HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

Re: HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

Postby HFblogNews » Thu Jul 21, 2022 2:12 pm

Date : 21st July 2022.

Market Update – July 21.

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Trading Leveraged Products is risky

USDIndex down to 106.62. BoJ stuck to its ultra-accommodative policy stance. Asian markets traded mixed. European and US futures are higher now after paring earlier losses in the wake of reports that the Nordstream 1 pipeline was re-opened as planned. (NASDAQ +1.58%). European markets will wait for the ECB and news on the new anti-fragmentation tool, which may be needed quickly after Italian PM Draghi lost the confidence vote yesterday, with three of his coalition partners withdrawing support. Draghi is likely to resign this morning.

Earnings: Tesla reported adjusted earnings of $2.27 per share on $16.93 billion in revenue in Q2 2022 (+42% revenue). Automotive margins decreased from last quarter and a year ago, impacted by inflation and more competition for EV components. Shares of Alcoa and CSX jumped in extended trading after the companies beat expectations. United Airlines (-6% stock price) reported that it returned to profitability during the second quarter, but results came in below expectations. Shares of Carnival were under pressure after the cruise company announced that it was selling an additional $1 billion of stock.

ECB Preview: There is a lot riding on today’s ECB meeting, where Lagarde is not just expected to finally lift rates, but also to unveil details of a new “Transmission Protection Mechanism”. There were source stories this week confirming what the minutes to the last meeting and comments since then have made pretty clear, namely that the hawks at the council will be pushing for a 50 bp move.

* USDIndex has dropped to 106.62.
* Equities – USA100 climbed 1.58%, while the USA500 and USA30 rose 0.59% and 0.15%, respectively. Nikkei and ASX managed gains of 0.37% and 0.5% respectively.
* Yields 10-year Treasury yield meanwhile is up 2.6 bp at 3.05%.
* Oil consolidating between $98-$100. US crude stocks dip, gasoline builds as demand slackens – EIA, Libya’s NOC say production resumes at several oilfields. Canada Keystone export pipeline at reduced rates for third day.
* Gold drifts at $1685.
* FX Markets – EURUSD got a boost from news of gas deliveries to 1.0230. USDJPY has lifted to 138.62. Cable at 1.1960. NZD is looking weak.

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Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) EURGBP (+0.56%) retests 3-day high at 0.8540. MAs aligned higher, MACD histogram & signal line at 0, RSI 61 and rising.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

Postby HFblogNews » Fri Jul 22, 2022 11:34 am

Date : 22nd July 2022.

Market Update – July 22 – ECB Goes Large.

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Trading Leveraged Products is risky

USDIndex continued to decline testing 106.25, ECB surprised with Hawkish 50bp rate hike lifting rates above 0 (first hike since 2011) and lifting Euro. US Stocks had another positive day (NASDAQ +1.36%) TSLA +9.78%, SNAP +5.42% but dropped -24% after hours on Earnings miss AT&T -7.42% & United Airlines -10.17%. Asian markets are mostly positive. (Hang Seng -0.01%, Nikkei +0.40%). European FUTS also mixed. Yields are down -4.78%. Oil bounced from $95.00 trades at $98.00, Gold up $1720, BTC holds over $22k. Gazprom turns the gas back on but Europe remains nervous as solidarity is tested, Biden tests Covid positive.

* USDIndex slides further to test 106.25 before bouncing to 107.25 support as EURO rally cools.
* Equities – USA500 closed +0.99%, 39.00pts (3998), US500FUTS at 3884 now.
* Yields 10-year yield lower into close at 2.91, trades at 2.915% now.
* Oil & Gold had volatile sessions last week – USOil trades up from $95 to test $98.00. Gold tests $1720 now from $1680.
* Bitcoin rallied to $23.8K yesterday and holds $22k now, on more chatter of major investments coming.
* FX Markets – EURUSD remains pressured but tested 1.0280 yesterday & back to 1.0142 now and USDJPY is down again to 137.58 now. Cable tested back to 1.2000 & back down ti 1.1913. Race to be new PM is reduced to two contenders this week. New PM Sept 5.

Overnight – UK Retail Sales and PMIs from Europe, Germany, UK and US.

Today: UK & US Flash PMIs, UK Retail Sales, ECB SPF & CBR Policy Announcement, Earnings from American Express, Verizon.

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Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) AUDUSD (+0.60%). AUD continues to recover from last week’s 0.6680 low and no surprises today from RBA Minutes. Next resistance 0.6850 & 0.6900. MAs aligned higher, MACD histogram & signal line higher, RSI 67 & rising, H1 ATR 0.00124, Daily ATR 0.00908.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

Postby HFblogNews » Mon Jul 25, 2022 4:32 am

Date : 25th July 2022.

Market Update – July 25 – FED & Tech Giant Earnings Week.

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Trading Leveraged Products is risky

USDIndex pushed under 106.00 on Friday (closed at 106.50) as the US Services sector contracted for first time in 2 years. US Stocks sank into close (NASDAQ -1.87%), big declines for tech companies, led by a -39% for SNAP. Asian markets also negative to start the week, (Hang Seng -1.18%, Nikkei -0.79%). European FUTS lower too. Yields tanked to closed down -4.74%. Oil under $94, Gold under $1725 and BTC under $22k. High Inflation, rising Interest Rates and weak Consumer and Business Confidence continue to weigh on sentiment. The CME “FedWatch Tool”¹ still has a 21.3% chance of a 100bp rate hike on Wednesday. Russia & Ukraine signed agreement to allow grain exports to start but then Russia shelled Odessa, UK PM race is getting increasingly bitter and Lavrov is on a tour of Africa.

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Week Ahead – FED Rate Decision, US GDP and Earnings Season sees the technology giants (APPL, AMZN, MSFT, GOOGL & META) plus many more companies all reporting Q2 data.

* USDIndex up from lows at 105.96 on Friday (US Services PMIs big miss and into contraction at 47.00 vs 52.7) now trades at 106.60.
* Equities – USA500 closed -0.93% -37pts (3961), (week +2.4%). US500FUTS at 3958 now. SNAP +39.04%, TWTR +0.8%, (Earnings not as bad as expected), AMEX +1.9% (Earnings beat & increased Revenue forecast) Verizon -6.8% (Profits cut) META -7.6%, GOOGL -5.6%.
* 106 companies have reported; 75.5% have beat estimates (average for last 4 quarters 80% beat.) Strong Dollar hindering.
* Yields 10-year yield significantly lower at 2.783%, trades lower again at 2.75% now.
* Oil & Gold had volatile & weak sessions last week – USOil traded from over $102 support down to $94.15 lows, and is lower again today at $93.00. OPEC next meet Aug 3. Gold fell to $1680 lows last week but recovered $1700 and trades back to $1725 now.
* Bitcoin rallied to $24K, last week, breaking away from the $20k level but is back to $21.8K today
* FX Markets – EURUSD remains pressured but rotates at 1.0200, USDJPY down to test 135.50 last week – now 136.30. Cable breached the key 1.2000 last week, trades at 1.1990 now.

Overnight – UK Retail Sales and PMIs from Europe, Germany, UK and US.

Today: German Ifo Survey, UK CBI Trends, US National Activity Index, Earnings from Ryanair, Philips, Vodafone, Infosys, Newmont and NXP Semiconductor.

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Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) AUDUSD (+0.60%). AUD continues to recover from last week’s 0.6680 low and no surprises today from RBA Minutes. Next resistance 0.6850 & 0.6900. MAs aligned higher, MACD histogram & signal line higher, RSI 67 & rising, H1 ATR 0.00124, Daily ATR 0.00908.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

Postby HFblogNews » Tue Jul 26, 2022 4:52 am

Date : 26th July 2022.

Market Update – July 26 – On Hold Ahead of FED, Oil Rallies.

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Trading Leveraged Products is risky

USDIndex ticked lower again but held over 106.00, ahead of the FOMC decision tomorrow. FX markets subdued with a 75 bp hike fully priced in, however uncertainty weighs over guidance. Russia will cut gas supplies to Europe from tomorrow. US Stocks rallied into close after a weak day (NASDAQ -0.43%), Walmart fell -9% (after hours) following profit warning, Newmont missed earnings -13%. AMZN raised prices for Amazon Prime. Alibaba cut back global expansion plans. Asian markets mixed (Hang Seng +1.76%, Nikkei -0.23%). European FUTS lower too. Yields bounced to close up +1.67%. Oil rallied $5/barrel to $98.00 after Russian announcement. Gold remains under $1725 and BTC under $22k. Biden talked down a “recession” and called for more investment from Oil companies.

Week Ahead – FED Rate Decision, US GDP and Earnings Season sees the technology giants (APPL, AMZN & META) plus many more companies all reporting Q2 data.

Week Ahead – FED Rate Decision, US GDP and Earnings Season sees the technology giants (APPL, AMZN, MSFT, GOOGL & META) plus many more companies all reporting Q2 data.

* USDIndex up, support at 106.20 holds, & trades at 106.30 – the Dallas & Chicago Fed indexes both slumped and remained in negative territory, another sign of recession.
* Equities – USA500 closed +5.12 pts (0.13%) (3966), US500FUTS at 3958 now. 4th 8%+ rally of the year, previous 3 have resulted in lower lows…
* Yields 10-year yield recovered to close at 2.8%, trades lower again at 2.79% now.
* Oil – in–focus following tight supply and the announcement from Russia rallied over 5% from $93.
* Gold had a volatile session from $1736 to $1714 to settle at $1724 once again.
* Bitcoin sank from $21.8K yesterday down to $21k now.
* FX Markets – EURUSD remains pressured but rotates at 1.0225, USDJPY down to test 136.00 yesterday; now 136.70. Cable breached the key 1.2000 last week, trades at 1.1990 now.

Overnight – JPY CPI & PPI – firmer & in-line at 1.6% & 2.0% respectively.

Today: US Monthly Home Prices, US Consumer Confidence, US Richmond Fed, IMF Short-term Forecasts, EU’s Energy Summit. Earnings from MSFT, GOOGL, Coca-Cola McDonald’s, UBS (missed), 3M, UPS, GE, Visa.

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Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) Copper (+2.37%). Rallied from 3.2460 lows last week to 3.4370 now, next resistance 3.4687 (20-day MA). MAs aligned higher, MACD histogram positive & rising, RSI 73 & OB zone, H1 ATR 0.0172, Daily ATR 0.1246.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

Postby HFblogNews » Wed Jul 27, 2022 4:25 pm

Date : 27th July 2022.

Market Update – July 27 – Big Tech lifts the mood on Fed Day.

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Trading Leveraged Products is risky

USDIndex ticked up to 107.00, as EUR slipped over 1% before recovering following the Russian announcement of further cuts to European gas supplies. FX markets subdued ahead of FED later today. US Stocks declined (NASDAQ -1.87%), Walmart -7.6% (profits warning) Coinbase -21% AMZN -5.23% Shopify -14%. However, after hours GOOGL & MSFT were up 5% & 4% after Earnings. Unilever, Coke & McDonald’s all warned of higher prices. Asian markets mixed (Hang Seng -1.2%, Nikkei +0.23%). European FUTS higher. Yields up again +0.56%, but 2/10yr curve remains inverted. Oil holds $95, Gold slipped to lower and BTC holds under $22k.

* USDIndex up, to resistance at 107.00 – holds at 106.80.
* Equities – USA500 closed -45.79 pts (-1.15%) (3921), US500FUTS at 3957 now. 4th 8%+ rally of the year, previous 3 have resulted in lower lows..is the bottom in or is it a dead cat bounce?
* Yields 10-year yield recovered to close at 2.787%, trades higher again at 2.8068% now.
* Oil – in–focus rallied to $98 on news from Russia, since declined to $95.
* Gold had another weak session – $1727 to $1714, now up to $1718.
* Bitcoin sank again to trade at $21.1K now.
* FX Markets – EURUSD remains pressured came within 7 pips of 1.0100 and trades at 1.0225, USDJPY tests to 137.00 now. Cable holds over the key 1.2000, capped at 1.2080.

Overnight – AUD CPI in-line (21-yr high) at 1.8% & German GfK missed -30.6 vs -27.7.

Today: US Durable Goods, FOMC announcement and Chair Powell’s press conference Earnings from Airbus, BASF, Deutsche Bank, Equinor, BATS, GSK, Lloyds, Rio Tinto, Credit Suisse, Meta, T-Mobile, Boeing.

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Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) AUDCAD (-0.30%). Rejected 0.8950 again earlier and tested to 0.8900 a key support. MAs aligned lower, MACD histogram negative & falling, RSI 38 & falling, H1 ATR 0.00127, Daily ATR 0.00697.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

Postby HFblogNews » Thu Jul 28, 2022 5:39 am

Date : 28th July 2022.

Market Update – July 28 – Stocks & Treasuries rally, USD dives post FOMC.

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Trading Leveraged Products is risky

USDIndex tanked over a whole big number to 106.00, from 107.25 as the FED raised interest rates 75bp (its 4th rise in 2022). Ongoing rises will be “appropriate” and “highly attentive” to inflation. However, Powell gave no notice as to whether 50bp or 75bp in September was appropriate*. US Stocks rallied hard** (NASDAQ +4.06%), betting on 50bp. NVDA+7.60%, AMZN+5.37%, TSLA+6.17%. However, after hours Meta +6.55% posted a 1% DECLINE in Revenue (the first in its history), shares dropped -4.65%. Asian markets mixed (1 million in Wuhan in lockdown again) (Hang Seng -0.35%, Nikkei +0.23%). European FUTS higher. Yields up again +1.78%, Oil rallied to $98, Gold higher at $1740 and BTC moved up to $23k.

Biden & Xi due to speak today, Manchin (Dem. Senator holding up Biden’s climate Bill) backs down. PBOC to pump $148bn to stabilize real estate sector.

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* USDIndex weakens further to 105.92 now. YEN outperforms in Asian session.
* Equities – USA500 closed higher +102.56 pts (+2.62%) (4023), US500FUTS at 34019 now. 4th 8%+ rally of the year, previous 3 have resulted in lower lows..is the bottom in or is it a dead cat bounce?
* Yields 10-year yield dived into close to 2.734%, recovered to 2.78% now.
* Oil – in–focus again as inventories had a 4.5m drawdown vs 1.5m, rallied to $98.90.
* Gold – weaker USD helped lift the precious metal to $1740 highs currently from $1711 lows yesterday.
* Bitcoin also rallied to trade at $23.1K now.
* FX Markets – EURUSD rallied from within 7 pips of 1.0100 yesterday to trade at 1.0227, USDJPY dived under 135.30 now, from 137.50 yesterday. Cable broke resistance at 1.2080 to trade to 1.2180 now.

Overnight – NZD Business Confidence improves (-56.7 vs -62.6) AUD Import Prices slip and Retail Sales miss significantly (0.2% vs 0.9%).

Today: German CPIs, US Q2 GDP (Advance), Q2 PCE. Earnings from Barclays, Anglo American, Nestle, EDF, L’Oréal, Amazon, Apple, Intel, and many more.

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Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) USDJPY (-0.87%). Rejected 137.50 yesterday and tested to 135.15 lows earlier. MAs aligned lower, MACD histogram negative & falling, RSI 31.55 & falling, H1 ATR 0.361, Daily ATR 1.225.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

Postby HFblogNews » Fri Jul 29, 2022 5:54 pm

Date : 29th July 2022.

Market Update – July 29 – Stocks up, USD lower on final trading day of the month.

Image
Trading Leveraged Products is risky

USDIndex sinks again tanked to 105.75, from 106.80. The US is in a technical recession (2 consecutive quarters of contraction) after Q2 GDP -0.9% & (Q1 -1.6%), and GDP Inflation rose to 8.7% from 8.0%) but Unemployment remains very low and job creation (Claims fell to 256K from 261k) and wage growth are strong. US Stocks rallied another 1%+ on expectations of slower rate hikes. AMZN +1.08% & APPL+0.36%, both beat Earnings after hours, shares were up 3% & 12%, respectively. Meta -5.2% & QCOM -4.54%. Asian markets mixed (Hang Seng -2.02%, Nikkei -0.03%). European FUTS higher. Yields continue to see-saw, today -1.94%, Oil under $97, Gold breached $1760 and BTC moved up to $24k.

Biden & Xi meeting skirted Taiwan talk, Ukrainian forces plan counterattacks in the South, Russia shells Kiev.

* USDIndex weakens further to 105.45 now. YEN outperforms again in Asian session.
* Equities – USA500 closed higher +48.8 pts (+1.21%) (4072), US500FUTS at 4105 now. Bears being squeezed, 10 days north of 20-day MA. 4175 next key resistance
* Yields 10-year yield dived into close 2.681%, down again to 2.67% now.
* Oil – peaked at $99.80 yesterday down to test $96.00 before recovering to $97.00 now.
* Gold – breached & broke key 20-day MA ($1745) and $1750. Trades at $1765 now.
* Bitcoin also rallied on weaker USD to trade at $24.1K now.
* FX Markets – EURUSD rallied to test 1.0250 on EZ news, USDJPY dived 1% under 133.00 to 132.75. Cable broke 1.2200 and trades at 1.2225.

Overnight – JPY Tokyo Inflation hotter, Retail Sales, Housing Starts & Consumer Confidence weaker, AUD PPI inline, French GDP better, German Import Prices in line.

Today: German Flash GDP & Unemployment, EZ Flash CPI and Flash Q2 GDP, US Jun PCE, US Chicago PMI, Canadian GDP.

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Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) USDJPY (-1.13%). Breached key technical level at 133.00 today and tests 132.50. MAs aligned lower, MACD histogram negative & falling, RSI 19.77, OS & falling, H1 ATR 0.365, Daily ATR 1.230.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

Postby HFblogNews » Mon Aug 01, 2022 6:44 am

Date : 1st August 2022.

Market Update – August 1.

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Trading Leveraged Products is risky

1st day of the month – Fears over slowing growth and expectations for moderation in Fed rate hikes overshadowed still hot inflation prints.

USDIndex sinks again to 105.50, while against the Yen it extended to 6-week lows, i.e. 131.96. US data out Friday showed stubbornly high inflation and wages growth. Corporate earnings have mostly beaten lowered forecasts. The China PMI reports missed miserably and flagged risks to the overall outlook as the country’s zero-Covid policy continues to bite. Hong Kong’s benchmark underperformed and lost -0.2%. US Stocks are steady. Nikkei and ASX gained 0.6% and 0.7%, GER40 and UK100 futures are narrowly mixed in opening trade.

Overnight: China’s property developers in focus and Alibaba still weighed down after the US included the company in the delisting watchlist. Evergrande failed to deliver a restructuring plan; Alibaba added to SEC List of Chinese Firms Facing Delisting, along with another 200 companies. German Retail Sales plunged -1.6% m/m in June – flags ongoing cost pressures that coupled with the threat of energy rationing means recession risks are palpable now. HSBC posted a higher profitability target and bullish dividends outlook.

* USDIndex weakens & YEN outperforms.
* Equities – USA500 closed higher +48.8 pts (+1.21%) (4072), US500FUTS at 4105 now. Fed’s Kashkari affirmed the bank’s commitment to bring inflation down, which acted as a reminder that the Fed will continue to hike rates, even if the path of the tightening cycle may not be quite as aggressive as markets had feared at one point.
* Yields 10-year Treasury rate lifted 1.6 bp to 2.665 (after sliding to the lowest since early April at 2.618% at the end of last week).
* Oil – drifted back to 97.60, as OPEC+ meeting on Thursday and is expected to produce an increase in supply, even if only minor.
* Gold – steady at 2-week highs at $1764.
* Bitcoin at 23,170.
* FX Markets – Yen remains the main beneficiary of the correction in haven flows into the USD and USDJPY slipped to 131.96. The USDCHF also caught a bid, i.e. 0.9500 and Sterling rose against both USD and EUR – with GBPUSD now at 1.2196, while EURUSD is lingering at 1.0240.

Today – UK, Australian central banks expected to hike this week, while it is NFP week as well.

Image

Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) USDJPY (-0.79%). Broke 132.00 low. 1Hour-MAs flattened, but MACD histogram negative & falling, RSI sideways 34.50. H1 ATR 0.305, Daily ATR 1.354.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

Postby HFblogNews » Tue Aug 02, 2022 7:35 am

Date : 2nd August 2022.

Market Update – August 2 – Pelosi Taiwan Visit Saps Sentiment.

Image
Trading Leveraged Products is risky

USDIndex sinks again to 105.00, dragged lower by falling Yields (10yr -2.88% to 2.54%). US Stocks lower following record July. HSBC +6.5% Boeing +5.96% Pearson +12.66% BBBY +14.77%. Asian markets pressured lower by Pelosi’s proposed visit to Taiwan and China promising “countermeasures” including “military actions”. (Hang Seng -2.68%, Nikkei -1.44%). European FUTS also lower. (-0.6%). Oil tanks under $93, Gold spiked to $1780 and BTC down under $23k.

RBA raised rates 50bp, as expected, (3rd consecutive month & fastest rate hike cycle since 1994) – BUT cooled forward guidance – will raise rates in months ahead, but “not on a pre-set path” #AUDUSD falls from 0.7030, to 0.6950, #AUDJPY -1.66%.

Biden announces US have killed head of Al-Qaeda, Zawahiri in Kabul drone strike.

* USDIndex weakens further to test under 105.00 now. YEN & CHF outperform again in Asian session.
* Equities – USA500 closed lower -11.66pts (-0.28%) (4118), US500FUTS at 4100 now. 4175 remains next key resistance
* Yields 10-year yield dived into close 2.60%, down again to 2.54% now.
* Oil – tanked to $93.00 from $101.80 highs on Friday.
* Gold – spiked to $1780 before cooling to $1773 now. Support at $1770 & $1766.
* Bitcoin also weaker trades at $22.8K now, from as high as $24.4K.
* FX Markets – EURUSD rallied to test 1.0300 zone, USDJPY dived under 131.00 to 130.40 lows. Cable holds over 1.2200 and tests key 1.2260 resistance area.

Today – AUD Building Approvals better than expected (-0.7% vs. -5.3%), Commodity prices lower (14.1% vs. 24.3%) UK House inflation a tick lower at 0.1% m/m.

Today – Canadian Manufacturing PMI, New Zealand Unemployment, US JOLTS Report, Speeches from Fed’s Bullard, Evans & Mester. Earnings BP (out – EPS exceed by +26%, profits a monster £6.95bn), CAT, UBER, AirBnB, AMD, PayPal, Starbucks, Gilead, Marriott.

Image

Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) AUDJPY (-1.66%). Dovish RBA and Taiwan tensions hit the key most risk sensitive pair. Collapses from 92.500 to 90.75 lows. MAs aligned lower, MACD histogram negative & falling, RSI 22.5, OS & falling, H1 ATR 0.294, Daily ATR 1.198.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
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Re: HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

Postby HFblogNews » Wed Aug 03, 2022 6:26 am

Date : 3rd August 2022.

Market Update – August 3 – Market “Pushed and Pulled”.

Image
Trading Leveraged Products is risky

The market was pushed and pulled by geopolitical risks and uncertainties, earnings ups and downs, Fed tightening angst and recession risks.

USDIndex bounced to 106.38 currently steady at 106, Yields spiked sharply higher with selling persisting into the close (10yr 2.746% having challenged 2.51% overnight) dragged by hawkish Fedspeak and the safe arrival of Pelosi. The safe-haven Yen continued its slide. US Stocks ended in the red. Asian markets mixed as China has its warheads trained on Taiwan but on the flipside markets are trying to weigh growth risks and the Fed outlook (Hang Seng & Nikkei 0.5%, CSI 300 -0.2%). European FUTS also lower (-0.6%). Oil at $94, Gold holds over $1750 and BTC down under $23k.

Fed’s Mester said below trend growth is not a bad outcome, and it is necessary to get inflation under control. Fed President Daly said the FOMC is likely to raise rates and keep them high for a while, in her comments in a LinkedIn interview – ‘Nowhere Near’ Finished With Inflation Fight.

Data: A surprisingly strong bounce in German exports left the German trade balance with a solid surplus. China Services PMI readings also looked pretty strong – acceleration in activity. Swiss CPI inflation held steady at 3.4% y/y.

* USDIndex managed to climb back over 106.000 but it was weaker overnight, holding the 105.000 handle for a third straight day. YEN has given up some of its haven bid & EUR and GBP have also slumped.
* Equities – USA30 tumbled -1.23% (32.4K), USA500 off -0.67% (4.1K) and USA100 -0.16% lower (below 13K).
* Yields 10-year has already corrected -3.5 bp at 2.71% today and the 10-year Bund yield is down -1.8 bp at 0.79%.
* Oil – steady at $94.00 from $96.30 ahead of the OPEC+. It is likely to keep output unchanged in September, or raise it slightly.
* Gold – rose in the morning to $1768 after a sharp decline yesterday.
* Bitcoin directionless, at 22.98K.
* FX Markets – EURUSD dip to 1.0155 zone, USDJPY is at 133.18, as haven flows into the Yen have receded. Cable turns below 1.2200 again.

Today – OPEC+ meeting, EU Retail Sales and US ISM Services. Earnings: CVS Health, Booking Holdings, Moderna, Regeneron etc.

Image

Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) USDZAR (-0.70%) posted an evening start pattern this morning at 16.70. MAs flattened, MACD lines held negative , RSI 53, OS & falling, H4 ATR 0.12128, Daily ATR 0.26199.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HFMarkets

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
HotForex is an award winning, fully regulated and licensed online forex and commodities broker. Offers various accounts, trading software and trading tools to trade Forex and Commodities for individuals, fund managers and institutional customers.
User avatar
HFblogNews
 
Posts: 1746
Joined: Thu Jun 26, 2014 7:28 am

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