Instaforex Analysis

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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Tue Sep 15, 2020 2:09 am

Forecast for EUR/USD on September 15, 2020

The euro, having felt little resistance, grew by 18 points on Monday, following the momentum of the previous days. Meanwhile, British MPs in the second reading passed a law on the internal market last night, contrary to international law (which is what Prime Minister Boris Johnson meant when he spoke of the superiority of British laws). The law is sent to the authorities, and this cannot but put pressure on both the pound and the euro.

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The price is above the red balance indicator line on the daily chart, above the MACD line (blue), but the Marlin oscillator signal line touches its own trend line near the border of the growth area. The price could reverse from the current levels. If the price moves under the MACD line, below the 1.1800 level, it will cause the euro to fall towards the first target of 1.1650.

But this has not happened yet, therefore, this plan may not be realized and the price will continue to rise to the upper border of the price channel in the 1.1995 area.

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The price settled above the MACD line on the four-hour chart, while Marlin is in the growing trend zone. Breaking through the September 10 high (1.1917) is a signal that the price could rise to 1.1995. But the price did not break far from the MACD line, and the line itself moves horizontally, that is, the prospects for a short-term trend is not very noticeable. The option that the price would move down has a 45% probability. We are waiting for the development of events. Probably, the final choice will take place at the Federal Reserve meeting tomorrow.

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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Wed Sep 16, 2020 2:27 am

Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for September 16, 2020

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Technical Market Outlook:
Another Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern on H4 time frame has made the market to reverse at the level of 1.1899 and hit the level of 61% Fibonacci retracement located at 1.1822 again. The bulls were unable to break through the retracement located at the level of 1.1912 and the rally was reversed. The bulls are still trying to resume the rally, but the level of 1.1912 has not been violated yet. Any intraday breakout below the level of 1.1813 will accelerate the sell-off towards the level of 1.1753 again, so it is worth to keep an eye on the next developments. The weekly trend remains up,

Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.2085
WR2 - 1.1993
WR1 - 1.1923
Weekly Pivot - 1.1829
WS1 - 1.1753
WS2 - 1.1670
WS3 - 1.1589

Trading Recommendations:
On the EUR/USD pair the main trend is up, which can be confirmed by almost 10 weekly up candles on the weekly time frame chart and 4 monthly up candles on the monthly time frame chart. Nevertheless, weekly chart is recently showing some weakness in form of a several Pin Bar candlestick patterns at the recent top. This means any corrections should be used to buy the dips until the key technical support is broken. The key long-term technical support is seen at the level of 1.1445. The key long-term technical resistance is seen at the level of 1.2555.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Thu Sep 17, 2020 11:47 pm

Forecast for USD/JPY on September 18, 2020

USD/JPY
The USD/JPY pair retested the trend line from below and continued to decline on Thursday. The yen lost 21 points, but today there is a correction in the Asian session. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator is reversing to the upside, which indicates the price's intention to continue doing so until the evening or Monday. After the correction is completed, the price can fall to the previously indicated target of 103.75.

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The price formed a short convergence with the Marlin oscillator on the four-hour chart, this is a sign of the upcoming sideways price movement. There will probably be no strong movements in the market until the beginning of next week.

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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Wed Sep 23, 2020 3:08 am

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for September 23, 2020

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We are still expecting a final dip closer to our ideal target at 122.15 to complete wave 2/ and set the stage for a new impulsive rally in wave 3/ to above the former peak at 127.07. In the short-term, a minor triangle is developing as the penultimate wave and this should ultimate give away for the final dip to 122.15 to complete wave 2/.

Only a direct break above minor resistance at 123.42 wil indicate that wave 2/ already has completed while a break above resistance at 124.01 will confirm that wave 3/ is in motion.
R3: 124.40
R2: 124.01
R1: 123.66
Pivot: 123.30
S1: 122.87
S2: 122.53
S3: 122.15

Trading recommendation:
We are short EUR from 123.90 and we will buy+revers our short position to a long EUR-position at 123.25 or upon a break above 123.45

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Thu Sep 24, 2020 9:37 pm

Evening review on September 24, 2020

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The EURUSD pair prospects possible decline.

The unemployment claims in the US for the long-term practically remain unchanged at 12.6 million. Note that there was a notable decrease of 700,000 just a week earlier.

Nevertheless, the euro continues to decline.
You may keep selling from 1.1735 with a stop at 1.1760.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Mon Sep 28, 2020 2:20 am

Technical Analysis of GBP/USD for September 28, 2020

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Technical Market Outlook:
The GBP/USD pair has hit the level of 1.2697 (low was made at 1.2674) and after a short period of consolidation the market is starting to bounce. This corrective bounce higher should be capped very soon, because there is a wide supply zone located between the level of 1.2747 - 1.2869 and only a sustained breakout above the level of 1.2869 would indicate the whole corrective cycle termination. Moreover, the market is bouncing from the oversold conditions on the H4 time frame chart and the momentum is slowly accelerating as well. The weekly time frame trend remains up.

Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.3187
WR2 - 1.3072
WR1 - 1.2894
Weekly Pivot - 1.2783
WS1 - 1.2601
WS2 - 1.2494
WS3 - 1.2312

Trading Recommendations:
On the GBP/USD pair the main, multi-year trend is down, which can be confirmed by the down candles on the monthly time frame chart. The key long-term technical resistance is still seen at the level of 1.3518. Only if one of these levels is clearly violated, the main trend might reverse (1.3518 is the reversal level) or accelerate towards the key long-term technical support is seen at the level of 1.1903 (1.2589 is the key technical support for this scenario).

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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:37 am

Forecast for EUR/USD on September 29, 2020

EUR/USD
The euro slightly increased on Monday amid rising risk appetite in the stock market and ahead of the first debate of presidential candidates Trump and Biden on Wednesday. Technically, the growth was reflected in consolidation at the target level of 1.1650. The observed consolidation is likely to continue today. The price must settle below the 1.1650 level in order for a significant downward movement to appear. The first target is 1.1550 (November 2017 low).

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The price shows an intention to fall from the September 24 and 25 highs. It would be like forming a narrow consolidation, which in turn will act as a technical figure for the trend to continue, that is, a decline. The euro's consolidation growth may continue up to the MACD indicator line at 1.1712. We are waiting for the development of events, the main scenario is decreasing.

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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Thu Oct 01, 2020 1:57 am

Forecast for USD/JPY on October 1, 2020

USD/JPY
USD/JPY fell by 18 points while investors were temporarily confused on Wednesday, stopping at the 110.0% Fibonacci level on the daily chart. The pair is planning to go up from this level during the Asian session. The Marlin oscillator is staying in the growth zone. We are waiting for the next branch of growth at the target of 106.00 - at the Fibonacci level of 100.0% and the MACD line coinciding with it.

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The price is held by the balance indicator line on the four-hour chart, the general trend is growing. The Marlin oscillator has been declining for a long time while the price increases, you can look at this as the indicator easing from the overbought zone before it grows further. We are waiting for the price to reach the designated target.

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Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Thu Oct 01, 2020 1:58 am

Forecast for USD/JPY on October 1, 2020

USD/JPY
USD/JPY fell by 18 points while investors were temporarily confused on Wednesday, stopping at the 110.0% Fibonacci level on the daily chart. The pair is planning to go up from this level during the Asian session. The Marlin oscillator is staying in the growth zone. We are waiting for the next branch of growth at the target of 106.00 - at the Fibonacci level of 100.0% and the MACD line coinciding with it.

Image

The price is held by the balance indicator line on the four-hour chart, the general trend is growing. The Marlin oscillator has been declining for a long time while the price increases, you can look at this as the indicator easing from the overbought zone before it grows further. We are waiting for the price to reach the designated target.

Image

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
Best regards, PR Manager

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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Tue Oct 06, 2020 2:16 am

The Central European Bank supports the growth of the Euro

After forming a small accumulation zone, the Euro continued to grow rapidly against the US Dollar and other currencies. This makes it possible to hold a long position. Any downward movement of the pair will allow you to re-enter purchases at more favorable prices. The nearest target for the current growth phase is 1.1830. The probability of reaching this mark is at 75%. When the goal is reached, you must fully or partially exit the position. This will allow you to record purchases at a favorable price.

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Areas of the Central Bank where liquidity increase is likely to be used to fix transactions. The probability of continuing growth after the next test of the zone without correction is below 30%, so we should expect the formation of a downward model in the second half of this week. This movement will be corrective, so sales can only be considered as a short-term investment with a quick fix within the average daily course.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
Best regards, PR Manager

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IFX Gertrude
 
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