DAILY OVERVIEW
Trend : Short
Ambush Zone : -
Target 1 : -
Target 2 : -
Stop : -
Comments
There was a solution of sorts to the current Euro Zone crisis but we await the open of local Cyprus banks on Friday to see if there is capital flight and how the capital restrictions that are put in place prevent this.
This morning the banking sectors and the citizens of Luxembourg, Malta and Slovenia are probably feeling a little on edge after the Dutch finance minister Jeroen Dijsselbloem and head of the Eurogroup made comments that Cyprus solution was a template for other countries with similar financial sectors to Cyprus. The markets took this as whose next? This can be seen clearly by the sharp reversal in EURUSD which initially attempted to break higher only to reverse and fall to a new low.
The price action is now extended from the 8 period moving average and any pullbacks to this area are possible shorting opportunity. However with so much news around combined with European politicians and official’s propensity to brief without warning one has to expect increased volatility for the foreseeable future.
Definitions
Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
HH : Higher High
HL : Higher Low
LL : Lower Low
LH : Lower High
CofT : Change of Trend
Daily Technical Analysis for GBPUSD as at 26th March 2013
DAILY OVERVIEW
Trend : Short
Ambush Zone : -
Target 1 : -
Target 2 : -
Stop : -
Comments
As predicted, GBPUSD traded to the 34 period moving average and resistance. This is an area where the upward momentum has stalled. We are monitoring the price action to see if it can reverse to the downside from these levels. However as the current price action is supported by the 8 period moving averages we would like to see a breach and close beneath this average to confirm any reversal. Alternatively, a breach and close above yesterdays range could possibly signal much higher values for GBPUSD especially as a breach above the range would signal the continuation of the move from an inverse head and shoulders pattern.
Definitions
Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis.
HH : Higher High
HL : Higher Low
LL : Lower Low
LH : Lower High
CofT : Change of Trend
Daily Technical Analysis for USDCHF as at 26th March 2013
DAILY OVERVIEW
Trend : Long
Ambush Zone : -
Target 1 : -
Target 2 : -
Stop : -
Comments
There has been a great deal of volatility in USDCHF over past few sessions with a messy range and a wild reversal day yesterday that initially pushed the Franc lower to the 34 period moving average only to reverse and close higher. USDCHF is currently trading above the 8 period moving averages. We are monitoring a possible move into the direction of the last isolated HH.
Definitions
Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
HH : Higher High
HL : Higher Low
LL : Lower Low
LH : Lower High
CofT : Change of Trend
Daily Technical Analysis for USDJPY as at 26th March 2013
DAILY OVERVIEW
Trend : Long
Ambush Zone : -
Target 1 : -
Target 2 : -
Stop : -
Comments
The USDJPY is trading at the 34 period moving average and we are monitoring this area as potential support. If Yen can pop up above the 8 period moving average then we will monitor a possible move to the last isolated HH. Alternatively a close beneath the 34 period moving averages combined with a black cross, (the short average crossing beneath the long average) could signal a temporary end to this long up trend.
Definitions
Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
HH : Higher High
HL : Higher Low
LL : Lower Low
LH : Lower High
CofT : Change of Trend
Daily Technical Analysis for Gold as at 26th March 2013
DAILY OVERVIEW
Trend : Short
Ambush Zone : 1619.30 – 1656.55
Target 1 : 1554.60
Target 2 : 1526.85
Stop : 1684.80
Comments
Gold has found some resistance at the 34 period moving averages but as mentioned in previous postings we now have a Golden Cross (short average crossing above the long average). This could possibly signal higher values for Gold.
Definitions
Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
HH : Higher High
HL : Higher Low
LL : Lower Low
LH : Lower High
CofT : Change of Trend
Daily Technical Analysis for Oil (WTI) as at 26th March 2013
DAILY OVERVIEW
Trend : Long
Ambush Zone : 91.70 – 87.90
Target 1 : 98.20
Target 2 : 100.40
Stop : 85.20
Comments
Oil broke higher from its congestion range and is once again there is a possibility of a Golden Cross (short term average crossing the long term average) occurring over the next couple of sessions. As the bias has once again switched to the long side we are monitoring pullbacks to the 8 period moving averages as possible long opportunities.
Definitions
Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
HH : Higher High
HL : Higher Low
LL : Lower Low
LH : Lower High
CofT : Change of Trend