Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS.com

Re: Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS.com

Postby MAYZUS-Neeraj » Tue Feb 25, 2014 6:36 am

25 February 2014: Europe Continues To Please Investors With Positive Statistics

DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


On Monday, the stock market of the United States finished the trading session with a moderate growth of the main indices. During the session, the Standard & Poor's 500 index managed to surpass the previous record, recorded on the 15th of January, 2014. S&P 500 managed to increase by 0.62% to the level of 1847.61 points, the Dow Jones Industrial Average raised by 0.64% to the level of 16207.14 points, and the Nasdaq Composite went to plus on 0.69% and reached the level of 4292.97 points.

The trading session in Europe was also rather positive, supported by publications of good macroeconomic statistical data. The index of business optimism of IFO of Germany for February, made 111.3 points, at average forecasts of 110.6 points. Besides that, it is worth paying attention to the final data on the Eurozone consumer price index for January which, as expected, decreased by 1.1%, whereas in comparison with the data of the similar period of last year, the growth of the indicator made 0.8%.

Following the results of the trading session, the index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, increased by 0.4%, the French CAC 40 added 0.9%, and the German DAX went to plus by 0.5%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased by 0.6% and was closed on a level of 338.19 points.

The positive spirit was also carried over to the Asian exchanges, where, since the morning, trading takes place in positive territory. The Japanese Nikkei grows by 1.44%, the Korean KOSPI adds 0.74% and only the Shanghai Composite index losses 2.05%.

Today will not be over saturated with statistics, except for indicators of consumer confidence from Conference Board, which partly reflect both the state in the labor market, and volumes of retails.

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Re: Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS.com

Postby MAYZUS-Neeraj » Wed Feb 26, 2014 6:10 am

26 February 2014: New Drivers Are Necessary In The Markets For Further Movement

DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


Yesterday's trading session ended in the red zone, indices were consolidating at the reached levels, unable to move forward, but at the same time they were not ready to lose these levels.

The statistics which were published during the day were generally of a mixed character. The economy of Germany increased in the 4th quarter of the past year by 0.4%, in comparison with the last three months. In an annual expression, gross domestic product of Germany grew by 1.4%, the data coinciding with preliminary estimates and forecasts of analysts.

Following the results of the trading session, the British FTSE 100 decreased by 0.52%, and the French CAC 40 and German DAX lost 0.10%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased by less than 0.1%, having closed on the level of 338.39 points.

This morning already the index of consumer confidence of Gfk for March was published already, which made 8.5 points, when 8.2 points were expected.

As for the statistics from the USA, the price index on real estate, counted for the 20 largest cities in December, grew by 0.76% in comparison with last month, where analysts expected growth of the indicator by 0.6%. In the meantime, the index of consumer confidence in the USA decreased in February to 78.1 points. Analysts predicted the indicator to fall to only 80 points.

Following the results of the trading session, the indicator of blue chips, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index, was closed on a level of 16179.66 points and lost 0.17%. The index of the wide market S&P 500 lost 0.13% and reached the level of 1845.12 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, receded by 0.13% to the level of 4287.59 points.

Later this evening there is going to be statistics from the US published on sales of new houses for January.

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Re: Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS.com

Postby MAYZUS-Neeraj » Thu Feb 27, 2014 6:11 am

27 February 2014: There Is Not Enough Positive News In The Markets

DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department
.

After a long period of disappointing data from America, yesterday the statistics were finally able to please the participants of the market, which supported positions of the dollar (which had been considerably weakened in relation to all main currencies in the past several weeks).

Accordingly to the data published yesterday, sales of new houses in January reached the maximum level since July, 2008 - 0.468 million, whereas analysts predicted an increase up to only 0.4 million. At the same time,the December value of the indicator was reconsidered from 0.414 million to 0.427 million.

It also should be noted that yesterday investors could've followed speeches of the head of the FED of Dallas, Richard Fischer, and the head of the FED of Boston, Eric Rosengren. In particular, Fischer hopes that the FED will continue turning of the program of purchase of assets on $10 billion monthly, even in the case of an essential correction in the stock market. Meanwhile, Eric Rosengren, who is against further cuts of the QE3 program, declared that there is remaining weakness on the labor market, and also the weather factor influenced the deterioration of the latest economic data, which demands the continuation of aggressive stimulation of the national economy.

All these factors have been having a short term effect on the markets, and as a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index rose by 0.12% and was closed on a level of 16 198.41 points, the S&P 500 went to plus by 0.01% to the level of 1845.16 points, and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, increased by 0.10% to the level of 4292.06 points.

The situation in the commodities market has not changed significantly. Brent and WTI are losing this morning, 0.09% and 0.20% accordingly, traded on levels of 109.42$ and 102.38$ per barrel. Silver and gold are also a bit weaker, falling down by 0.16% and 0.35% accordingly. Gold is on a price of 1325.83$ per troy ounce, silver is on the level of 21.18$ per troy ounce.

Today we are going to see releases of several interesting reports from the USA, such as the volume of orders for goods of long using, the number of demands for receiving unemployment benefits, and also Janet Yellen's speech.

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Re: Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS.com

Postby MAYZUS-Neeraj » Fri Feb 28, 2014 5:06 am

28 February 2014: Standard & Poor’s 500 Managed To Update A Historical Maximum

DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


Yesterday, the stock market of the United States finished the trading session with a moderate growth of the main indices. What is more interesting, is that Standard & Poor’s 500 managed to update a historical maximum, finishing the trading session with an increase of 0.49% and reaching a level of 1854.29 points. In the meantime, Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.46% traded on a level of 16272.65 points, and Nasdaq Composite went to plus by 0.63%, to the level of 4318.93 points.

Partly this increase was promoted by published macroeconomic statistical data. Orders for long use goods in January were reduced by less than what was forecast, 1% instead of the expected 1.5%. However, data for December was revised towards a fall from -4.2% to -5.3%. The number of primary requests for unemployment benefits for the last week unexpectedly increased from the reconsidered 334 thousand to 348 thousand.

In the evening, investors were waiting for the speech of the head of the FED – Janet Yellen, who, this time, sounded much softer and expressed a slightly different opinion since her last performance. She stated that the FED might change their strategy of the exit from QE3, in the case we see further considerable changes in the economic picture. Yellen agreed that during the last 2 weeks, the macroeconomic statistical reports are much worse than at the end of the last year.

The situation in the commodities market is still stable, and more or less remains the same, Brent is down by 0.16% traded on a level of 108.79$ per barrel. WTI is losing 0.36% and is bargaining next to the level of 102.03$ per barrel. Gold is up by 0.06% on a level of 1332.64$ per troy ounce, and silver is down by 0.22% on a price of 21.30$ per troy ounce.

Today we are going to see data on CPI rate in the Eurozone, GDP data of the United States, as well as Michigan Consumer Sentiment and pending home sales.

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Re: Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS.com

Postby MAYZUS-Neeraj » Mon Mar 03, 2014 5:27 am

03 March 2014: The Russian Market Is Captured By A Panic

DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


The end of the 2013 and the beginning of 2014 can be characterized with the fact that the markets are trying to manage to cope with unforeseen situations and news from different corners of the earth. Markets just managed more or less to stabilize situation in the emerging markets of the developing countries, after FED made the decision to start cutting off the program of quantitative easing, then new problems are starting to fall upon the markets of the different countries.

The whole world watched more than a month a situation developing in Ukraine, which brought to weakening of the Ukrainian currency and destabilization of the financial situation of the country. There are opinions, that the country default, is almost inevitable. In addition to it the situation in Ukraine led to collapse in the Russian market, which strongly gave up on Friday and continued to decrease today at the opening of the trading session.

MICEX at this moment is losing 8,26%, traded on a level of the 1325,33 points; RTS is down for 9,59%, traded on a level of the 1146,13 points. All the stocks of the Russian companies are traded in minus, Gazprom is down for 11,39%, VTB bank is losing 11,79%, Sberbank decreasing for 8,70%. All the other companies are down for more than 5%. Russian ruble is very weak and in relation to EUR traded above 50 rubles. One of the Russian banks in the region of the Krasnoyarsk, Sibirskiy bank, has put a sell level of euro on a price of 60 rubles. At present in the market simply reigns the panic.

In turn, American indexes on Friday managed to close weak in a moderate plus. The Dow Jones industrial average index raised on 0,30% up to the level of 16321,71 points, the S&P 500 index raised on 0,28%, having closed at the level of 1859,45 points and just the Nasdaq Composite index decreased on 0,25% up to value of 4308,12 points.

Statistical data on GDP of the country disappointed the market and has made 2,4% at expected 2,5%. However, published then final index of consumer confidence of Michigan university which raised in February to 81,6 points from 81,2 points in January encouraged investors, having surpassed both consensus forecast of 81,3 points, and preliminary value of 81,2 points.

Asian stock markets are traded in a red zone and are losing around 1%, European stock markets also started trading session in a red zone, German DAX is losing 2,38%, French CAC40 decreasing for 0,76%.

The only positive development can be observed on the commodities market, where Brent and WTI are increasing for 1,41% and 1,25% traded on a price of 110,17$ and 103,16$ for barrel. Gold is increasing for 1,91% up to the level of 1346,91$ and silver is up for 1,73%, bargaining next to the level of 21,61$ for troy ounce.

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Re: Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS.com

Postby MAYZUS-Neeraj » Tue Mar 04, 2014 5:52 am

04 March 2014: Tension Round The Conflict Between Russia And Ukraine Presses On The Markets

DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


Yesterday’s trading session took place under pressure from the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. The main Russian indices lost more than 10%-12%, and shares of the largest companies which are counted as a part of the indices, lost from 5% to 20%. This morning at the opening of the trading session, the situation seemed to be stabilizing slightly, but the perspectives of the Russian market on the short-term prospective are not so bright. MICEX is up by 2.11% and RTS is increasing by 2.54%, shares of the companies are, in majority, in the green zone, but are adding insignificant amounts in comparison to yesterday’s fall.

The trading session in the United States was also influenced by negative moods surrounding the conflict in Ukraine, and indices closed the trading day in the red zone. Even good macroeconomic statistical data that was published could not give enough support to the market. Growth rates of personal income in January made 0.3%, while personal expenses 0.4%, at average forecasts of these indicators on 0.2% and 0.1%. Expenses on construction for January increased by 0.1%, though a decrease by 0.5% was expected, and December's growth rate was reconsidered towards a significant increase from 0.1% to 1.5%. At last, the index of economic conditions of ISM in the non-productive sphere in February made 53.2, at average expectations on the level of 52.

As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average went down by 0.94% to the level of 16168.03 points, the S&P 500 decreased by 0.74% to the level of 1845.73 points, and the index of high-tech industries, Nasdaq Composite, went to a minus by 0.72% and reached a level of 4277.30 points.

The same picture was observed during the European session. Improvement of the statistics on the industry in Switzerland, the Eurozone, and Germany, were still unable to give considerable support to the exchanges. The British FTSE 100 index went down by 1.49% to a level of 6708.35 points, the Swiss SMI lost 2.29% and reached the level of 8281.01 points, and the German DAX decreased by 3.44% to the level of 9358.89 points.

Commodities are down today, with Brent and WTI losing 1.44% and 1.22% accordingly, traded on level of 109.17$ and 102.95$ per barrel. Gold is losing 0.87%, falling to the price of 1338.48$ per troy ounce, and silver is decreasing by 1.21% to the level of 21.22$.

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Re: Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS.com

Postby MAYZUS-Neeraj » Wed Mar 05, 2014 7:34 am

05 March 2014: Tension Weakened In The Markets

DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index increased by 1.41% and went to plus on a level of 16395.88 points. The index of the wide market, S&P 500, rose by 1.53% to the level of 1873.91 points (reaching a new maximum level), and the index of the hi-tech companies, Nasdaq, added 1.75% in value and grew to the level of 4351.97 points.

The trading session in Europe also finished in positive territory. The index of Great Britain, FTSE 100, increased by 1.7%, the French CAC 40 added 2.5%, and the German DAX went to plus also by 2.5%. The regional STXE 600 indicator, in turn, increased by 2.1% and was closed on a level of 337.15 points.

Today, macroeconomic statistical data on indexes of business activity in the services sector of Germany will be published, as well as the Eurozone and Great Britain. We will also see data on gross domestic product and retails in the Eurozone. In the evening, the report on the index of economic conditions of ISM in the services sector of the USA will be presented.

You should also be reminded that tomorrow,Thursday the 6th of March, the meeting of the ECB is planned, and the euro seems to have been under some pressure before this event, due to the fact that it is still unclear what to expect from the ECB. Recovery of the economy of the region still is not the same for all of the members, and the deflation threat in the Eurozone keeps the relevance of monetary mitigation. According to recent data, in February consumer inflation made 0.8%, which is much lower than the 2% target level of the European Central Bank, and yesterday's statistics on the production prices showed a reduction of prices in the region in January by 1.4%, at consensus forecast of -1.3%.

Prices of oil and precious metals are correcting after the increase over the last few days. Brent is losing 0.33%, traded on a level of 108.50$ per barrel. WTI is down by just 0.09% on a level of 102.58$. Gold is losing 0.22%, and silver adds 0.22%, traded on prices of 1335.00$ and 21.27$ per troy ounce.

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Re: Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS.com

Postby MAYZUS-Neeraj » Thu Mar 06, 2014 9:06 am

06 March 2014: Meeting Of The European Central Bank Is The Center Of Attention

DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


According to the published data in the Eurozone, the index of business activity in the services sector rose in February to 52.6 points, from 51.7 points a month earlier. Retail sales grew in January by 1.6% after a fall of 1.3% in December. Besides that, gross domestic product in the Eurozone, according to the revised data, increased in the fourth quarter by 0.3% at the quarterly expression, and 0.5% at the yearly expression, which coincided with preliminary data and expectations of the majority of analysts.

Following the results of the trading session, the British FTSE 100 receded by 0.71%, the French CAC 40 became 0.11% easier, and the German DAX went to a minus by 0.49%. The regional STXE 600 indicator decreased, in turn, by less than 0.1%, having closed on a mark of 337.06 points. It should be noted that the markets of Belgium, Italy, Spain, Switzerland and Scandinavia, were closed in the "green" zone.

As for the statistics from the USA, the index of economic conditions of ISM in the non-productive sphere made 51.6 points in February, while analysts predicted a result of 53.5 points. Data on the labor market also disappointed investors, employment of ADP made 139 thousand, which was worse than expectations of analysts on a level of 160 thousand. Additionally, the previous value of the indicator was reconsidered to the smaller amount, from 175 thousand to 127 thousand.

Following the results of the trading session, the indicator of blue chips, Dow Jones Industrial Average, went down by 0.22% to the level of 16360.18 points, the index of the wide market, Standard&Poor's 500, decreased by just 0.01% reaching a level of 1873.81 points, and the index of high-tech industries, Nasdaq Composite, went to plus on 0.14% and reached the level of 4357.97 points.

The chairman of the FED, Janet Yellen, declared yesterday that some time may pass before the regulator will be able to see positive statistical data supporting positive development of economic conditions. In the speech, Yellen noted that the FED needs to perform a huge amount of difficult work in order to achieve target indicators on inflation and unemployment, and also restore damage from the financial crisis. Further decisions regarding the QE3 program are going to be taken during the next meeting of the FED, which will take place on the 18th-19th of March.

In the meantime, today the attention of investors will be riveted towards Europe where there will be meetings of two Central Banks – the Bank of England, and the European Central Bank. If the first will not bring adjustments to the course of the monetary policy and will refrain from comments, from the second it is very much expected.

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Re: Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS.com

Postby MAYZUS-Neeraj » Fri Mar 07, 2014 6:47 am

07 March 2014: ECB Gives The Euro Incentives To Clamber Up

DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


Yesterday's trading session took place under the auspices of the expected meeting of the European Central Bank. The ECB kept the key interest rate at the former level of 0.25% and improved the forecast on economic growth. According to the new estimates of the European Central Bank, gross domestic product of the Eurozone will grow by 1.2% this year, whereas an increase of 1.1% was predicted earlier.

This decision was not a surprise and did not have any special impact on the markets, but the awaited press conference of Mario Draghi after the meeting did not please investors. He stated that the European Central Bank intends to keep key interest rates at the current level, or will lower them over longer period of time, whereas participants of the markets expected to hear hints on the possible reduction of rates in the near future.

As a result, indices closed the trading session with a insignificant growth, the British FTSE 100 got stronger by 0.19%, the French CAC 40 increased by 0.59%, and the German DAX went to plus by 0.01%. The regional STXE 600 indicator increased, in turn, by less than 0.1%, having closed on a level of 337.28 points.

Additionally , the euro strengthened its position in relation to the dollar and other currencies. The EUR/USD currency pair managed, from the level of opening at 1.3732 to go up to the maximum level on 1.3872, and this morning, is traded on a level of 1.3868.

As for the situation in the American platforms, the number of primary requests for unemployment benefits in the USA was reduced last week from the reconsidered value of 349 thousand to 323 thousand, and it appeared to be below expectations of 338 thousand.

Following the results of the session, the indicator of blue chips, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, raised by 0.38% to the level of 16421.89 points, the index of the wide market, Standard & Poor's 500, increased by 0.17% to the level of 1877.03 points, and the index of high-tech industries, Nasdaq Composite, went to a minus on 0.13% and reached a level of 4352.13 points.

In the evening, the attention of investors is going to be focused on the data on the labor market of the USA. Most probably, this data will not bring any significant changes, but now the ECB meeting is over, statistics from the US are going to be the main focus of investors attention. Yesterday, some representatives of the FED stated that only the sharp deterioration of indicators will lead to a change of course on the repayment reduction. One of them, the head of the FED of Philadelphia, Plosser, also made assumptions that it could take at least another two months before we see signs of the data being unaffected by the unusually cold winter conditions.

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Re: Daily Market Reviews by MAYZUS.com

Postby MAYZUS-Neeraj » Mon Mar 10, 2014 6:55 am

10 March 2014: The Positive Statistics From The Labor Market Supported The Markets

DAILY MARKET REVIEWS
By Kristina Leonova: Analyst in Portfolio Asset Management Department.


On the last day of the first trading week of the month, as always, it was marked with the publication of one of the most important macroeconomic statistical reports of the United States - data on the labor market from the Ministry of Labor of the USA, as well as the change of employment in the non-agricultural sector of the country.

The published data appeared to be better than expectations of 151 thousand, making 175 thousand. According to experts, labor employment in February could've proceeded more actively if not for the extreme weather conditions in many states of the country, which saw people spending twice as much time in order to get to work, and experiencing serious transport difficulties. Thus, there is hope that the decrease in the indicator had a seasonal nature, and the situation in the sector will continue to stabilize. In the meantime, unemployment rate grew to 6.7% from 6.6% in January.

As a result, the Dow Jones industrial average index raised by 0.19% to the level of 16452.72 points, and the increase over the week made 0.8%. The Standard & Poor's 500 index raised by just 0.05%, having closed at the level of 1878.04 points, and gained 1.0% throughout the week. The Nasdaq Composite index decreased by 0.37% to the value of 4336.22 points, having added 0.7% within the week.

Commodities opened the trading week in the red zone. Gold was also falling in price on Friday, as positive data on employment, most likely, will give the FED grounds to reduce the QE-3 program once again, at the same volume at the following meeting. Even gold gained 1.3% for the last week, and this morning the price of the precious metal is falling by 0.50% and is traded on a level of 1331.58$ per troy ounce. Silver is losing even more – 1.14%, bargaining next to the level of 20.69$ per troy ounce.

Brent and WTI are losing 0.96% and 1.28% accordingly, traded on prices of 107.42$ and 100.69$ per barrel.

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