DAILY OVERVIEW
Trend : Long
Ambush Zone : 1.3485 -1.3360
Target 1 : 1.3710
Target 2 : 1.4250
Stop : <1.3263
Comments
EURUSD yesterday did breach the down trend line but this was an area where some buying came into the market. The true extent of this buying should be made apparent today if today we see a significant bounce.
We continue to monitor the price action to see if the uptrend line does in fact become an important area for support.
Definitions
Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
HH : Higher High
HL : Higher Low
LL : Lower Low
LH : Lower High
CofT : Change of Trend
Daily Technical Analysis for GBPUSD as at 22nd February 2013
DAILY OVERVIEW
Trend : Short
Ambush Zone : -
Target 1 : -
Target 2 : -
Stop : -
Comments
That GBPUSD had a good bounce off the lows yesterday was not surprising as the price action was very much extended from its short term moving averages. This morning the positive reversal has continued with GBPUSD now trading above an area of previous support being 1.5230 to 1.5270. If the price action can hold above this area of support a move to the 8 period moving averages is a possibility and this may also be an area where shorts could be contemplated. Alternatively if we trade beneath support a move to the lasted isolated LL is a possibility.
Definitions
Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis.
HH : Higher High
HL : Higher Low
LL : Lower Low
LH : Lower High
CofT : Change of Trend
Daily Technical Analysis for USDCHF as at 22nd February 2013
DAILY OVERVIEW
Trend : Short
Ambush Zone : 0.9205 – 0.9310
Target 1 : 0.9020
Target 2 : 0.8930
Stop : >0.9390
Comments
The bullish momentum in USDCHF stalled a little and this morning we are seeing the first signs of some bearishness at the top of the Fibonacci resistance area. As both GBP and Gold did bounce somewhat it is not inconceivable that CHF also adds value against the USD. To ascertain the next possible direction the monitoring of the price action on lower times where one could identify Swing Low or Swing High failures may give possible clues.
Definitions
Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
HH : Higher High
HL : Higher Low
LL : Lower Low
LH : Lower High
CofT : Change of Trend
Daily Technical Analysis for USDJPY as at 22nd February 2013
DAILY OVERVIEW
Trend : Long
Ambush Zone : -
Target 1 : -
Target 2 : -
Stop : -
Comments
As always the 8 period moving averages has offered significant support to the rise of USDJPY. This currency pair is now experiencing prolonged sideways activity. The last time this occurred was back in November and early December prior to USDJPY stellar breakout. One could possibly consider buying approaches to the 8 period moving averages as this has worked in the past or could alternatively draw lines above the top and bottom of this current congestion area and trade the break out or break down. There is a bigger picture to consider which is what is happening right now with the US Bond market and its inverse correlation with US equities and its further relation with USDJPY and capital shifting to Asia.
Definitions
Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
HH : Higher High
HL : Higher Low
LL : Lower Low
LH : Lower High
CofT : Change of Trend
Daily Technical Analysis for Gold as at 22nd February 2013
DAILY OVERVIEW
Trend : Short
Ambush Zone : -
Target 1 : -
Target 2 : -
Stop : -
Comments
Gold yesterday experience a good bounce off the lows which has followed through to this morning. As in the case of GBPUSD this was not a huge surprise as the price action was very much extended from its short term moving averages. A move to the 8 period moving averages is a possibility and this may also be an area where shorts could be considered. Alternatively a failure to move higher should give the bears some encouragement to push Gold into the direction of the last isolated LL .
Definitions
Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
HH : Higher High
HL : Higher Low
LL : Lower Low
LH : Lower High
CofT : Change of Trend
Daily Technical Analysis for Oil (WTI) as at 22nd February 2013
DAILY OVERVIEW
Trend : Long
Ambush Zone : -
Target 1 : -
Target 2 : -
Stop : -
Comments
Oil yesterday continued is move lower and as expected was attracted to the down trend line that has been discussed previously. That Oil did not breach the trend line may give the bulls some encouragement but after such an aggressive down move some good evidence is required if one is to add long term swing trades.
Definitions
Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
HH : Higher High
HL : Higher Low
LL : Lower Low
LH : Lower High
CofT : Change of Trend