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Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

PostPosted: Mon Jul 08, 2013 7:39 am
by WindsorBrokers

The Euro fell further on Friday and ended week just above strong support at 1.2795, 17/05 low, losing 1.78% for the week. Negative tone keeps the price pressured for full retracement of 1.2795/1.3414 upleg, as the price broke below bull-trendline, connecting 1.2744/1.2795 lows. Scope is seen for eventual push lower for test of 1.2744/50 double-bottom and completion of bull phase the commenced from these levels. Brief consolidation above Friday’s fresh low is triggered by oversold conditions, with any stronger rally, expected to find strong barrier at 1.2955, 50% retracement of 1.3102/1.2805 downleg / daily Ichimoku cloud base.

Res: 1.2870; 1.2920; 1.2955; 1.2989
Sup: 1.2805; 1.2795; 1.2750; 1.2700


Cable remains under increased pressure, with fresh weakness, seen last Friday, losing 23/29 / 05 double-bottom and psychological support at 1.5000 and accelerating losses below 1.4900 handle, to post fresh 4-month low at 1.4856. After completing 1.5000/1.5751 upleg, the pair is looking for test of another important support at 1.4830, 12/03 low / near 61.8% retracement of longer-term 1.3501/1.7041 ascend, to fully reverse larger bull phase. With bears dominating on larger and lower timeframes studies, further weakness is seen favored, with bears to be interrupted by limited corrective rallies on oversold short-term conditions. Former lower platform and 50% retracement of 1.5303/1.4856 downleg at 1.5080, offers solid resistance and is expected to cap.

Res: 1.4915; 1.4960; 1.5000; 1.5026
Sup: 1.4856; 1.4830; 1.4800; 1.4780


The pair rallied strongly on Friday, with acceleration higher started from higher base at 100.00 and completed 100.84/99.25 corrective phase. Break and weekly close above 101.00 barrier, suggests further appreciation, with initial targets standing at 101.79, 30/05 high and psychological 102.00 barrier. Extension above the latter is expected to open May’s lower platform at 102.50. Prevailing positive tone on short-term studies, supports the notion, with corrective pullback on overbought conditions, expected to precede fresh rallies. Good support lies at 100.40 zone, 50% of 99.25/101.52 upleg / 05/07 high and is seen as ideal reversal point.

Res: 101.52; 101.79; 102.00; 102.56
Sup: 100.84; 100.65; 100.40; 100.00


The Aussie dollar came under pressure and ended the week in red, after recovery rally stalled at 0.9179 and fresh bearish acceleration left a double-top. Quick reversal nearly fully retraced 0.9035/0.9179, short-term corrective phase. Bears look for break below 0.9035, 03/07 low that guards psychological 0.9000 support and 0.8959, Fibonacci 100% expansion of the downwave that commenced from 1.0581. Bearish 20/55 DMA’s crossover at 0.9115, maintains bears, while only rally above 0.9179 barrier would delay bears.

Res: 0.9100; 0.9121; 0.9179; 0.9200
Sup: 0.9035; 0.9000; 0.8959; 0.8900