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Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

PostPosted: Tue Jul 16, 2013 4:36 am
by WindsorBrokers

The Euro trades in a prolonged consolidation, holding in a sideways mode, with price action being entrenched within 1.3000/80 range. Hourly studies are still neutral, as the price attempts through the range tops, while 4-hour technicals maintain bullish tone and see scope for fresh strength that needs to clear initial barriers at 1.3121/45, to open key resistance at 1.3205. Double hanging man candle on the daily chart, however, keeps the risk of fresh weakness, with slide below key support levels at 1.3000/1.2980 that keep the downside protected for now, required to bring bears in play.

Res: 1.3100; 1.3121; 1.3145, 1.3205
Sup: 1.3050; 1.3000; 1.2980; 1.2926



Cable’s hourly studies remain neutral, despite the price dented initial support and range floor at 1.5060, on a dip to 1.5026, as quick recovery above 1.5100, brought the price back to the range. From the other side, 4-hour chart maintain positive, with fresh strength, still being in play. Monday’s Doji candle shows indecision and sees potential for prolonged consolidation, with break of either 1.5026 or 1.5130, required to signal fresh direction.

Res: 1.5170; 1.5192; 1.5200; 1.5220
Sup: 1.5089; 1.5060; 1.5000; 1.4979



The pair extended short-term recovery off 98.22 low, as the price initially broke above 99.68, consolidation range top and more important psychological 100 barrier. Fresh rally reached 100.47 so far, with corrective pullback being contained at 99.68, previous low / 55DMA. Positively aligned hourly studies keep the upside favored, with sustained break above 100 hurdle, expected to resume recovery and open key 101.52 barrier, 08/07 high. Conversely, downside risk would increase on a violation of initial 99.68 support, while loss of 99.00 handle will be bearish and shift focus towards 98.22 low.

Res: 100.00; 100.47; 100.62; 101.00
Sup: 99.68; 99.34; 99.00; 98.87



The Aussie remains extends recovery rally from 0.8997 low, as break above 0.9115 congestion top triggered fresh strength to important 0.9200 resistance zone. Freshly established bulls on hourly chart are supportive for further recovery, with 4-hour chart indicators heading north and building up bullish momentum. However, clear break above 0.9200 hurdle is seen as minimum requirement to open way towards key barriers at 0.9304 and 0.9343, 11/07 high and 26/27/07 tops / near 50% of 0.9664/0.8997 descend. Only break above the latter would be signaling more significant corrective action, as larger picture bears remain fully in play.

Res: 0.9200; 0.9232; 0.9252; 0.9304
Sup: 0.9145; 0.9115; 0.9085; 0.9034