Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

Postby HFblogNews » Fri Sep 21, 2018 6:22 am

Date : 21st September 2018.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 21st September 2018.


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FX News Today

Asian Market Wrap: Stock markets continued to rally during the Asian session after a record close on Wall Street yesterday. Risk appetite is back after robust US data yesterday added to hopes that the fallout from the latest round of US-China tariffs can be contained and that there will eventually be deals on trade and Brexit, despite little progress at the informal EU summit yesterday. Improvements in emerging market assets have also helped to underpin confidence with investors buying back into the rout. 10-year Treasury yields moved up 1.3 bp to 3.076%, 10 year JGB yields jumped 1.6 bp to 0.125% and 30-year yields rose 4.4 bp as BoJ cut bond purchases. Topix and Nikkei are up 1.01% and 1.06% respectively underpinned by a weaker Yen, the Hang Seng has gained 1.13% so far and the CSI 300 is up 1.80%. US stock futures are equally broadly higher, Oil prices are slightly lower and the November WTI future is trading at USD 70.25 per barrel. Today’s calendar includes Eurozone PMI readings as well as public finance data for the UK.

FX Action: USDJPY has lifted to a fresh two-month high at 112.80 amid a backdrop of a coursing risk-on theme in global markets. The USA30 and USA500 hit record highs yesterday, and Asian stocks have rallied robustly across the board. JP225 hit a 4-month high, and the Shanghai Composite a two-week high, with both showing gains of 1% or more. Expectations for China to turn the fiscal stimulus tap, among other measures, have been helping underpin sentiment in Asia, while the unexpectedly low starting tariff rate of 10% in Trump’s latest move on Chinese imports this week, along with tech sector exemptions, have helped buoy sentiment Global fundamentals are otherwise solid, despite the threat from the trade war escalation (with Beijing not expected to negotiate until after the mid-term elections in the US).

Charts of the Day

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Main Macro Events Today

* Eurozone Sep. PMI – Expectations – The Eurozone manufacturing PMI is expected at 54.5, down from 54.6 in the previous month, and expect the services reading to improve slightly to 54.5, which should leave the composite unchanged from August at 54.5. This still suggests ongoing expansion, but would also confirm the decelerating trend.

* Canada CPI & Retail Sales – Expectations – CPI is expected to hold steady in August after the 0.5% surge in July. The CPI is projected to grow at a 2.9% y/y pace in August, easing slightly from the 3.0% pace in July that was the top of BoC’s 1-3% target range. Canada retail sales values are expected to rise 0.5% in July after the 0.2% drop in June.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information pThis material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

Postby HFblogNews » Tue Sep 25, 2018 6:46 am

Date : 25th September 2018.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 25th September 2018.


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FX News Today

FX Action: USDJPY posted a two-month high of 112.98 during the Tokyo morning session, which was the product of a bout of general Yen selling capped out in the face of Japanese exporter offers. The release of the minutes of the recent BoJ meeting had little impact, nor did a speech by BoJ Governor Kuroda, who said it will take longer than expected to bring inflation to the central bank’s 2% target. China said talks with the US cannot take place under threats and pressure, while the US approved of a $330 mln arms sale to Taiwan, which is sure to ruffle feathers in Beijing.

Asian Market Wrap: 10-year Treasury yields climbed 0.8 bp to 2.096%, and JGB yields picked up 0.4 bp to 0.123%, after returning from holiday. There were no real surprises in the BoJ minutes from the July meeting and the JGB curve continues to steepen. Australia’s 10-year bond jumped 5.1 bp amid stop selling after the 10-year future broke contract lows and following a pick up in Treasury yields yesterday. Chinese 10-year rates meanwhile declined. Stock markets also traded mixed, as Japan and China returned from holiday. Trade concerns remained high on the agenda as China warned that it won’t agree to trade talks unless the US stops threatening additional tariffs. US political developments also clouded over confidence. Topix and Nikkei are up 0.56% and 0.15% respectively and CSI lost -1.08%, while US futures are marginally lower. Oil prices rose further above the USD 72 per barrel mark.

Charts of the Day

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Main Macro Events Today

* US Conference Board Consumer Confidence – Expectations – The level of consumer confidence is usually a leading indicator of consumer spending. Expectations are that the Confidence Index will be less than last month’s but will remain high nonetheless.

* S&P Case-Shiller House Price Index – Expectations – Housing prices are an important indicator given that rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity. Expectations are that the Index will grow by 6.2% y/y compared to 6.3% last month.

Support and Resistance Levels

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Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Dr Nektarios Michail
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information pThis material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

Postby HFblogNews » Wed Sep 26, 2018 7:13 am

Date : 26th September 2018.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 26th September 2018.


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FX News Today

FX Action: USDJPY traded above 113.00 for the first time since mid July, posting a high at 113.02, before settling to a narrow range just under the figure. AUDJPY concurrently posted a three-session high and while EURJPY also lifted, the cross remained just off recent five-month highs. Buoyant stock markets have kept the Yen on a softening path. China equities recorded gains, with the Shanghai Composite showing a 1.3% gain in the first hour of trading in the PM session, posting an eight-week high earlier on the day. The MSCI Asia-Pacific (ex Japan) index is showing a 0.4% advance, although also off its highs. Chinese equities were lifted by news that MSCI is considering quadrupling the weighting of Chinese big-caps in its global benchmarks.

Asian Market Wrap: 10-year Treasury yields are down -0.4 bp at 3.093%, 10-year JGB yields pulled back -0.6 bp to 0.117%. Yields remain at high level ahead of the Fed decision today and as global central banks continue to reign in stimulus. Asian stock markets meanwhile moved mostly higher, although Japanese indices traded mixed with the Topix retreating from its highest level in almost eight months. Hong Kong returned from holiday and rallied in catch up trade, while Chinese markets got a boost from reports that MSCI is considering to lift the weight of shares in its global indexes. US President Trump told the UN that the trade deficit with China “is just not acceptable”. Meanwhile the Asian Development Bank warned that the US-China trade war is dimming Asia’s growth outlook for next year. The Topix is down -0.26%, against a 0.30% gain in the Nikkei. Hang Seng and CSI 300 rallied 1.83% and 1.84% respectively, the ASX is little changed at +0.02%. U.S. futures are also broadly higher. Oil prices are slightly lower, but the front end Nymex future continues to trade above USD 72 per barrel.

Charts of the Day

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Main Macro Events Today

* Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision – Expectations – monetary policy decisions are much awaited as they impact all aspects of the monetary section of the economy. Today, the Fed is expected to raise interest rates by 0.25% to 2.25%.

Support and Resistance Levels

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Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Dr Nektarios Michail
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information pThis material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

Postby HFblogNews » Thu Sep 27, 2018 6:19 am

Date : 27th September 2018.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 27th September 2018.


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FX News Today

FX Action: Both the Dollar and the Yen have risen against most other currencies, with the Japanese currency outperforming its North American counterpart. This comes amid a risk-off backdrop, with Asian stock markets having come under pressure following a firm start. Japan’s Nikkei 225 declined 1% at its close, while the Shanghai Composite reversed out of an AM-session gain, and is presently at its lows and showing a 0.6% loss in the second hour of the PM session. EURUSD and EURJPY have ebbed to respective one-week lows of 1.1691 and 131.67. USDJPY edged out a three-day low at 112.60, while EURJPY posted a one-week low at 131.77. AUDJPY, which has been the biggest mover out of the main Dollar pairings and associated cross rates, also traded at one-week lows with a loss of 0.5%. Focus will now fall on Italy. There have been reports that a Cabinet meeting is scheduled today to finalize the Economic and Financial Document after being postponed “due to new complications” as the coalition government struggles to find common ground over the budget. This issue, if unresolved, has the potential to send the Euro sharply lower.

Asian Market Wrap: 10-year Treasury yields lost earlier gains and are down 0.9 bp at 3.039%, 10-year JGB yields declined -0.3 bp to 0.110% and bonds were generally sought as stock markets declined. Wall Street turned negative late in the session following the FOMC meeting, which hiked rates as expected and removed the “accommodative” language. At the same time the “neutral” rate was lifted and Fed continues to pencil in another move this year, and three more for 2019, with Powell saying that Fed could raise rates past the neutral level. Topix and Nikkei are down -0.81% and -0.54% respectively, Hang Seng and CSI 300 declined -0.27% and -0.32% and the ASX lost -0.19% so far. US stock futures are trying to move higher though, indicating that investors will quickly recover from the Fed statement that is, in some ways, ambiguous for the markets. Oil prices are higher and the front end Nymex future is trading at USD 72.34 per barrel.

Charts of the Day

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Main Macro Events Today

* US Jobless Claims – Expectations – Jobless claims are expected to increase, with consensus forecasts putting the number of new claimants at 210,000 compared to 201,000 last month.

* GDP Price Index – Expectations – The GDP Price Index is a broader index than the CPI, with different weights, and also provides a different view of price developments in the economy. Consensus Forecasts suggest that prices will have increased by 3.0% in Q2, compared to 3.2% in Q1.

* Personal Consumption Expenditures – Expectations – The Fed’s favourite inflation index is expected to increase by 1.9% in Q2, same as last quarter, with the core index expected to increase by 2%.

* Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation – Expectations – Durable Goods orders are expected to have increased by 0.5% in August, compared to 0.2% in July.

* ECB Draghi Speech – The ECB President is due to deliver opening remarks at the European Systemic Risk Board annual conference in Frankfurt.

* Fed Powell Speech – The Fed President is set to speak at the Business Leader’s day in Washington.

Support and Resistance Levels

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Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Dr Nektarios Michail
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information pThis material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

Postby HFblogNews » Tue Oct 09, 2018 6:40 am

Date : 09th October 2018.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 09th October 2018.


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FX News Today

FX Action:USDJPY has settled around 113.00, above the eight-session low printed yesterday at 112.82. Ranges have been narrow in currency markets, despite risk appetite remaining firmly on the negative side of the dial. The MSCI Asia-Pacific (ex Japan) Index hit a 17-month low. The IMF cut its growth forecasts for both this year and next, including downgrades of the outlooks for the US, Europe and China. PBoC set the USD-CNY reference rate at 6.9019. Often times, such a backdrop would see the Yen appreciate, though the rise in US over Japan yield differential appears to be providing offsetting support for USDJPY. The 10-year US Treasury yield has today lifted to a fresh 7-year highs above 3.25%.

Asian Market Wrap: 10-year Treasury yields are up 0.5 bp at 3.239%, Treasury yields climbed 0.1 bp to 0.146%, while stocks traded mixed during the Asian session. Chinese and Hong Kong markets stabilized after yesterday’s sharp correction in Chinese stocks that were partly driven by catch up trades. A stronger Yen meanwhile weighed on Japanese equities. IMF warnings on the global growth outlook meanwhile lifted pressure on bonds, although the IMF referred mainly to growth outside the US and tax cut fuelled expansion in the US will continue to keep the Fed on a tightening path. Still, some are expecting BoJ to act more aggressively to curb the uptick in long yields. Topix and Nikkei are currently down -1.84% and -1.30% respectively. The ASX fell -0.97% though, and U.S. stock futures are also down while oil prices climbed higher and the front end Nymex future is trading at USD 74.67 per barrel.

Charts of the Day

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Main Macro Events Today

* Canadian Housing Starts – Expectations – The September starts are expected to improve to a 210k pace in September from 201.0k in August.

* MPC Member Broadbent Speech – BOE Deputy Governor Ben Broadbent is due to testify on the use of the Retail Price Index before the Economic Affairs Committee, in London.

* Gov Council Member Wilkins Speech – Bank of Canada Senior Deputy Governor Wilkins appears in a panel at the Empowering Women in the Workplace Seminar at an IMF event in Bali Indonesia.

Support and Resistance Levels

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Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information pThis material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

Postby HFblogNews » Wed Oct 10, 2018 8:07 am

Date : 10th October 2018.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 10th October 2018.


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FX News Today

Asian Market Wrap: 10-year Treasury yields are up 0.4 bp at 3.210% after sliding yesterday with Trump suggesting he would prefer the Fed to slow down the tightening cycle. 10-year JGB yields are down -0.6 bp at 0.144%, and bond markets were generally supported during the Asian session, while stocks traded mixed. Mainland China bourses were under pressure and the CSI 300 has lost -0.47% so far. Shanghai and Shenzen Comp are also down -0.185 and -0.26% respectively. The Hang Seng is up 0.49% though and Topix and Nikkei gained 0.24% and 0.10% as tech stocks stabilized after a three day rout. The Kospi lost -0.87% as Trump suggested he will not meet with North Korea’s leader until after the midterm elections on November 6. US futures are trading narrowly mixed and oil prices are slightly lower on the day, trading at USD 74.71 per barrel.

European Fixed Income Outlook: 10-year Bund yields are down -1.4 bp at 0.532% in opening trade. 10-year Treasury yields are up 0.4 bp at 3.210% after falling back yesterday and 10-year JGB yields are down -0.5 bp at 0.145%. The global rise in long rates seems to have halted for now and Bunds got an additional boost from a fresh wave of save haven flows as Italian bonds are once again under pressure this morning, with 10-year BTP rates up 4.4 bp at 3.512%. Stock futures are mostly lower in Europe and marginally higher in the US after a mixed session in Asia. Italian fiscal jitters and Brexit developments remain in focus, while the data calendar also livens up today with production numbers out of France and the UK.

Charts of the Day

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Main Macro Events Today

* UK Industrial and Manufacturing Production – Expectations – Industrial Production is expected to have increased by 0.1% m/m in August, with Manufacturing Production expected to have increased to the same extent.

* UK Real GDP – Expectations – UK GDP is expected to have increased by 0.1% m/m in August, compared to 0.3% in July, where the World Cup effect took place.

* US Producer Price Index ex Food and Energy – The US PPI is expected to have increased by 2.5% in September, compared to 2.3% in August, on account of higher inflation in the country.

Support and Resistance Levels

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Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Dr Nektarios Michail
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information pThis material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
User avatar
HFblogNews
 
Posts: 2018
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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

Postby HFblogNews » Thu Oct 11, 2018 6:40 am

Date : 11th October 2018.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 10th October 2018.


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FX News Today

European Fixed Income Outlook: 10-year Bund yields are down -5.5 bp at 0.495% in opening trade, French yields down -4.6 bp and most peripheral yields are also down as the stock market rout deepened during the Asian session. Italian BTPs are once again the exception and the 10-year yield backed up 2.3 bp to 3.523% amid ongoing fiscal concerns. Elsewhere bond markets are being supported though as investors dump equities amid growing concerns about earnings and the global outlook as trade tensions increasingly show up in earnings reports. European stock futures are down 1.4-1.9% in early trade, underperforming versus US futures, which are down 0.7-0.8% at the moment. Italy and Brexit developments will remain in focus today, while the data calendar focuses on inflation data out of France, Spain, Sweden. Released overnight, the UK RICS house price balance fell back to 2% from 1% in the previous month.

FX Action: USDJPY has posted a 3-week low at 111.97, and EURJPY and AUDJPY have both seen 1-month lows. Yen outperformance, although relatively moderate, drove the moves amid a backdrop of plunging stock markets, which has seen the Japanese currency pick up safe haven demand. Wall Street saw its worst day in over eight months yesterday, with the USA500 closing with a 3.3% loss, and USA500 futures have extended lower by a further 1% in overnight trading with Asian markets hit hard. Japan’s Nikkei is down 4.4% heading into the Tokyo close while the Shanghai Composite is off by 4.6% in the first hour of trading after the lunch break. The rise in US and global yields over the last week, which has come amid signs that inflation is making a return, is getting principal blame in market narratives (while Trump blamed the “crazy” Fed), in what seems like a post-financial crises watershed. The consequences of trade protectionism is also in the mix.

Charts of the Day

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Main Macro Events Today

* BOE’s Governor Carney & MPC Member Vlieghe speeches

* ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts – In-depth insights into the economic conditions that influenced ECB’s decision on regarding the interest rates.

* US Consumer Price Index and Core – Expectations –September CPI is expected to post increases of 0.2% for both the headline and core, after respective gains of 0.2% and 0.1% in August.

* Canadian New housing Price Index – Expectations – The new housing price index is projected to improve 0.1% in August after the 0.1% gain in July.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information pThis material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
User avatar
HFblogNews
 
Posts: 2018
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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

Postby HFblogNews » Fri Oct 12, 2018 9:29 am

Date : 12th October 2018.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 12th October 2018.


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FX News Today

FX Action: USDJPY has lifted to the 112.30-40 area after posting a 25-day low at 111.83 during the late New York PM session yesterday. The low was followed by broad Dollar declines in the wake of the softer than expected US CPI data yesterday, which has taken the edge out of Fed tightening expectations. Gains in USDJPY in Tokyo, however, have reflected broader Yen weakness, which has seen safe-haven premium unwind as stocks in Asia stabilize, with S&P 500 futures managing gains of more than 1.2%, after the cash index closed on Wall Street with a 2.1% decline. EURJPY and most other Yen crosses have also lifted. In the news today, a 5.3 earthquake hit Japan’s Kanto region, which is reportedly manageable for Japan. No tsunami warning has been issued. A senior official from the IMF, which today started its annual meeting in Bali, said that it was “too early” for Japan to talk about normalizing monetary policy while encouraging Tokyo to make structural reforms to accompany the stimulus.

Asian Market Wrap: 10-year Treasury yields moved up from yesterday’s lows and gained 2.9 bp to reach 3.178%. 10-year JGB yields are unchanged at 0.136%, as stock markets bounced back in Asia and the MSCI Asia Pacific Index moved up from the lowest level since May 2017, led by bourses in Hong Kong and South Korea. As of 05:24GMT Topix and Nikkei were still down -0.35% and -0.34% respectively, but the Hang Seng bounced 1.67% and the CSI 300 was up 1.30%. Shanghai Comp and Shenzen Comp still declined at the start of the session, but are now at 0.53% and -0.06% respectively after a better than expected trade surplus. Kospi and Kosdaq are up 1.98% and 3.06% and the ASX gained 0.20%. Sentiment remains fragile, but US stock futures are posting gains of more than 1% so it seems markets are closing a very volatile week on a less pessimistic note. With central banks on course to end stimulus and Fed Chairman Powell stressing last week that the central bank is a “long way” from neutral rates, concerns remain that the Fed may tighten too much and the IMF warning about the impact of a tightening of financing conditions markets will be struggling to find a new equilibrium, with overreactions also likely as a result of heightened uncertainties. This leaves a wide range of possible outcomes for the world economy.

Charts of the Day

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Main Macro Events Today

* Euro Area Industrial Production – Expectations – Industrial Production is expected to have increased by 0.4% m/m in August, compared to a reduction of 0.8% in July.

* US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index – Expectations – The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is expected to pose slight gains in October, moving to 100.4, compared to 100.1 in September.

Support and Resistance Levels

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Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Dr Nektarios Michail
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information pThis material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

Postby HFblogNews » Mon Oct 15, 2018 7:47 am

Date : 15th October 2018.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 15th October 2018.


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Main Macro Events This Week

Divergence had been the name of the game so far this year as the trade war played out and the US outperformed the globe in the growth and equity sweepstakes. But the US yield breakout in October seems to be leveling the field again. The majority of equity indices around the world are negative on the month, while the US and Japan double-digit returns on the year have been cut in half. Looking ahead this week for fundamental signals, US retail sales should improve, though housing data may start to register a hit from Hurricane Florence.

United States: The week of October 15 will be a busy one in the US with several economic indicators as well as minutes from the September 25-26 FOMC meeting on the calendar. In terms of economic indicators, retail activity will be the focus, and a healthy gain is expected in retail sales in September. The Empire State and Philly Fed indexes should be mixed, but will remain at strong levels. Another solid gain is anticipated in industrial production while housing starts will likely decline and existing home sales should post a small gain. Finally, business inventories are expected to rise as is the leading economic index.

The economic calendar includes retail sales seen rising 0.5% in September (Monday) in headline sales and an ex-auto gain of 0.3%, after disappointing August data. Empire State index is estimated to rise to 21.0 in October (Monday), from a 5-month low of 19.0 in September. Industrial production is expected to rise 0.4% in September (Tuesday), following 0.4% gains in August and July, Also on tap are the NAHB housing market index (Tuesday), seen rising to 68 in October from 67, along with JOLTS job openings. September housing starts (Wednesday) are forecast to drop 2.5% to 1.250 mln, while permits should rise 2.5% to 1.280 mln. All of the September housing data are at risk for a hit from hurricane Florence. EIA energy inventory data is on tap too (Wednesday). The Philly Fed index should moderate to 21.0 in October (Thursday) from 22.9 in September and initial jobless claims are estimated to rise 6k to 220k in the week ended October 13 (Thursday), following a 214k reading in the week of October 6, as we may see a boost from Hurricane Michael. The leading economic index should post a 0.5% rise in September, a 12th straight monthly increase. The week rounds out with existing home sales that may post a lean 0.2% increase in September (Friday), to 5.35 mln, following a flat reading of 5.34 mln in August.

Canada: Canada’stop tier releases book-end this week’s docket, with the BoC’s Business Outlook Survey due Monday and the September CPI due Friday. The Bank’s Business Outlook Survey for autumn will likely show increased worry over trade. In the data calendar, CPI is seen holding steady in September on a month comparable basis (0.0%) after the 0.1% rise in August. Annual CPI growth is projected to slow to a 2.6% y/y pace in September from 2.8% in August and the lofty 3.0% growth rate in July, adding further support to the Bank’s view that the run-up in CPI through July was due to temporary factors that are now unwinding. Manufacturing sales values (Wednesday) are projected to fall 0.5% in August after the 0.9% improvement in July. August retail sales (Wednesday) are expected to improve 0.5% after the 0.3% gain in July.

Europe: The tensions between Rome and Brussels are likely to continue and the European Council meeting this week may also not bring the hoped for Brexit breakthrough. EU-27 leaders will hold a working dinner on Wednesday, before the official summit on Thursday and while there were signs that UK Chancellor May’s team are closer than ever to a deal with the EU’s Brexit negotiators, it is already clear that Brexiteers as well as Northern Ireland’s DUP, which May relies on in parliament, will be putting up a fight. Meanwhile the time for a deal that also has to pass national parliaments is truly running out.

Data releases focus on German ZEW Investor Sentiment (Tuesday), where slight dip should be posted in the October reading to -10.9 from -10.6 in September, although with the large volatility in markets this past week, uncertainty is higher than usual and much may depend on the timing of the answers. The final reading of September Eurozone HICP inflation (Tuesday) is unlikely to hold any surprise and confirm the headline rate at 2.1% y/y, above the ECB’s 2% limit for price stability, but mainly due to higher energy and food price inflation. Core inflation remains at just 0.9%, giving Draghi room to ignore high headline rates for now. Other data releases include Eurozone trade (Tuesday), as well as BoP and current account data (Friday).

UK: Brexit negotiations are coming to a head into this week’s Brussel’s summit. The data calendar is busy this week, highlighted by monthly labor data (Tuesday), inflation figures (Wednesday) and retail sales (Thursday). The labor market report is expected to show unemployment rate remaining unchanged at 4.0% in August, and average household pay to also hold unchanged from the previous month, at 2.6% y/y in the three months to August (medians same). As for inflation, the headline CPI should dip to 2.6% y/y in September from 2.7% in the month prior, with the core CPI figure seen ebbing to a 2.0% y/y rate from 2.1% in August. For September retail sales, a 0.3% m/m contraction could be released, after 0.3% growth in the month prior, with the y/y rate seen lifting to 3.7% y/y from 3.3%

Japan: The September trade report (Thursday) should reveal a narrowed deficit to JPY 100.0 bln from the prior 438.4 bln shortfall when imports rose to a 15.3% y/y gain, while exports climbed to 6.6% y/y. September national CPI (Friday) likely cooled to 1.2% y/y from 1.3% overall, and to 0.8% y/y from 0.9% on a core basis. That won’t be good news for the BoJ.

China: The September CPI (Tuesday) is expected to rise to 2.4% y/y from 2.3%, while September PPI (Tuesday) is penciled in slowing to 3.5% y/y from 4.1%. All eyes will be on Q3 GDP (Friday). Growth is seen decelerating modestly to 6.5% y/y from 6.7%, though that nevertheless could add to rising concerns over the bearish impact on growth from the US trade imbroglio. September industrial production (Friday) should pull back to a 5.9% y/y pace from 6.1%. September retail sales and fixed investment are also due (Friday), with the former forecast at 8.9% y/y from 9.0%, and the latter at an unchanged 5.3% y/y.

Australia: The Reserve Bank of Australia releases the minutes to the October meeting (Tuesday). Deputy Governor Debelle speaks (Wednesday) at the 2018 Citi Conference, Sydney. Employment (Thursday) is seen rising 25.0k in September after the 44.0k gain in October. The unemployment rate is seen at 5.3%, matching September.

New Zealand: The calendar has CPI (Tuesday), expected to expand 0.8% (q/q, sa) in Q3 after the 0.4% gain in Q2. The annual growth rates is projected to accelerate to a 1.8% pace from 1.5% in Q2. There is nothing from the RBNZ this week. The next meeting is November 8. No change is expected to the 1.75% policy setting next month and through 2019.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

Postby HFblogNews » Tue Oct 16, 2018 5:03 am

Date : 16th October 2018.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 16th October 2018.


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FX News Today

Asian Market Wrap: 10-year Treasury yields are up 1.5 bp at 3.171% and JGB yields rose 1.0 bp to 0.142%. Bond yields are resuming their uptrend as stock market sentiment stabilized during the Asian session, although Oil prices are rising as Saudi tensions spike limited gains. There are also concerns over China’s GDP data later in the week, which markets fear will show the impact of US-Sino trade tensions. Japanese markets managed to bounce back from the 19-months low yesterday as Topix and Nikkei are up 0.13% and 0.41% respectively. The ASX is up 0.56% but the Hang Seng has lost -0.09% so far and the CSI -0.13% and Shanghai Comp and Shenzen Comp are down -0.14% and -0.21% respectively. US futures are moving higher though, in line with the overall improving trend in Asia. The front end Nymex future is trading slightly under USD 72 per barrel.

European Fixed Income Outlook: The 10-year Bund future opened at 158.49, down from a close of 158.59 on Monday. The 10-year cash yield is also down -0.3 bp at 0.497% in the opening session after an unexpected dip in German import price inflation at the start of the session. Generally, global bonds are back under pressure as stock market sentiment stabilized during the Asian session and 10-year Treasury rates are up 1.1 bp at 3.1675. The stalled Brexit talks, as well increased spending targets in Italy and now Spain remain in focus as does the fallout from the Bavarian election on the central government in Berlin. The data calendar focuses on UK labour market data as well as German ZEW investor confidence, with the latter expected to fall slightly.

Charts of the Day

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Main Macro Events Today

* UK Labour Market Data – Expectations – The UK Unemployment rate is expected to remain flat at 4%, while Average Earnings should increase by 2.8% in August, compared to 2.9% in July.

* US Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization – Expectations – Industrial Production is expected to have increased by 0.3% in September, and Capacity Utilization to have increased to 78.2% compared to 78.1% in August.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Dr Nektarios Michail
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information pThis material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
User avatar
HFblogNews
 
Posts: 2018
Joined: Thu Jun 26, 2014 7:28 am

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