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[Volkov Yuriy]

Elliott wave analysis of the market for 28.08.2025 #NQ100​

#NQ100: BUY 23500, SL 23350, TP 24450

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The latest trading session for this index can be considered uneventful. The price essentially remained unchanged, staying at the same level. This is likely how the correction and buyers’ preparation for a decisive push toward the upper boundary of the forming terminal diagonal triangle are developing.

If this interpretation is correct, we should see an upward move in this asset in the near future. Therefore, previously opened long positions are recommended to be held.

Additionally, it is worth considering opening extra long positions in the same direction.

Investment idea: BUY 23500, SL 23350, TP 24450.

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Market Fundamental Analysis for August 29, 2025 EURUSD

Event to watch today:

15:30 EET. USD - Core PCE Price Index

17:00 EET. USD - UoM Consumer Sentiment

EURUSD:

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EUR/USD is losing ground after three days of decline, trading around 1.1660 during Asian hours on Friday.

The EUR/USD pair is depreciating amid a recovery in the US dollar (USD) due to US economic growth in the second quarter. Annual gross domestic product (GDP) in the US grew by 3.3% in the second quarter, exceeding initial estimates of 3.1% and the previous 3.0%.

However, the US dollar may face difficulties amid renewed dovish sentiment regarding the prospects for Federal Reserve (Fed). According to Reuters, Fed member Christopher Waller said on Thursday that he would support lowering interest rates at the September meeting and further cuts over the next three to six months to prevent a collapse in the labor market.

Concerns about the Fed's independence have intensified following recent statements by US Vice President Jay D. Vance. He noted: "I don't think we should allow bureaucrats to make decisions about monetary policy and interest rates without taking into account the opinions of people who were elected to serve the American people... The US president is much better equipped to make such decisions."

Trade recommendation: BUY 1.1690, SL 1.1610, TP 1.1790

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[Volkov Yuriy]

#DJI30 hits record highs: The index just made history!



On August 22, 2025, the #DJI30 surged past 45,700, setting a new all-time high. The rally was fueled by growing expectations of a Fed rate cut, with cheap money once again making stocks attractive. Strong earnings reports from industrial and banking sectors, along with new White House infrastructure investment plans, added to the bullish sentiment. A solid labor market and resilient consumer activity continue to ease recession fears, prompting capital to flow out of volatile assets and into blue-chip stocks. As a result, #DJI30 posted a powerful breakout and reinforced its role as a key barometer of U.S. economic strength.

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Why the #DJI30 rally may still have room to run:

Easing Fed policy: Lower rates and controlled inflation create favorable conditions for borrowing and investing.
U.S. infrastructure expansion: Government spending on transport, energy, and digitalization supports real-sector companies — the core of #DJI30.
Strong corporate earnings & dividends: Many Dow components offer reliable dividends, making the index attractive amid broader market volatility.
Shift from risky assets: Funds and individual investors are rotating out of crypto and growth stocks into more stable “industrial giants.”
U.S. geopolitical resilience: Despite global tensions, the U.S. remains a “safe haven” for investors, boosting demand for American equities.

The continued rise of #DJI30 is underpinned by robust corporate profitability and the overall resilience of the U.S. economy. The latest earnings season confirmed the strength of major industrial and financial players, while easing inflation and expectations of a Fed rate cut provide a supportive backdrop. #DJI30 remains a reliable gauge of market stability and investor risk appetite worldwide. According to FreshForex, this opens a window of opportunity for long positions on #DJI30.

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