The 5.7% start to Q4 2022 after two days is the best start to a new quarter since Q2 1938 (+8.7%). RBNZ confirmed expectations with a 50bp interest rate hike. NZD rallied. MUSK said TWTR (+22.4%) deal was back on at original $54.20 per share.
*EUR – A weak USD saw EUR storm through 0.9900 and rally to Parity at 1.0000. Trades at 0.9967 now.
*JPY – Reversed from 145.00 to as low as 143.60 trades at 144.00 now.
*GBP – Sterling continued to rally, despite more public disagreements within Government. Cable stalled short of 1.1500 at 1.1490. Cable now trades at 1.1460.
*Stocks – US stocks, leapt again, over 3%. US500 +112.50 (+3.06%) 3790. All sectors rallied significantly. Asian markets ahead, European futures flat ahead of open.

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*USOil rallied again to $86.60 (9% in 2-days) ahead of OPEC+ meetings today with production cuts now “up to 2.0 million barrels per day”.
*Gold – spiked higher again holding the key $1700 and trades at $1725 now.
*BTC – rallied over the key $20k yesterday to $20.2k now.

Today EZ, UK & US Final PMIs, US ISM Services, ADP, OPEC, Speeches from Fed’s Bostic & UK PM Truss.

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Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) NZDCHF (+0.81%) Rallied from Monday’s low at 0.5500 to 0.5696 yesterday, remains resistance today. MAs now aligning higher, MACD histogram & signal line positive & rising, RSI 56.44 & rising, H1 ATR 0.00216, Daily ATR 0.84006.

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Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

Postby HFblogNews » Thu Oct 06, 2022 6:10 am

Date : 6th October 2022.

Market Update – October 6 – USD & Stocks Flat, Oil Rallies.

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Trading Leveraged Products is risky

*USDIndex – Rallied from a test of 110.00 peaking at 111.50 following weak Services PMI data in UK & Europe, and a beat for US data; ADP (208k vs 200k) and ISM Services PMI (56.7 vs 56). Closed lower and trades under 111.00 now at 110.83. Fed’s Mary Daly says the Fed is resolute in raising rates to curb inflation and that market anticipation of interest-rate cuts next year is misplaced. Stocks closed flat, yields dipped again and Oil rallied following OPEC+ announcement. AUD Trade slipped and German Factory Orders tanked (-2.4% vs. -0.8%). Asian & European stocks are mixed following the stall on Wall St.
*EUR – A brief test of Parity at 1.0000, reversed all the way to 0.9833 before USD recovered and the pair trades at 0.9915 now.
*JPY – Rallied from lows yesterday at 143.60 and trades at 144.50 now.
*GBP Sterling remains volatile with the new PM under pressure. 260+ pip range yesterday, from 1.1495 to 1.1226. Cable trades at 1.1325 now.
*Stocks – US stocks, were heavy all day but closed flat (-0.2%), US500 -7.65 at 3783. TWTR -1.35%, TSLA -3.46% XOM +4.04%.

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*USOil rallied again to $88.40 after OPEC+ agreed 2.0 million barrels per day production cuts, provoking major rebuke from the US.
*Gold – declined from initial test of $1725 yesterday before testing $1700 support and now back to $1725 again.
*BTC – dipped below the key $20k yesterday ,but now back to $20.2k.

Today EZ/UK Construction PMI, EZ Retail Sales, ECB Minutes, Weekly Claims & Speeches from Fed’s Waller, Evans, Cook & Mester and BOC’s Macklem.

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Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) NZDUSD (+0.84%) Rallied from yesterday’s low at 0.5660 to 0.5800 resistance today. MAs aligned higher, MACD histogram & signal line positive & rising, RSI 61.20 & rising, H1 ATR 0.00181, Daily ATR 0.01096.

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Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

Postby HFblogNews » Fri Oct 07, 2022 8:22 am

Date : 7th October 2022.

Market Update – October 7 – NFP Day – USD Remains on the Front Foot.

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Trading Leveraged Products is risky

*USDIndex – Rallied again yesterday and trades over 112.00 (up 1.85% in 2-days) currently. The chorus of Fedspeak (Cook, Evans, Kashkari, Waller & Mester) all pushed the Hawkish tone. BOC’s Macklem also very Hawkish too. Weekly Claims rose to 219k from 190K but remain historically low. Fed Funds Futures now have an 85.5% chance of 75bp rate hike at Nov. 2 FOMC meeting. Stocks closed -1%, Yields rallied (10-yr 3.83% from 3.55% earlier in the week). Oil rallied again to $89.00, Gold slipped but holds $1700 and BTC is under $20K again. Japan published more mixed data, (Earnings and Leading Indicators up, Household Spending down). German Import Prices rose significantly, Retail Sales & Ind. Production missed. Asian & European stocks are lower following a weak Wall St. Biden says Putin’s nuclear threat biggest risk since Cuban Missile Crisis and that the US is reviewing ‘response options’ on Saudi relations after OPEC+.
*EUR – A brief break of 0.9900, reversed all the way to 0.9786 now. ECB remains pressured to take more decisive action as Energy crisis swirls and fractures with EU persist, despite the “Prague” accord, with Putin increasingly cornered.
*JPY – Rallied from lows yesterday at 144.50 to once again test the key 145.00 now. Japan’s foreign reserves fell by a record $54 billion in September, as the BOJ tried to defend the Yen.
*GBP Sterling sank another 240+ pips yesterday and is under pressure along with new PM Truss. From over 1.1350 to 1.1110 lows yesterday, Cable trades at 1.1340 now.
Stocks – US stocks, were heavy all day and close down (-1.01%), US500 -38.00 at 3744. TWTR -3.72%, TSLA -1.11% (Musk lawsuit dropped & deal to close 28/10, also said Pepsi will get first semi trucks in December). LEVI -3.92% (ahead of weak Earnings; -6.34% after hours). US FUTS at 3740.

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*USOil rallied again to $89.00 after OPEC+ agreed 2.0 million barrels per day production cuts this week, provoking major rebuke from the US.
*Gold – declined from another test of $1725 yesterday before again moving back to $1710.
*BTC – dipped below the key $20k again today having tested $20.2k yesterday. Trades at 19.8k now.

Today US & Canadian Jobs reports, BOE’s Ramsden, Fed’s Williams, Kashkari, & Bostic.

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Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) GBPJPY (-0.25%) Continued to decline from 6-day high at 165.500 on Wednesday to test 161.00 yesterday and trades at 161.35 now. MAs aligned lower, MACD histogram & signal line negative & falling RSI 35.28 & falling, H1 ATR 0.359, Daily ATR 3.498.

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Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

Postby HFblogNews » Mon Oct 10, 2022 4:02 am

Date : 10th October 2022.

Market Update – October 10 – Dollar Remains Bid, Stocks Weighed.

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Trading Leveraged Products is risky

*USDIndex – Rallied again following strong NFP data (263k vs 250k & Unemployment falling to 3.5% from 3.7%) on Friday and expectations of no FED pivot any time soon and unified central bank action. Trades at 112.80. Yields are firmer and stocks on the back foot. US CPI key this week. Putin reaction to Bridge attack potentially Nuclear, Xi Ping looks to cement more power for another 10 years and NK have simulated attacks on SK – all under-mining sentiment. US moves to curb US chip technology to China hits Chinese hi-tech companies. Asian (thin markets due to holidays and weak Chinese Service PMI data 49.3 vs 55.0) & European stocks are lower following the very weak close (NASDAQ -3.8% ) on Wall St.
*EUR – closed Friday at 0.9730, and trades at 0.9720 now.
*JPY – rallied Friday and again today spiked to 145.60 and holds over the key 145.00 now. Signs of more BOJ intervention.
*GBP – sterling sank again too, Cable back to 1.1075 with the pressure on new PM Truss showing no signs of waning.
*Stocks – US stocks, were extremely heavy on Friday and closed down –2.11% to -3.8%. US500 -105.00 at 3639. AMD -13.87%, TSLA -6.32%, NVDA -8.03%. US FUTS at 3635.

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*USOil rallied again to $93.00 and trades at $92.20 now.
*Gold – declined again as strong USD and high Yields weigh, from $1710 on Friday ahead of NFP to $1685 now.
*BTC – also weighed by weak sentiment and a strong USD sank from 20k pivot on Friday to trade at 19.3k now.

Today EZ Sentix Index, Speeches from Fed’s Evans & Brainard, ECB’s Lane, US Columbus Day (Treasury markets closed).

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Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) GBPAUD (+0.64%) Continued to rally from Friday’s low at 1.7350 to test 1.7500 now. MAs aligned higher, MACD histogram & signal line positive & rising, RSI 66.52 & rising, H1 ATR 0.00347, Daily ATR 0.03100.

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Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
User avatar
HFblogNews
 
Posts: 2025
Joined: Thu Jun 26, 2014 7:28 am

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