Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS.com

Re: Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS.com

Postby MAYZUS-Neeraj » Wed Feb 12, 2014 1:51 am

11 February 2014: Everybody Is Waiting For Janet Yellen's Speech

DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


A positive atmosphere remains in the market for the second day in a row. Investors are still continuing to build their expectations based on statistics on the labor market of the US, which were published on Friday. Weak data from the labor market gives hope to the participants of the markets that the FED could stop further reduction of the program of repayment of assets for the time being, and will wait until the situation starts to improve again.

Janet Yellen is going to give two speeches this week, one of them is going to be today, which is quite an important point, as we are going to hear the opinion of the new head of FED for the first time, on the current situation in the country. Hopefully, she is going to give some indicates in relation to the further plans of the FED.

Yesterday, American indices managed to finish the trading session in the green zone without any significant increase. The Dow Jones added 0.05% reaching a level of 15801.79 points, Nasdaq Composite increased by 0.54% to the level of 4148.17 points and the S&P 500 index grew by 0.16% reaching the level of 1799.84 points.

In the meantime in the Eurozone, the investor confidence index of Sentix for February was published, which made 13.3 points at average expectations of 10.7 points. As a result, the index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, increased by 0.3%, the French CAC 40 added 0.2%, and the German DAX went to a minus by 0.1%. The regional STXE 600 indicator, in turn, added less than 0.1% and was closed on the level of 325.3 points.

One more interesting fact is that gold reached the maximum level since November, 2013. Basically, this was due to the expectations of turning of the program of quantitative easing in the U.S., and the renewal of purchases from China. This morning, gold continues its growth and adds 0.66% traded on a level of 1283.08$ per troy ounce.

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Re: Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS.com

Postby MAYZUS-Neeraj » Wed Feb 12, 2014 5:33 am

12 February 2014: The Positive Background Supports The Markets

DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


The American stock market continues to get positive impulses, which helps it to recover from the losses obtained in the beginning of February. Yesterday, for the first time in her career, Janet Yellen gave a speech in front of the Congress of the USA as the new head of FED. Yellen confirmed that she is going to continue to stick to the plans of Bernanke, and the volume of the program of purchase of assets will be gradually reduced. At the same time, interest rates will not change, even if the unemployment rate is going to reduce below the threshold value of 6.5%.

Following the results of the trading session, the indicator of blue chips, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index, increased by 1.22% to the level of 15994.77 points, the index of the wide market S&P 500 added 1.11% in value, reaching the level of 1819.75 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, grew by 1.03% to a level of 4191.04 points.

Morning news coming from China also brought positive moods to the markets. Accordingly to the published macroeconomic statistical data, export in January increased by 10.6% which was 0.1% higher than forecasts, and import grew by 10%, which allowed China to expand surplus of trade balance. These are very important figures, which, in the short-term prospect, could have an influence on the situation in the emerging markets.

The situation in the commodities market remains to be stable, and is developing in a positive direction. Prices of oil are increasing by 0.03% on Brent, and 0.47% on WTI, traded on 108.21$ and 99.91$ accordingly. Gold and silver are slightly losing, 0.19% and 0.01%, bargaining next to the levels of 1287.41$ and 20.15$ per troy ounce.

From the events expected today, some attention should be paid to the report of the Bank of England on inflation in the country, and data on industrial production in the Eurozone.

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Re: Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS.com

Postby MAYZUS-Neeraj » Thu Feb 13, 2014 10:46 am

13 February 2014: Positive News From China Had Only A Short-Term Influence On The Markets

DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


Yesterday, the trading session in the United States started on a positive note, but by the end of the day, indices could not keep growing, and were closed in the red zone. Optimism was brought by the published macroeconomic statistical data in China, where export volumes grew in January by 10.6%, whereas analysts expected indicator increase of only 2.0%.

Following the results of the trading session, the indicator of blue chips, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index, lost 0.19% and was closed on a level of 15963.94 points, the index of the wide market S&P 500 went to a minus by 0.03% to the level of 1819.26 points, and only the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, increased by 0.24% to a level of 4201.29 points.

The situation in the commodities market remains stable, and slowly develops in a positive direction. Yesterday, the price of WTI managed to go over 100.00$ per barrel, and increased by 0.4% to the level of 100.37$ for barrel. This morning, WTI is losing 0.73%, traded on a level of 99.18$ per barrel. Brent is feeling slightly better, traded on a level of 107.84$ per barrel, and losing 0.47%.

The price of gold also managed to increase by 0.4%, reaching the level of 1295.00$ per troy ounce, but could not go over the level of 1300.00$, and rebounded from that, and is losing 0.32% this morning, bargaining next to the 1290.91$ per troy ounce. Silver is losing 0.72% at 20.19$ per troy ounce.

Today it is necessary to pay attention to macro statistics from Germany and the USA. Information on a change of the rate of inflation in Germany in January will be published during the day. Later on, growth of retails and the situation on the labor market in the USA will be presented.

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Re: Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS.com

Postby MAYZUS-Neeraj » Sat Feb 15, 2014 2:51 am

14 February 2014: Markets Are Consolidating At The Levels Reached

DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


On Thursday, indices of the United States managed to finish the trading session on a positive note, and closed the day with a moderate increase. Following the results of the trading session, the indicator of blue chips, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, raised by 0.40% to the level of 16027.59 points, the index of the wide market, Standard & Poor's 500, increased by 0.58% to the level of 1829.83 points, and the index of high-tech industries, Nasdaq Composite, went to plus on 0.94% reaching the level of 4240.67 points.

As for the statistics published yesterday, the number of primary requests for unemployment benefits contrary to expectations, increased from 331 thousand to 339 thousand, and at the same time, retails in January were reduced by 0.4%, though zero change was expected. At the same time, December retails were reconsidered towards a fall from 0.2% to minus 0.1%, and production stocks in the last month of 2013 accelerated growth rate to 0.5%, reflecting activity which wasn't too high of retailers and consumers.

In the meantime, the Asian markets are traded ambiguously this morning . The Chinese market received incentive in the form of inflation at the level of 2.5% in January, and also because of the price index of the producers, which has fallen during this period by 1.6%. Japanese Nikkei 225 increases by 2.17%, Shanghai Composite is adding 0.83%, Futsee-100 loses 0.24%.

The situation in the commodities market remains stable and is developing positively. Prices of gold managed to go over the level of 1300.00$ per troy ounce, and are adding 0.63% this morning, traded on a level of 1308.24$. Silver jumped by 2.07% reaching a price of 20.82$ per troy ounce. Prices of oil are stable, with Brent traded on a price of 108.45$ per barrel and losing just 0.07%. WTI is down by 0.21% traded on a level of 99.84$ per barrel.

This morning data on gross domestic product of Germany for the 4th quarter of 2013 has been published, which made 0.4% against the expected 0.3%. Later throughout the day, data on preliminary gross domestic product of the Eurozone for the 4th quarter of 2013 and trade balance for December, are going to be presented. Also, data on industrial production in the USA for January will be published in the evening.

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Re: Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS.com

Postby MAYZUS-Neeraj » Mon Feb 17, 2014 6:43 am

17 February 2014: Statistics Support The Markets

DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


The last trading day of the previous week was rather full with publications of macroeconomic statistical data, which had an influence on developments in the markets, and increased volatility. Analysts were predicting an increase of the industrial production in January by 0.2%, but actual numbers were reduced by up to 0.3%, which is the maximum value since April, 2013. Even more disappointing was data from the manufacturing industry, who's volume of production decreased in January by 0.8%, which is the greatest fall since May, 2009. Analysts were predicting an increase of 0.1%.

In spite of the fact that in the process of the publication of various reports, indices were moving up and down, they managed to close the trading session in positive territory. Dow Jones industrial average Index raised by 0.79% up to 16154.39 points, the Standard & Poor's 500 index raised by 0.48%, having closed at the level of 1838.63 points, and the Nasdaq Composite index raised by 0.08% to the value of 4244.03 points.

As for the commodities platforms, gold continues to grow due to the weaker dollar, increasing by 0.53% and bargaining next to the level of 1325.56$ per troy ounce. Silver is also up, adding 1.53% and bargaining next to the level of 21.75$.

Prices of oil are also stable and are developing in a positive direction. An interesting fact to pay attention to is that spread between Brent and WTI is decreasing, and WTI managed to go through the level of 100.00$ per barrel. This morning, Brent is traded on a level of 109.10$ per barrel, and is adding just 0.02%, while WTI is up by 0.42% and is traded on a level of 100.55$ per barrel.

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Re: Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS.com

Postby MAYZUS-Neeraj » Tue Feb 18, 2014 6:15 am

18 February 2014: News From Japan Is Boosting The Market

DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


The First trading day of the week was affected by lowered activity on the stock platforms due to the bank holiday in the United States.

This morning, interesting news came from the Bank of Japan, reporting its intention to continue soft monetary policy until the time the rate of inflation will reach 2%. The regulator plans to continue an annual increase in monetary base in the range of 60 trillion to 70 trillion yen. This decision was made unanimously and coincided with average forecasts of analysts. In addition, the Bank of Japan confirmed the volume of repayment of state bonds on the level of 50 trillion yen a year. It should also be noted that the central bank of the country also made the decision to prolong three programs of crediting for a year, which were expiring in March.

This news immediately had an effect on the Japanese yen and Japanese stock market. The Japanese yen fell sharply in price against the dollar, and is traded this morning on a level of 102.59. The weakening yen pushed up prices of the Japanese companies focused on export, and as a result, the Nikkei grew by 3.18%.

The situation in the commodities market remains the same, Brent is losing around 0.10% and is traded on the level of 109.07$ per barrel. WTI is slightly better, growing by 0.22% on the level of 100.35$ per barrel. Gold is stable and is losing just 0.02%, traded on a level of 1318.30$ per troy ounce. Silver remains strong at the price of 21.56$ and adds 0.65%.

Today will be saturated with publications of statistics - these being data on balance of current accounts of the Eurozone, inflation of Britain, the German index of economic expectations of ZEW, the index of activity of FED of New York, and volume of inflow of the capitals in treasury securities of the USA. All this statistical data could increase volatility in the markets and change further development in the short-term.

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Re: Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS.com

Postby MAYZUS-Neeraj » Wed Feb 19, 2014 11:06 am

19 February 2014: The Situation In The Markets Looks Very Shaky

DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


As expected, the trading session on Tuesday was very volatile. Additionally, presented macroeconomic data shook the optimism in the markets.

European stock platforms finished the trading session without significant change. Attention should be paid to the fact that the index of economic expectations in the business environment in Germany, counted by ZEW institute, decreased from 61.7 to 55.7 points in February. In the meantime, the assessment of the current situation was better than the forecasts at 50.0 points, having declared a maximum level since the 3rd quarter of 2011.

Following the results of the trading session, the key index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, increased by 0.9%, French CAC 40 lost 0.1%, and German DAX grew by 0.03%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased by 0.01%, having closed on a level of 334.6 points.

In the USA, the macroeconomic statistics were again quite weak, the index of production activity in New York in February decreased further than expectations, from 12.5 to 4.5 points. As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index lost 0.15%, and reached the level of 16130.40 points, S&P 500 and Nasdaq were slightly better. S&P 500 increased by 0.12% reaching the level of 1840.76 points, and Nasdaq Composite added 0.68% traded on a level of 4272.78.

Oil prices are staying up, with Brent on 110.20$ per barrel, losing just 0.23%. WTI is still strong, reaching the level of 102.14$ per barrel and adding just 0.04% this morning. Gold and silver are down by 0.48% and 0.77% accordingly, traded on a level of 1318.11$ and 21.73$ per troy ounce.

In the evening, the attention of the participants of the markets will be focused on the minutes of the last meeting of the FED, which took place on the 28th and 29th of January. No surprises are expected from these documents, but in the meantime though the latest economic reports are not supporting statements that the American economy started to stabilize, and any signal that the FED is ready to change their decisions regarding the further decrease of the QE3, depending on the current situation, could return encouragement in the markets.

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Re: Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS.com

Postby MAYZUS-Neeraj » Thu Feb 20, 2014 7:55 am

20 February 2014: Markets Seem To Be Unable To Decide On The Direction

DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


Yesterday, the stock market of the United States finished the trading session with a moderate decrease. The American indices were not strong enough to beat historical maximum levels, even though a day earlier the S&P 500 stopped literally 1 point from the record.

Another disappointing factor was the macroeconomic statistical data published yesterday. The number of new constructions of houses in January, from the reconsidered 1.048 million, unexpectedly dropped to 0.88 million, and in general, all the published data in relation to new constructions has been rather weak. It should be noted that for the last few weeks in the US, almost every presented report has been rather disappointing, but mostly it was written off for weather, or in general was ignored by the market.

Also yesterday, investors finally got the chance to see the minutes of the last meeting of the FED, where it was stated that members of the committee on the open markets consider that the program of quantitative mitigation could be continued to be deducted, in the situation the committee will not begin to see any notable changes. In general, the minutes did not bring anything unexpected or new.

As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average went down by 0.56% to the level of 16040.56 points, the index of the wide market S&P 500 decreased by 0.65% to the level of 1828.75 points, and the Nasdaq Composite went to a minus by 0.82% and reached the level of 4237.95 points.

Commodities this morning are slightly down, but the situation remains stable. WTI managed to increase in price yesterday by 0.9%, to the level of 103.31$ per barrel but this morning has fallen slightly, bargaining next to the level of 102.61$ per barrel. Gold and silver are losing 0.53% and 1.33% accordingly, traded on levels of 1313.42$ and 21.56$ per troy ounce.

Today market will be oversaturated in respect of economic statistics, as both Europe, and States will publish many interesting reports. From Europe we will see data on PMI in Germany and in Eurozone; the USA will publish data on Consumer Price Index, jobless claims and PMI in manufacturing sector. Special attention should be paid to the Manufacturing Index of Philadelphia.

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Re: Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS.com

Postby MAYZUS-Neeraj » Fri Feb 21, 2014 2:26 pm

21 February 2014: Markets Are Consolidating At The Levels Reached

DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


We have seen rather positive reports from the Eurozone and different European countries during the last few weeks, but data which was presented yesterday was disappointing. PMI of the Eurozone in the services sector made 51.7 points against the forecasted 51.9 points, and the index in the manufacturing industry decreased from 54.2 points to 53.

This had an immediate effect on the positions of the EUR/USD, which, from the maximum level of 1.3762, rolled down to the area of 1.3690, and this morning is traded around 1.37. Indices in the meantime, finished the trading session with an increase. The index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, increased by 0.2%, the French CAC 40 became 0.3% heavier, and the German DAX went to a minus by 0.4%. The regional STXE 600 indicator, in turn, decreased by less than 0.1% and was closed on a level of 334.78 points.

The American stock market again managed to find reasons for growth, finishing yesterday’s trading session with a moderate increase. This was mainly due to some positive statistics and corporate events. According to preliminary data of PMI from Markit Economics, the American industry grew in February, and the index raised to 56.7 from the 53.7 last month, and on the labor market, the number of primary requests for unemployment benefits decreased to 336 thousand, from 339 thousand.

Additionally, support was brought by the news from the corporate segment, where Facebook announced it's purchase of the messenger 'WhatsApp' for 19 billion dollars. In comparison, some time ago Facebook bought Instagram for just 1 billion dollars, so this time the company paid an extreme amount money, and obviously must have some really serious reasons for that!

As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index increased by 0.58% to the level of 16133,23 points, the index of the wide market S&P 500 added 0.60% reaching the level of 1839.78 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, grew by 0.70% to the level of 4267.55 points.

There are not a lot of reports expected to be published today, except for the reports from Great Britain and Canada, and data on house sales in the US, so indices are going to finish this trading week around the current levels reached.

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Re: Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS.com

Postby MAYZUS-Neeraj » Mon Feb 24, 2014 6:34 am

24 February 2014: Neutral Dynamics Remain In The Markets

DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


Last week finished on a positive note, with the European stock markets managing to close the third trading week in a row with an increase. Following the results of the session, the index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, increased by 0.37%, the French CAC 40 added 0.59%, and the German DAX went to plus by 0.4%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased by 0.39% and was closed on a level of 336.09 points, which represents the maximum value in six years.

At the same time, the situation in the American market was not so positive, and indices closed the week with a small decrease. The Dow Jones lost 0.24%, finishing on the level of 16103.30 points. The S&P 500 fell by 0.08% traded on a level of 1836.25 points, and the Nasdaq managed to keep in a symbolical plus by 0.09%, reaching the level of 4263.41 points.

Macroeconomic statistical data published on Friday was quite different. Data on the labor market for the last two months, in fact, has been rather positive, but at the same time, data in the real estate sector absolutely disappointed investors. So, the figures from the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) showed that the trust level among builders significantly worsened in February to a level of 46 points, in comparison with 56 points last month.

The situation in the commodities market remains the same. Brent this morning adds 0.09% and is traded on a level of 109.95$ per barrel. WTI is increasing by 0.18% and is bargaining next to the level of 102.38$ per barrel. Gold and silver are increasing by 0.58% and 0.32% accordingly, traded on levels of 1331.22$ and 21.85$ per troy ounce.

In the first half of the day, data on the index of business climate of IFO in Germany for February will be published, and most likely we are going to see similar numbers to the ZEW index, presented last week. The Index showed a decrease from 61.7 to 55.7 points. The index of activity of the FED of Chicago will be presented in the evening.

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