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[Volkov Yuriy]

Analysis of margin levels for February 24, 2026 #NQ100

#NQ100: BUY 24530.4-24807.9, TP1-25085.4, TP2-26059.9.

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• Long-term trend: temporary uncertainty. The maximum volume accumulation of the current contract is located in the range of 25500.0–25800.0, according to quotes. Currently, investment transactions are being conducted on #NQ100 below this range, indicating sellers' strength. #NQ100: BUY 24530.4–24807.9, TP1–25085.4, TP2–26059.9.



• Medium-term trend: long. The maximum volume accumulation of the medium-term trend is located in the range of 24780.0–24840.0, according to quotes. Currently, investment transactions are being conducted on #NQ100 within this range, indicating temporary uncertainty.

• The area of ​​favorable buying prices in terms of margin is located between zones 1/4 and 1/2, built from the high of February 20, 2026.

• The upper boundary of zone 1/4 is 24807.9.

• The upper boundary of zone 1/2 is 24530.4.

• Intraday targets: updating the highs of February 20, 2026, at 25085.4.

• Medium-term targets: testing the lower boundary of the ZNKZ at 26059.9. #NQ100: BUY 24530.4-24807.9, TP1-25085.4, TP2-26059.9.



• Investment recommendations: buy from the favorable price range when a reversal pattern forms.

• Buy: 24530.4-24807.9, Take Profit 1-25085.4, Take Profit 2-26059.9.

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Fundamental Market Analysis for February 25, 2026 GBPUSD

GBPUSD:

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On February 25, 2026, GBP/USD is trading around 1.351–1.352, but the pound is under pressure as markets price in potential policy easing from the Bank of England. Investors are increasingly factoring in the probability of rate cuts in coming months amid signs of cooling activity: softer labor market conditions and slower income growth reduce the resilience of domestic demand and increase sensitivity to borrowing costs.

The UK inflation picture has also become less supportive for sterling. As headline inflation eases, the need to keep rates high for an extended period diminishes. In this context, market participants closely monitor guidance from the Bank of England and how confidently it evaluates the balance between inflation risks and the risk of a slowdown. Political uncertainty can further amplify caution toward UK assets and periodically raise the risk premium.

On the US side, the dollar remains supported by expectations that the Fed will keep financial conditions restrictive until inflation convincingly returns toward target. A combination of US inflation and consumer-activity data, along with ongoing discussions around tariffs, sustains demand for the dollar when sentiment deteriorates. With the rate-expectations gap still in place, downside pressure on GBP/USD may remain dominant.

Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3525, SL 1.3555, TP 1.3435

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Elliott wave analysis of the market for February 26, 2026 BTCUSD

BTCUSD: SELL 62500, SL 65000, TP 57000.

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Bitcoin refuses to decline further. Instead of continuing its downward movement, we saw a rapid surge upward.

Perhaps this movement is part of a correction, or more precisely, the second wave in an emerging impulse within wave (c) of a complex corrective structure.

If this is indeed the case, then we can expect a sharp decline in the near future, which will be caused by the development of the third impulse wave.

The expected price movement trajectory and the contours of the downward impulse are schematically shown in the chart below.

Therefore, it is worth considering the possibility of opening sell trades when the local minimum is updated.

Investment idea: SELL 62500, SL 65000, TP 57000.

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Indices at record highs: Will the rally continue or is a pullback ahead?

In recent weeks, stock markets have continued to set new records: #ASX200, #ESTX50, #FTSE100 and #NIKKEI225 are holding at or near historic highs. The rally is supported by several factors at once: strong corporate earnings, positive profit expectations, steady demand for major blue-chip companies, and hopes that financial conditions may gradually become less restrictive. Each market also has its own drivers: Europe is supported by banks and industrial stocks, the UK by commodity and global companies, and Japan by foreign capital inflows and strong technology stories.

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Indices at record highs — Key reasons and growth drivers:

#ASX200: The index has surpassed 9,140. Growth is driven by strong corporate reports and demand for large, “reliable” stocks. Positive sentiment around technology and AI is also providing additional support.
#ESTX50: The index has exceeded 6,150. Support comes from solid news from major companies, as well as demand for banks and industrial stocks, which investors consider relatively resilient.
#FTSE100: The index has risen above 10,780. Gains are fueled by commodity and defensive companies within the index: when raw material prices are high and earnings reports are stable, FTSE tends to move higher. Additionally, the market anticipates more accommodative rate conditions in the UK.
#NIKKEI225: The index has climbed above 59,430. The upward movement is supported by rising corporate profits, foreign buying activity, and strong technology sectors (chips, AI). A weak or stable yen further benefits exporters.

FreshForex analysts note that further movement in #ASX200, #ESTX50, #FTSE100 and #NIKKEI225 will depend on corporate earnings, interest rate expectations, and overall market sentiment. Since the indices are already at elevated levels, any unexpected news on inflation, monetary policy, or geopolitics could quickly increase volatility. Therefore, maintaining proper risk management and closely monitoring key news and macroeconomic data remains essential.

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