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Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (11:15 GMT)

PostPosted: Tue Apr 19, 2016 7:30 am
by WindsorBrokers
EURUSD
The pair holds positive near-term tone on two-day recovery from 1.1232 low, which came ticks away from pivotal 1.1348 barrier (daily Tenkan-sen line / 50% retracement of 1.1463/1.1232 downleg).
Overall bullish structure favors further upside, as reversed daily Slow Stochastic shows more room for bullish extension.
Sustained break above Tenkan-sen barrier to open 1.1375 (Fibo 61.8%) and psychological 1.1400 barrier. Daily close above 1.1375 is needed to shift focus towards key 1.1463 barrier (12 Apr fresh multi-month high).
Session low at 1.1300, marks initial support, with extended dips expected to find footstep above 1.1260 (daily Kijun-sen line.

Res: 1.1320; 1.1348; 1.1375; 1.1409
Sup: 1.1300; 1.1260; 1.1232; 1.1200
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GBPUSD

Cable hit strong barrier at 1.4338 (daily Ichimoku cloud top), on today’s extension of two-day recovery from 1.4130 higher base.
Yesterday’s close in long bullish daily candle and above daily Kijun-sen line (1.4258), generated strong bullish signal for further recovery.
The pair met the first of two pivotal barriers at 1.4338/1.4345 (daily cloud top / 12 Apr high), with close above these barriers, required to bring short-term bulls fully in play and spark further recovery of larger 1.4512/1.4004 descend.
Broken daily Kijun-sen line at 1.4258, also Fibo 38.2% of 1.4130/1.4336 upleg, offers solid support, which is expected to ideally contain dips, while return below daily cloud base at 1.4219, will shift near-term bias lower.
Res: 1.4338; 1.4345; 1.4392; 1.4457
Sup: 1.4282; 1.4258; 1.4219; 1.4163

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USDJPY

The pair trades in extended recovery from yesterday’s low at 107.82, as today’s fresh gains establish above 109 handle.
Near-term studies are in mixed setup, as hourlies hold in full bullish mode, while 4-hour technicals are neutral.
Bigger picture shows negative structure, with price action consolidating within 107.60/109.71 range and fresh recovery rallies, bringing the price in the upper side of near-term range.
Prolonged consolidation ahead of fresh weakness, is seen as favored near-term scenario, while sustained break above psychological 110.00 barrier, also Fibo 38.2% of 113.79/107.61 downleg, is required to signal formation of near-term base and stronger recovery.

Res: 109.71; 110.00; 110.65; 111.00
Sup: 108.73; 108.38; 107.82; 107.60

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AUDUSD
Yesterday’s bullish Outside Day, generated strong positive signal for today’s fresh upside extension that peaked at 0.7800, posting fresh 10-month high, just ahead of near-term target at 0.7810 (FE 200% of extended wave C from 0.6972).
Firm bullish setup of daily studies favors further upside action, which now eyes 0.7900 (weekly Ichimoku cloud top), on extension above 0.7810 hurdle.
Meantime, correction on overbought near-term studies is under way and expected to find ideal support above 0.7735 (former top / Fibo 38.2% of 0.7629/0.7800 upleg).
Caution on overbought daily Slow Stochastic and Bearish Divergence on Momentum / MACD, which may trigger stronger correction on extension below 0.7682 (Fibo 38.2% of larger 0.7490/0.7800 upleg).

Res: 0.7800; 0.7810; 0.7864; 0.7900
Sup: 0.7735; 0.7720; 0.7682; 0.7608

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