Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

Postby WindsorBrokers » Thu Jun 13, 2013 6:45 am


The Euro continues to trend higher and hits levels close to 1.3400 barrier, on fresh acceleration at European opening. Bulls remain unobstructed and clearance of the latter to open next target and double Fibonacci level at 1.3482/88, 76.4% retracement of 1.3710/1.2744 descend and 138.2% expansion of the upleg from 1.2795. Corrective pullback may interrupt the rally, as near-term indicators are entering overbought zone, with immediate support at 1.3340, 23.6% of 1.3176/1.3389 / 20 day EMA and more significant 1.3305, previous high of 06 Jun / 55 day EMA, while violation of yesterday’s low at 1.3264, near 50% retracement, would signal deeper reversal and put bulls on hold.

Res: 1.3389, 1.3400, 1.3433, 1.3482
Sup: 1.3340, 1.3305, 1.3283, 1.3264



Cable maintains positive near-term tone, with price action being congested at psychological / 200 day MA 1.5700 barrier. Hourly studies are losing traction, while bearish MACD/RSI divergence on 4h chart increases risk of pause in recent rally, in favor of further consolidative/corrective action towards initial support at 1.5632, yesterday’s low / 55 day EMA and 1.5620, Fib 38.2% of 1.5493/1.5700, where dips should be ideally contained. Otherwise, penetration through 1.5600, 50% retracement, would signal stronger correction towards key near term support and higher platform at 1.5500.

Res: 1.5700, 1.5750, 1.5774, 1.5800
Sup: 1.5632, 1.5620, 1.5600, 1.5572



The pair remains under strong pressure, as fresh bearish acceleration was triggered on yesterday’s upside rejection at 97.00. The price surged through Ichimoku cloud base at 95.39 and previous low at 94.97 and also broke below 94.00 support, in a free-fall towards the next significant support and near-term targets at 92.56, 02 Apr low. Daily close below the cloud base is to confirm bearish structure, as studies on lower and larger timeframes are negative. Minor corrective rallies may interrupt bears, as studies are entering oversold territory, with previous lows at 95.00 zone, offering initial resistance.

Res: 94.43, 94.90, 95.12, 95.58
Sup: 93.78, 93.50, 93.00, 92.56



Near-term correction off fresh 3-years low at 0.9324, was capped at 0.9562 and fresh slide to 0.9430, weakened hourly structure. The pair remains in a near-term corrective mode, but lack strength for more significant recovery, as technical of the larger timeframes are negative and 4h 55 day EMA limits the upside for now. As overall bears remain in play, downside risk will persist as long as important barriers at 0.9672 and 0.9790 stay intact. Only break above the latter would sideline bears and allow for stronger correction.

Res: 0.9500, 0.9540, 0.9573, 0.9600
Sup: 0.9427, 0.9414, 0.9380, 0.9324

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