What’s your winning probability?

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What’s your winning probability?

Postby asiaforexmentor » Sun Dec 18, 2011 9:50 pm

Forex Coach Ezekiel Chew ask: What’s your winning probability?


FOREX COACH Ezekiel Chew ask: What’s your Winning Probability?
Do you have the answer to this question?
If you don’t, then probably you should NOT even trade.
It is a very simple question that you should ask yourself before you take every trade.
“WHAT IS MY WINNING PROBABILITY FOR THIS TRADE? “
If it is anything lesser than 60%, skip the trade.
You see it makes no sense at all for you to take a trade that has lesser than a 60% chance of winning.
If it’s lesser than a 50% chance of winning, why even trade?
You are bound to lose on that trade right?
If it is a 50% chance of winning. You are betting on your luck.
That’s gambling, that is NOT trading.
If it is a 60% or higher chance of winning. And if you only take trades that have a 60% or higher chance of winning.
Where do you think your account size will go? UP of course.
Forex Coach Ezekiel Chew ask: What’s your winning probability?

Having a 60% and higher winning probability for that trade means you have an edge over the market.
You SHOULD consistently take trades that are over 60% chance of winning.
But if on occasions where you take a trade that is a 50% chance of winning.
You will spoil your entire game and your entire trading plan.
That is because you are adding a random variable to your trades.
And these random variables will disrupt your account growth.
For example:
Trader A) Out of 20 trades, he take trades that are only 60% or higher winning probability.
Trader B) Out of 20 trades, he takes 10 trades that are of 60% or higher winning probability and 10 trades of lesser than 60% winning probability.
Trader C) Out of 20 trades, he doesn’t care about the winning probability. He just take trades when he likes it or just based on his gut feel.
Forex Coach Ezekiel Chew ask: What’s your winning probability?

Which trader do you think has a better chance of growing his forex account?
Trader A of course!
Which trader trades most like you?
If you are at trader B or trader C stage, you should stop your trading now.
And reflect on this.
This vital question is something that you must ask yourself the next time you trade.
“What is my winning probability for this trade?”
Check out our AFM winning Price Action Forex Course where i teach you the exact FULL Forex Trading System that i personally use to be consistently profitable.
See you on the other side my friend,
Asia Forex Mentor
Forex Coach: Ezekiel Chew
Asia #1 Forex Mentor
www.asiaforexmentor.com
Get the Full Free Price Action Forex Strategies, Visit http://www.asiaforexmentor.com
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Re: What’s your winning probability?

Postby asiaforexmentor » Mon Nov 05, 2012 6:40 am

A complete professional forex trading system that even newbies can apply instantly.

Asia Forex Mentor forex course is now FREE! www.asiaforexmentor.com
Get the Full Free Price Action Forex Strategies, Visit http://www.asiaforexmentor.com
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Re: What’s your winning probability?

Postby Valery » Thu Dec 26, 2013 5:47 am

What is the method to calculate this probability?
Valery
 
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Re: What’s your winning probability?

Postby andreneyts » Thu Dec 26, 2013 11:58 pm

With the widespread adoption of spreadsheet applications such as Excel and the proliferation of reliable, intraday data, traders can avoid many of the pitfalls of discretionary and systematic methodologies, while enjoying the advantages of each.
Learn CFD trading with leverage at www.forexreviewjournal.com
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Re: What’s your winning probability?

Postby prapforex » Mon Aug 11, 2014 11:05 am

No one know its own winning probability, its nature and normal. Human only can try and try to make their live better,
I recommend to make money or invest in pamm of liteforex broker, the best,fair, and responsible broker.
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Location: indonesia

Re: What’s your winning probability?

Postby balat1990 » Wed Oct 15, 2014 5:00 am

we can win or lose in this maket but it is not improtant. how to can i make final profit ? this is improtant. because do not have signal 100% accurate. we need manager our money for final profit.
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Re: What’s your winning probability?

Postby darklot » Fri Nov 21, 2014 8:57 am

you have a better statictic of your current trading result, try linked your account with myfxbook page.
here's my winning profibality shown as myfxbook statistical data, traded with armada market ecn account.
Image
still long way to go, this system are scalping one, no indicator used, pure price action, use predefined SL each trade, automatically trade.
darklot
 
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Re: What’s your winning probability?

Postby vuanh » Tue Nov 25, 2014 4:26 am

i has a mentor in trading. when i had bad time in this market i share my opinion for him. he advise and guiding me in bad time. i do not have long bad time. i think we should find some great trader who will help us successfull
vuanh
 
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