Instaforex Analysis

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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Yvonne » Thu Jun 28, 2018 3:47 am

Technical analysis of USD/CAD for June 28, 2018

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Overview:
The USD/CAD pair broke the resistance that turned into strong support at the level of 1.3247 since days. The level of 1.3247 coincides with the ratio of 78.6% Fibonacci which is expected to act as a major support on the H1 chart today. Consequently, the first support is set at the level of 1.3247. Moreover, the RSI starts signaling an upward trend, and the trend is still showing strength above the moving average (100). Hence, the market is indicating a bullish opportunity above the area of 1.3247/1.3300. So, the market is likely to show signs of a bullish trend around 1.3247 - 1.3300. In other words, buy orders are recommended above the ratio of 78.6% Fibonacci (1.3247) with the first target at the level of 1.3387 in order to test the first resistance in the same time frame. If the pair succeeds to pass through the level of 1.3387, the market will probably continue towards the next objective at 1.3442. The daily strong support is seen at 1.3247. Thus, if a breakout happens at the support level of 1.3243, then this scenario may be invalidated.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Yvonne » Fri Jun 29, 2018 3:25 am

Technical analysis of USD/CHF for June 29, 2018

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The USD/CHF pair faced resistance at the level of 0.9943. The strong resistance has been already formed at the level of 0.9943 and the pair is likely to try to approach it in order to test it again. However, if the pair fails to pass through the level of 0.9943, the market will indicate a bearish opportunity below the new strong resistance level of 0.9943 (the level of 0.9943 coincides with a ratio of 78.6% Fibonacci). Moreover, the RSI starts signaling a downward trend, as the trend is still showing strength above the moving average (100) and (50). Thus, the market is indicating a bearish opportunity below 0.9943, so it would be good to sell at 0.9940 with the first target of 0.9795. It will also call for a downtrend in order to continue towards 0.9733. The daily strong support is seen at 0.9733. On the other hand, the stop loss order should always be taken into account, for that it will be reasonable to set your stop loss at the level of 1.0055 (the double top on the H4 chart).


*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Yvonne » Tue Jul 03, 2018 1:54 am

Technical analysis of Gold for July 03, 2018

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From the Daily Charts we know the Gold bias is still in a Bullish Condition, this can be seen by the Gold still moving in an up Channel event. Now Gold has a correction and tries to test the nearest Support level at 1,235.72 but it seems that in a few days Gold will be back to its previous bias (Bull). This is already confirmed by the Stochastic Oscilator now at the Oversold level and preparr to go up above the 20 level, so the next few days ahead it seems the Gold will go back to the previous bias (Bull). (Dsiclaimer)

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Wed Jul 04, 2018 1:35 am

Technical analysis of AUD/USD for July 04, 2018

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Overview:
Last week, the AUD/USD pair fell from the level of 0.7474 towards 0.7348. Now, the price is set at 0.7371. The resistance is seen at the levels of 0.7426 and 0.7474. Moreover, the price area of 0.7474 remains a significant resistance zone. Therefore, there is a possibility that the AUD/USD pair will move downside and the structure of a fall does not look corrective. The trend is still below the 100 EMA for that the bearish outlook remains the same as long as the 100 EMA is headed to the downside. Thus, amid the previous events, the price is still moving between the levels of 0.7426 and 0.7257. If the AUD/USD pair fails to break through the resistance level of 0.7426, the market will decline further to 0.7474 as the first target. This would suggest the bearish market because the RSI indicator is still in a negative spot and does not show any trend-reversal signs. The pair is expected to drop lower towards at least 0.7302 so as to test the daily support 2. On the other hand, if a breakout takes place at the resistance level of 0.7474, then this scenario may become invalidated.

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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Thu Jul 05, 2018 1:10 am

Technical analysis: Intraday Level For EUR/USD, July 05, 2018

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When the European market opens, some Economic Data will be released such as French 10-y Bond Auction, Spanish 10-y Bond Auction, Retail PMI, and German Factory Orders m/m. The US will release the Economic Data too, such as Crude Oil Inventories, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, Final Services PMI, Unemployment Claims, ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, and Challenger Job Cuts y/y, so, amid the reports, EUR/USD will move in a medium to high volatility during this day.

TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.1718.
Strong Resistance:1.1711.
Original Resistance: 1.1700.
Inner Sell Area: 1.1689.
Target Inner Area: 1.1661.
Inner Buy Area: 1.1633.
Original Support: 1.1622.
Strong Support: 1.1611.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.1604.

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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Fri Jul 06, 2018 12:37 am

Technical analysis of NZD/USD for July 06, 2018

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The NZD/USD (kiwi) pair continues to move downwards from the level of 0.6840. This week, the pair dropped from the level of 0.6840 to trade around the 0.6775 level. This level of 0.6840 coincides with the major resistance today. Today, the first resistance level is seen at 0.6840 followed by 0.6880, while daily support 1 is found at 0.6742. Also, the level of 0.6775 represents a key price today for that it is acting as major resistance/support this week. Amid the previous events, the pair is still in a downtrend, because the NZD/USD pair is trading in a bearish trend from the new resistance line of 0.6840/0.6807 towards the first support level at 0.6742 in order to test it. If the pair succeeds to pass through the level of 0.6742, the market will indicate a bearish opportunity below the level of 0.6742. Then, resell again at the price of 0.6742 with the targets of 0.6716 and 0.6697. On the other hand, if a breakout happens at the resistance level of 0.6840, then this scenario may be invalidated.

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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Mon Jul 09, 2018 2:33 am

Technical analysis: Intraday Level For EUR/USD, July 09, 2018

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When the European market opens, some Economic Data will be released such as Sentix Investor Confidence, and German Trade Balance. The US will also release the Economic Data such as Consumer Credit m/m, so amid the reports, EUR/USD will move in a low to medium volatility during this day.

TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.1808.
Strong Resistance:1.1801.
Original Resistance: 1.1790.
Inner Sell Area: 1.1779.
Target Inner Area: 1.1751.
Inner Buy Area: 1.1723.
Original Support: 1.1712.
Strong Support: 1.1701.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.1694.

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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Tue Jul 10, 2018 1:35 am

Wave analysis of EUR / USD. The euro continues to adhere to the working scenario

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Analysis of wave counting:

During the trades on Friday, the currency pair EUR / USD added about 50 percentage points, remaining thus in the stage of construction of the proposed wave 3, c, 4. If this is the case, then the quotes will continue to rise with targets near the mark of 1.1856, which corresponds to 100.0% of Fibonacci, and higher. The wave c can assume a pronounced 5-wave structure, which allows one to assume the growth of the pair to area 20 of the figure. The construction of wave 5 of the downward trend section is being postponed for an indefinite period.

The objectives for the option with sales: 1.1440 - 323.6% of the Fibonacci of the highest order
1,1118 - 423.6% of Fibonacci

The objectives for the option with purchases:
1.1866 - 100.0% of Fibonacci
1.2072 - 127.2% of Fibonacci

General conclusions and trading recommendations:

The pair EUR / USD continues to rise within wave 3, c, 4. Thus, on July 9 I recommend to remain in purchases with targets located near the calculated marks of 1.1856 and 1.2072, which corresponds to 100.0% and 127.2% of Fibonacci. Return to sales, I recommend after receiving confirmation of the completion of the entire wave 4. At the moment there is no sign of the completion of the construction of this wave.

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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Wed Jul 11, 2018 1:38 am

Brent disobeyed the president

Interruptions in supplies in Libya, Venezuela, Canada and Norway, Iran's threats to block the Strait of Hormuz, and some weakness of the US dollar after the release of the US labor market report for June allowed the bulls for Brent and WTI to continue the rally. If oil can update the May highs, the road in the direction of $ 83-85 per barrel will be opened. According to Tehran, the aim of restraining the price of black gold tweets of Donald Trump, in fact, can bring the North Sea grade to the psychologically important mark of $ 100 per barrel. Who is bigger? Sanford C. Bernstein & Co draws attention to the reduction in oil companies' stocks by an average of 30% since the beginning of 2000 and the increase in urban population in Asia by 1 billion over the next two decades. As a result, the demand for cars and gasoline will rise sharply, which will launch a new super cycle on black gold and allow it to grow to $ 150 per barrel.

The US president demands from his military allies (primarily from Saudi Arabia) to increase production to 2 million bpd, knowing full well that the OPEC decisions on the curtailment of the production of "bulls" for Brent and WTI at the end of June cannot be stopped. The states are exerting pressure on buyers of Iranian oil, and if their plan to reduce exports from this Middle Eastern country translates into life, then the market will take 2.5 million bpd. Tehran is the fifth oil producer in the world with a production volume of 3.8 million bpd. The country's leadership claims that it is ready to sell as much black gold as it can.

The support of Brent and WTI is provided by the factor of production reduction in Libya from 1.28 million bpd in February to the current 527 thousand bpd. According to Capital Economics estimates, the market may lose about 2 million bpd from Iran and 1 million bpd from Venezuela, which will widen the deficit and help develop the "bullish" conjuncture of the black gold market.

At first glance, instead of putting pressure on OPEC, Donald Trump could spur the activity of American producers. For a long time, the oil market was living in tug-of-war conditions between those working on reducing the cartel's output and companies from the States that used price increases to hike their own production and simultaneously hedge the risks. They let the number of drilling rigs from Baker Hughes grow (+5 to 863 in the week of July 6), and the Energy Information Administration forecasts an increase in production to a record 11.8 million bpd, no problems with the infrastructure have been canceled. For example, in the Perm basin in 2019 will produce 1 million bpd more than its pipes can afford to pump.

Extraction and power of pipelines

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The hand to help the "bulls" for Brent and WTI is fixing profit to the US dollar after the publication of disappointing statistics on US unemployment and the average wage. The first indicator increased from 3.8% to 4%, the second did not reach the forecasts of experts from Bloomberg (+ 0.2% vs. + 0.3% m / m)

Technically, a breakthrough of resistance at $ 79.5 and $ 80.5 per barrel will open the "bulls" along Brent road to the north in the direction of the target for 127.2% and 161.8% for the AB = CD pattern.

Brent, daily chart

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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Thu Jul 12, 2018 2:33 am

Trading Plan for EUR/USD for July 12, 2018

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Technical outlook:

The hourly EUR/USD chart presented here indicates that the currency pair is dropping in a corrective manner since printing highs at the 1.1790 levels recently. At this point in time, prices are finding support at a past resistance turned support zone around the 1.1660/70 levels. According to the Fibonacci extensions displayed here, it remains quite possible for the pair to drop through the 1.1650/30 levels to find further support before turning higher. The price support is seen at the 1.1590 levels, followed by the 1.1530 levels, respectively, while interim resistance is seen at the 1.1790 levels. Most probable direction is to push higher at least one last time towards 1.1850 and above, before reversing lower again. Please note that in the medium term, till the prices remain below the 1.2150 levels, bears shall be in complete control.

Trade plan:

Aggressive traders, now look to buy again between the 1.1630/60 levels, with stop below 1.1550 and target above 1.1850.

Fundamental outlook:

Watch out for USD CPI at 0800 AM EST today.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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