LiteForex Market Analytics

[LiteForexTeam]

XAU/USD: general analysis

Current trend

During the trading session on Wednesday the gold prices grew by 0.38% due to the weakening of the USD. The price met the resistance level of 1251.21 and was slightly corrected. The traders’ activity lowered in expectation of the Head of the FRS Janet Yellen Speech today (14:45 GMT+2). The investors are waiting for the signals about the interest rate rise. If Janet Yellen implies the possibility of the rise on the June meeting, the USD will be significantly supported in the short term, which leads to the lowering the metal prices to the level of 1240.37 and lower. The neutral mood of the commentaries will support the gold prices to grow to the area of 1260.00.

Support and resistance

The technical picture is mixed. The Bollinger Bands indicator is pointed upwards, reflecting the possibility of further growth. The MACD histogram is in the positive zone, its volumes decreasing, reflecting the lowering of the traders’ activity. In case of breakout of the level of 1251.21 the upward trend will develop further.
Support levels: 1244.17, 1237.86, 1230.84.
Resistance levels: 1251.21, 1260.18, 1268.51.

Trading scenario

Open short positions below the level 1244.17 with the target at 1237.86 and stop loss at 1246.17.
Open long positions above the level 1251.21 with the target at в районе 1260.18 and stop loss at 1248.20.

Read more analytic on LiteForex site https://www.liteforex.com/trading/forex-analysis/

[LiteForexTeam]

XAG/USD: technical analysis

XAG/USD, D1

On the daily chart, the instrument is trading on the middle MA of Bollinger Bands. The price remains on the level with its moving averages that are horizontal. The RSI is approaching its longer MA. The Composite is testing its strong resistance.

XAG/USD, H4

On the 4-hour chart, the instrument is trading in the upper Bollinger band. The price remains just above its moving averages that start turning up. The RSI is testing its longer MA from below. The Composite turned up having failed its beginning of the week support. Both indicators are forming a Bearish pattern.

Key levels

Support levels: 17.27 (local lows), 17.20 (50% Fibonacci retracement), 16.80 (March lows).
Resistance levels: 17.73 (local highs), 18.02 (61.8% retracement), 18.38 (February highs).

Trading tips

The price is testing its previous descending trendline that coincides with its moving averages that the middle MA of Bollinger Bands. There is a chance of a downward rebound.

Short positions can be opened from current prices with targets at 17.27, 17.20 and stop-loss at 17.65. Validity – 3-5 days.
Long positions can be opened from the level of 17.73 with targets at 18.02, 18.38 and stop-loss at 17.62. Validity – 3-5 days.

Read more analytic on LiteForex site https://www.liteforex.com/trading/forex-analysis/

[LiteForexTeam]

NQ: general analysis

Current trend

In the opening trading session the US indices restores the losses: after reaching the minimum at the level of 5314.3 Nasdaq was corrected and now is trading at the level of 5332.1. The next target is at the 3/8 Murray or 5341.9.

The lowering was due to the cancelling of the health care reformation voting in the USA Congress. The Republicans didn’t come to the agreement upon the necessity of the reformation and postponed the voting for the indefinite period. A lot of investors were disappointed and began to doubt if Trump can provide the actions that he promised during the Evections and get the support of the Congress. On the other hand the USA can partially benefit from the lowering of the USD, as the US goods will become more competitive in the worlds markets, which is quite difficult to imply due to the tightening of the monetary policy.
This week the USA GDP data, which is to be published on Thursday, are worth traders’ attention. The index is expected to be 2%.
On the technical picture the Stochastic is above the level of 20 and reflects the growth of the index.

Support and resistance

Resistance levels: 5341.9.
Support levels: 5314.3.

Trading scenario

Open long positions at the current price with stop loss at 5314.3 and the target at 5341.9.

Read more analytic on LiteForex site https://www.liteforex.com/trading/forex-analysis/

[LiteForexTeam]

SPX: Fibonacci analysis

The new lowering to the levels of the March minima is possible.

On the 4-hour chart the price rebounded from the level of the minima of the last two months and tried to be corrected to the middle line of the Bollinger Bands indicator (2342.5). The further movement is unlikely, as the pair should pass the downward fan. The key “bullish” level is at 2350.0 (correction 38.2%), in case of the breakout here the price can grow to the level of 2359.5 (correction 50.0%) and 2369.0 (correction 61.8%). The new lowering to the area of the levels of 2323.0 and 2319.5 (the March minima) seems more likely to develop. However in this case the price should be set below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands and the level of 2338.5 (correction 23.6%). The Stochastic is reversing in the overbought area, which confirms the possibility of the lowering.

On the daily chart the price rebounded from the level of 2318.0 (correction 23.6%) and now is moving to the area of the middle line of the Bollinger Bands (2365.5). The Stochastic has reversed upwards, which confirms the forecast. However the possibility of the lowering is not excluded, as the sequence confirms it. The first target of the movement will be the level of 2318.0 (correction 23.6%), which has been tested before.

Trading scenario

The short positions seems more preferable, but open ones if the price is set below the level of 2338.5 with the target at 2326.0, 2319.5. Stop loss is at 2343.0.

Alternative scenario

Open long positions if the price is set above the level of 2350.0 with the target at 2365.5, 2369.0 and stop loss at 2346.0.
Read more analytic on LiteForex site https://www.liteforex.com/trading/forex-analysis/

[LiteForexTeam]

NZD/USD: technical analysis

NZD/USD, D1

On the daily chart, the pair is trading just above the middle MA of Bollinger Bands. The price remains below its moving averages that start turning down. The RSI is testing its longer MA from above. The Composite is about to test its longer MA as well.

NZD/USD, H4

On the 4-hour chart, the pair is trading in the lower Bollinger band. The price remains just below its moving averages that start turning down. The RSI keeps showing a Bearish dynamics. The Composite, however, is growing and is about to test its longer MA.

Key levels

Support levels: 0.6992 (local lows), 0.6950 (July 2016 lows), 0.6888 (March lows).
Resistance levels: 0.7072 (local highs), 0.7132 (February lows), 0.7188 (local highs).

Trading tips

The price is consolidating in a sideways channel. Positions can be opened after a breakout of one of its borders.
Short positions can be opened from the level of 0.6992 with targets at 0.6950, 0.6888 and stop-loss at 0.7020. Validity – 3-5 days.
Long positions can be opened from the level of 0.7072 with targets at 0.7132, 0.7188 and stop-loss at 0.7048. Validity – 3-5 days.

Read more analytic on LiteForex site https://www.liteforex.com/trading/forex-analysis/

[LiteForexTeam]

AUD/USD: general analysis

Current trend

During the last 3 day the AUD/USD pair is growing despite the strengthening of the USD due to the positive commentaries of the USA FRS members Janet Yellen, Steven Kaplan, John Williams and Charles Evans. In addition the USD was supported by the positive fundamental data: Pending Home Sales data (much better than expected) and the Consumer Confidence index (better than expected, renewal of the 5 year maximum). However the pair was supported by the RBA Assist Gov Debelle Speech and the HIA New Home Sales data, so the AUD grew faster than the USD.

Today the USA Gross Domestic Product Annualized data (expected to be neutral), Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (expected to be neutral) and the Initial Jobless Claims data (expected to be negative)
The pair is expected to grow further.

Support and resistance

Support levels: 0.7660, 0.7600, 0.7540, 0.7490, 0.7420.
Resistance levels: 0.7740, 0.7780, 0.7800, 0.7830.

Trading scenario

Buy the pair at the current price with the target at 0.7740, 0.7780 and stop loss at 0.7580.
Open short positions at the level of 0.7600 with the target at 0.7540 and stop loss at 0.7650.

Read more analytic on LiteForex site https://www.liteforex.com/trading/forex-analysis/

[LiteForexTeam]

XAG/USD: general review

Current trend

After active growth during the week silver was corrected yesterday. The price returned to the level of 18.10 that had been successfully broken through a day earlier. The fall happened in view of strengthening of US dollar supported by positive GDP data and statements of FOMC representatives John Williams and Robert Kaplan. It seems  that the negative correlation between US dollar and precious metals started to work again after not so logical dynamics that has been observed from the end of the previous week.

Today the market is waiting for important US releases, namely personal income and expenses data at 14:30 (GMT+2) with a negative outlook, PMI Business Activity Index Chicago at 15:30 (GMT+2) also with a negative forecast, and Consumer Confidence data by the University of Michigan at 16:00 (GMT+2) with a neutral outlook.
Silver is likely to be corrected on the last trading day of the week and month.

Support and resistance

Support levels: 16.70, 17.05, 17.40, 17.75.
Resistance levels: 18.10, 18.45, 19.00.

Trading tips

Short positions may be opened at market price with targets at 17.75 and stop-loss at 18.40.
Alternatively, one may consider buying if the price consolidates above 18.10 with targets at 18.45 and stop-loss at 17.90.

Read more analytic on LiteForex site https://www.liteforex.com/trading/forex-analysis/

[LiteForexTeam]

NZD/USD: technical analysis

NZD/USD, D1

On the daily chart, the pair is trading on the middle MA of Bollinger Bands. The price remains below its moving averages that start turning down. The RSI is testing its longer MA from above. The Composite is falling having broken down its longer MA.

NZD/USD, H4

On the 4-hour chart, the pair is trading in the lower Bollinger band. The price remains below its moving averages that are directed down. The RSI is falling having failed its longer MA. The Composite is approaching its longer MA having failed its most recent resistance.

Key levels

Support levels: 0.6965 (November 2016 lows), 0.6888 (March lows), 0.6875 (December 2016 lows).
Resistance levels: 0.7073 (local highs), 0.7132 (February lows), 0.7188 (local highs).

Trading tips

The pair is testing its short-term descending trendline. There is a high chance of a fall continuation.
Short positions can be opened from current prices with targets at 0.6965, 0.6888, 0.6875 and stop-loss at 0.7017. Validity – 3-5 days.
Long positions can be opened from the level of 0.7073 with targets at 0.7132, 0.7188 and stop-loss at 0.7042. Validity – 3-5 days.

Read more analytic on LiteForex site https://www.liteforex.com/trading/forex-analysis/

[LiteForexTeam]

USD/JPY: general review

Current trend

Last week the dynamics of the pair was mainly determined by US dollar. The growth of USD was influenced rather by the rhetorics of FOMC members than be actual fundamental values. As a result, the pair USD/JPY reached the zone of 112.00-112.10. However, it did not manage to break through this level and fell on Friday and Monday despite the growth of USD index. The strengthening of yen was caused by positive data of Japanese labour market and manufacturing industry published on Friday and Tankan Services PMI released yesterday.

No important releases from Japan are due today. US releases today include the data on trading balance at 14:30 (GMT+2) (a positive outlook with reduced deficiency) and manufacturing orders at 16:00 (GMT+2) (negative forecast), and at 22:30 (GMT+2) a statement by FOMC representative Daniel Tarullo.

Due to the absence of important publications from Japan and their small number from the USA, and also in view of the statement of Bank of Japan head Haruhiko Kuroda and publication of the minutes of a meeting of FOMC Open Markets Committee, the pair is likely to have steady dynamics within the range between 110.00-110.50 and 112.00.

Support and resistance

Support levels: 109.25, 107.50, 105.50.
Resistance levels: 109.25, 107.50, 105.50.

Trading tips

Long positions may be opened if the price moves from the level of 110.60 with targets at 112.40 and stop-loss at 109.70.
Alternatively, sell positions may be opened if the price consolidates below 110.60 with targets at 109.25 and stop-loss at 111.40.

Read more analytic on LiteForex site https://www.liteforex.com/trading/forex-analysis/

[LiteForexTeam]

USD/CAD: general review

Current trend

In the end of last week, the Canadian Dollar strengthened after a publication of strong data on the GDP for January in Canada that came out significantly better than the forecasts. In addition, oil prices growth that started last week also provides substantial support to the Canadian Dollar. Yesterday, after the publication of data on the Canadian Trade Balance that showed nearly one billion deficit instead of an anticipated surplus, the CAD despite the data strengthened. As the result, the pair fell to a strong support level – the lower border of the previous channel.
Today attention should be paid to data from the US on the ADP Employment Change (2:15 pm GMT+2), the ISM and Markit Services PMI’s (3:45 pm and 4:00 pm GMT+2) and to the FOMC Minutes (8:00 pm GMT+2).

Support and resistance

Support levels: 1.3200, 1.3280, 1.3350.
Resistance levels: 1.3440, 1.3540, 1.3600.

Trading tips

Long positions can be opened from current prices with targets at 1.3440, 1.3540 and stop-loss at 1.3350.
Short positions can be opened from the level of 1.3440 with targets at 1.3350, 1.3280 and stop-loss at 1.3530.    

Read more analytic on LiteForex site https://www.liteforex.com/trading/forex-analysis/