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[Volkov Yuriy]

Market Fundamental Analysis for February 16, 2026 EURUSD

EURUSD:

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The euro against the dollar is starting the week without a clear impulse, and the key driver is a reassessment of rate expectations in the United States. The market is factoring in both the recent labor-market data and personnel news around the future leadership of the Federal Reserve, which helps keep demand for the dollar steady and increases the pair’s sensitivity to any surprises in US releases.

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In the Eurozone, the situation is calmer: the European Central Bank is holding a pause, while inflation is clearly below 2%, so investors are not rushing to price in higher euro yields. Improved risk sentiment across the region supports the currency, but without acceleration in growth and price pressures, it is harder for the euro to strengthen sustainably against the dollar.

For today, the base scenario is moderate pressure on EURUSD as demand for the dollar returns on the back of US headlines and data. In that logic, selling from current levels looks preferable, with a protective stop and a target in the area of lower prices.

Trading recommendation: SELL 1.1875, SL 1.1900, TP 1.1800

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Weekly outlook: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT |20 February 2026


XAUUSD: BUY 5000.00, SL 4985.00, TP 5045.00​


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Gold starts the week near $5,000 per ounce. The market is supported by expectations of lower US interest rates after softer inflation data, as well as steady demand from major buyers, including central banks and China.

Limiting factors include a potential rebound in the US dollar and profit-taking after sharp moves. Still, if global political uncertainty persists and US Treasury yields ease further, demand for gold may remain firm.

Trading recommendation: BUY 5000.00, SL 4985.00, TP 5045.00



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#SP500: BUY 6840, SL 6810, TP 6930​




The #SP500 is holding near 6,836 points. Expectations of policy easing by the Federal Reserve later in 2026 are reducing rate pressure and supporting demand for equities. Investors are watching US macro releases and major corporate earnings, which are likely to set the tone for the week.

Risks include weaker consumption data or unexpected signals from the Fed, which could raise investor caution and trigger short-term selling. The baseline backdrop remains supportive if yields continue to decline and earnings confirm resilient profit growth.

Trading recommendation: BUY 6840, SL 6810, TP 6930



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#BRENT: SELL 67.80, SL 68.60, TP 65.40​




Brent crude starts the week around $67.8 per barrel. The market is weighing US–Iran talks and the possibility of higher supply, alongside fresh assessments pointing to slower global demand growth. These factors are limiting the upside.

Additional pressure comes from expectations that OPEC+ may resume increasing output and from US inventory data. Geopolitical headlines can still cause brief spikes, but the base case for the week is a moderate decline unless new supply disruptions emerge.

Trading recommendation: SELL 67.80, SL 68.60, TP 65.40


Connect Drawdown bonus 101% and trade with double your deposit! Bonus funds will help you increase your profits or withstand a sudden drawdown!

You can find more analytical information on our website.​

[Volkov Yuriy]

Reminder: Activate SWAP50 before the end of February



Hello,

This is a reminder that you can reduce your swap costs with the SWAP50 promo code.

Please note an important detail:

HURRY UP! Compensation is calculated from the date of activation (deposit + providing the promo code via live chat with Support) until the end of February — not for the full month.

The earlier you activate, the more you can receive back.

Calculation example:

If your negative swap for the period from February 16 to February 28 totals –$143.41, +$71.71 will be credited to your BALANCE.

How to participate:

1. Deposit $500 or more in February.
2. Activate the SWAP50 promo code via live chat with Support.
3. Trade as usual — 50% of the negative swap will be credited back to your balance on all accounts.

The offer is valid until the end of February. Do not delay activation.

Compensation will not be credited if, after activating the promo code and up to and including February 28, 2026, a withdrawal request is submitted in the Client Area.

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