LiteForex Market Analytics

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Re: LiteForex Market Analytics

Postby LiteForexTeam » Mon Jul 31, 2017 9:14 am

XAU/USD: general review

Current dynamics

Precious metal receives support from a demand from Chinese consumers, who are actively investing to hedge risks, in particular against falling property prices. So, according to the latest data, Chinese consumption increased by 10% to 545.2 tons.
Another factor of support for the XAU/USD pair is geopolitical risks. Donald Trump's advisers are trying to develop new sanctions against China. According to the American leader, China is engaged in unscrupulous trade practices and receives billions of profits, undervaluing the rate of the yuan. The aggravation of relations occurred when China did not do enough to restrain the development of the DPRK nuclear program and the launch of a new intercontinental missile.

Support and resistance

Gold on the H4 chart is trading near the support level of 5/8 Murray (1265.65). If the pair XAU/USD breaks this level, then the next target for the fall will be the level of 1250.02. If the price consolidates above the previous high of 1270.71, the target of growth will be the level of 1281.28.

Resistance levels: 1270.71.
Support levels: 1265.65.

Trading tips

Long positions can be opened at the level of 1270.71 with the target at 1281.28 and a stop-loss at the level of 1262.00.

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Re: LiteForex Market Analytics

Postby LiteForexTeam » Tue Aug 01, 2017 8:38 am

NZD/USD: the pair is moving to correction

Current trend

NZD remained in the upward trend against USD due to rapid fall of the latter. US dollar has been decreasing for several months in view of negative fundamental data and unstable monetary policy of the Fed. NZD, on the contrary, experiences excessive demand after the release of strong statistics and due to the stability of New Zealand monetary policy. By now, the price has entered the consolidation stage after considerable growth and is trading within the 0.7530-0.7455 range. This week special attention should be paid to labor market data and main indexes from the USA and the level of unemployment in New Zealand.

Support and resistance

In the medium term the volume of demand is expected to drop due to locking in long positions in the pair NZD/USD. Long downward correction is very likely to form from the current level with target at 0.7420 (lower border of the channel) or below to the key support levels at 0.7335, 0.7275. Technical indicators continue to give a signal for further growth: the volume of long positions in MACD indicator remains on the high level, and Bollinger Bands are still pointing upwards.
Support levels: 0.7455, 0.7420, 0.7335, 0.7275, 0.7250, 0.7200.
Resistance levels: 0.7530, 0.7550, 0.7575, 0.7600, 0.7650.

Trading tips

In the short term sell positions may be opened from the current maximum (in a view of corrective downward movement) with target at 0.7420, 0.7335. Stop-loss may be placed at 0.7590.

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Re: LiteForex Market Analytics

Postby LiteForexTeam » Wed Aug 02, 2017 10:57 am

GBP/USD: the upward trend is still strong

Current trend

The British currency continues to go up against US dollar in view of the falling USD rate. Within two trading weeks the pair has been moving within the upward tendency without long corrections which indicates considerable decrease of demand for USD. US fundamental data cannot support the rate of the American currency. This and last week negative statistics was released on a number of macroeconomic indicators, namely construction sector, demand for durable goods, and labor market. The pound, in turn, is supported by strong demand and positive releases by key indexes.

Despite negative data on UK PMI, GBP continues to grow. In the end of the current week special attention should be paid to labor market data and the main US indexes, as well as the decision of the Bank of England on the volumes of economic stimulation program and interest rate. Moreover, the follow-up speech by the head of the Bank of England Mark Carney scheduled for Thursday, may provide additional support for the pound.

Support and resistance

Technically the pair has a reserve of upward movement to the upper border of the upward channel at the level of 1.3450 followed by a long downward tendency. Currently there are no grounds for USD support from the fundamental background and the actions of the US regulator. Technical indicators confirm this tendency: MACD shows the preservation of the high volume of long positions, and Bollinger Bands point upwards.

Support levels: 1.3200, 1.3125, 1.2930, 1.2805, 1.2700, 1.2590.
Resistance levels: 1.3310, 1.3380, 1.3450, 1.3480, 1.3670, 1.3750.

Trading tips
Long positions may be opened from the current level with target at 1.3450 and stop-loss at 1.3100.

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Re: LiteForex Market Analytics

Postby LiteForexTeam » Thu Aug 03, 2017 9:17 am

NI225: technical analysis

NI225, D1

On the 4-hour chart, the instrument is trading just below the lower line of Bollinger Bands. The price remains below its moving averages that are horizontal. The RSI is falling having broken down its longer MA. The Composite is approaching its strong support region.

NI225, H4

On the hourly chart, the instrument is falling along the lower line of Bollinger Bands. The price remains just below its moving averages that start turning down. The RSI is approaching the border of the oversold zone. The Composite is falling as well.
Key levels
Support levels: 19889.00 (local lows), 19865.00 (July lows), 19670.00 (March highs).
Resistance levels: 20198.00 (July highs), 20288.00 (June highs), 20550.00 (May 2015 highs).

Trading tips

The price is forming a “contraction triangle” pattern. Positions can be opened after a breakout of either of its borders.
Long positions can be opened from the level of 20198.00 with targets at 20288.00, 20550.00 and stop-loss at 20090.00. Validity – 3-5 days.
Short positions can be opened from the level of 19865.00 with the target at 19670.00 and stop-loss at 19963.00. Validity – 3-5 days.

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Re: LiteForex Market Analytics

Postby LiteForexTeam » Fri Aug 04, 2017 10:47 am

XAU/USD: general review
 
Current trend

After yesterday's fall gold price has restored lost positions and is currently trading at the level of 1268.00. The price of the metal as a safe haven asset is growing, while US dollar is weak after the Fed's refusal to increase the rates this year due to low inflation.

On Friday the market is waiting for a report on the number of non-farm payrolls. NFPR will gain 183K in July against 222K in June. The level of unemployment will drop to 4.3% from 4.4%, and average hourly salary will slightly grow from 0.2% to 0.3% in June, as expected.

Support and resistance

On the H4 chart XAU/USD is consolidating near the 1268.00 mark. The price has returned to the upward channel after a false break-through.  MACD indicator is below the signal line with its volumes reducing, Stochastic lines are in the overbought area and directed to the side.

Resistance levels: 1273.70, 1280.00, 1288.00.
Support levels: 1256.00, 1250.00, 1242.00.

Trading tips

The pair may be bought if the price breaks through 1274.00 with target at 1280.00 and stop-loss at 1272.00.
Short positions should become relevant below the level of 1263.00 with targets at 1250.00 and stop-loss at 1266.00.
Implementation time: 1-2 days.

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Re: LiteForex Market Analytics

Postby LiteForexTeam » Mon Aug 07, 2017 11:00 am

WTI Crude Oil: general review

Current trend

Today the price for WTI continues to move within the narrow side range 48.50-49.70.

During the Friday trading the price of oil was supported by the data on the reduction of the number of oil rigs in the USA. Within the week that ended on August 4 it was reduced by 1 to 765.

On the other hand, despite that the production of oil in the USA reached 9.43mln barrels a day which is the highest indicator since August 2015. Moreover, according to last week's release by Thompson Reuters Oil Research, the export of oil in OPEC states in July reached the record-setting level of 26.11 barrels a day.
In the beginning of the current week the members of OPEC+ technical committee will meet in Abu Dhabi to discuss the fulfillment of obligation to reduce oil production by certain parties to the agreement.

Support and resistance


The price of WTI is trading around MA(200) at the level of 49.50 and is still unable to break through it. MACD indicator is located above zero and signal lines, and Stochastic is in the neutral zone with its lines pointing downwards. Indicators give uncertain signals.

Resistance levels: 46. 60, 47.40, 48.20.
Support levels: 45.80, 45.20, 44.40

Trading tips

Short positions may be opened from the level of 48.40 with target at 47.30 and stop-loss at 49.00.
Buy positions may be opened if the price consolidates above 50.40 with targets at 51.90 and stop-loss at 50.00.
The period of implementation is 1-2 days.

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Re: LiteForex Market Analytics

Postby LiteForexTeam » Tue Aug 08, 2017 10:47 am

SX5E: technical analysis

SX5E, D1

On the daily chart, the instrument is trading in the upper Bollinger band. The price remains above its moving averages that start turning up. The RSI is about to test its strong resistance. The Composite is growing as well.

SX5E, H4

On the 4-hour chart, the instrument is trading in the upper Bollinger band. The price remains just below the SMA200 and above the EMA14, EMA65 and EMA130 that start turning up. The RSI is growing towards the border of the overbought zone. The Composite turned up as well.

Key levels

Support levels: 3462.0 (local lows), 3430.0 (July lows), 3399.0 (April lows).
Resistance levels: 3515.0 (local highs), 3533.0 (July highs), 3552.0 (May lows).

Trading tips

The price is consolidating above its previous descending trendline. The growth is likely to continue.
Long positions can be opened from the level of 3515.0 with targets at 3533.0, 3552.0 and stop-loss at 3502.0. Validity – 3-5 days.
Short positions can be opened from the level of 3462.0 with targets at 3430.0, 3399.0 and stop-loss at 3480.0. Validity – 3-5 days.

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Re: LiteForex Market Analytics

Postby LiteForexTeam » Wed Aug 09, 2017 7:20 am

USD/CAD: general analysis

Current trend

The USD/CAD pair is moving within the narrow range, waiting for significant fundamental or economical releases, which can determine the further dynamics. The growth of the pair slowed after significant growth in the end of the last week. The market split into two parts, one considers the strengthening of USD against CAD reflects the decrease of oil prices in the nearest future, the other believes that the pair is in the correction of the strong downward trend, and soon the pair will fall again.

Today traders should pay attention to Q2 Unit Labor Costs publication and Nonfarm Productivity statistics in the USA. In Canada Housing Starts data will be released, which reflect the strength of Canadian housing market and shows the economy state. The decrease against the previous values is expected, which can affect Canadian currency negatively.

Support and resistance

On the 4-hour chart the pair is moving within the narrow range, formed by the upper border and the middle line of Bollinger Bands. MACD is in the positive zone, keeping a signal to open long positions.

Support levels: 1.2660, 1.2635, 1.2600, 1.2550.
Resistance levels: 1.2700, 1.2730, 1.2750.

Trading tips

Long positions can be opened at the current level with the target at 1.2730 and stop loss at 1.2635. Implementation period: 1-3 days.
Short positions can be opened at the level of 1.2600 with the target at 1.2550 and stop loss at 1.2635.
Implementation period: 2-5 days.

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Re: LiteForex Market Analytics

Postby LiteForexTeam » Thu Aug 10, 2017 9:47 am

EUR/USD: the pair is decreasing in view of the upcoming inflation data

Current trend

The quotes of EUR/USD are decreasing today. Euro appeared to be under pressure of negative data on the volume of industrial output in France which reduced by 1.1% in June. Moreover, the fall of the pair was facilitated by the investors’ waiting for tomorrow’s data on CPI. The indicator is expected to grow in July from 0.0% to 0.2% MoM and from 1.6% to 1.8% YoY. The correctness of this forecast is proven by the growth of average salary in the USA in July by 0.3%. On the other hand, import prices have been decreasing since January, although the outlook for July is positive as well (the indicator is expected to grow by 0.1% after 2 months of falling). Generally, the possibility of inflation growth in the USA is quite high, but it may not reach the forecast levels.

In the absence of important economic statistics today attention may be pair do the statement by the member of the Fed, head of FRB New York William Dudley in the framework of press briefing dedicated to the issues of salary payment in the region. Geopolitics may also make corrections to the movement of the pair. According to recent data, the US Department of Defense already has a plan of a preventive strike at 20 military objects of North Korea. Further aggravation of the situation between the USA and North Korea may lead to considerable market volatility and the weakening of USD.

Support and resistance

Currently the price is testing an important support level of 1.1700 (Fibo correction 23.6%, Murrey main support level , lower line of Bollinger Bands). Breaking through it may lead to further reduction to 1.1655 and 1.1590 (Fibo correction 38.2%, Murrey level ). One may speak about growth after the consolidation of the price above the level of 1.1755 (Fibo correction 38.2% for the long-term trend, middle line of Bollinger Bands). In this case the price may grow to 2-week maximums at 1.1890.

Support levels: 1.1700, 1.1590, 1.1500.
Resistance levels: 1.1755, 1.1825, 1.1890.

Trading tips

In the current situation short positions should be opened after the price consolidates below 1.1700 with targets at 1.1655 and 1.1590. Stop-loss should be placed at 1.1740.

Long positions will become relevant after the breakout of the level of 1.1755 and the middle line of Bollinger Bands. The targets will be at 1.1825 and 1.1890. Stop-loss should be placed at 1.1710.

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Re: LiteForex Market Analytics

Postby LiteForexTeam » Fri Aug 11, 2017 4:58 am

XAU/USD: general analysis

Current trend

XAU/USD is strengthening due to the poor macroeconomic statistic publication in the USA and political tense between USA and North Korea.

Yesterday the Initial Jobless Claims data were published, which were worse than expected: the index grew from 241 to 244K, as the experts supposed the fall to 240K. In addition, the July Producer Price Index unexpectedly falls by 0.1%, which resulted in the decrease of the YoY indicator. The USD is also under the pressure due to New York Fed’s president William Dudley’s statement, who expressed the fear of the low inflation. In the current situation gold is an attractive asset for the investors in the short term.

Today’s key release is Consumer Price Index publication in the USA. If the indicator is worse than expected, the pair will too likely to renew the year highs.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart the instrument is trying to consolidate above the level of 1290.00. Bollinger Bands are pointed upwards; the price range stays the same, reflecting the high possibility of the development of the upward trend. MACD histogram is in the positive zone, keeping buy signal. Stochastic is ready to enter the overbought area.

Support levels: 1265.00, 1270.40, 1274.75, 1280.75.
Resistance levels: 1289.00, 1296.20, 1307.00.

Trading tips

Long positions can be opened at the level of 1289.50 with the target at 1300.00 and stop loss at 1286.00. Implementation period: 1–2 days.
Short positions can be opened at the level of 1280.00 with the target at 1270.25 and stop loss at 1284.00. Implementation period: 1–2 days.
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