Page 44 of 53

Re: Instaforex Analysis

PostPosted: Mon Jun 11, 2018 1:16 am
by IFX Gertrude
Trump and the Big Seven: Did not reach an agreement

Trump and the Big Seven: They did not reach an agreement.

On Friday and Saturday, June 8-9, Canada hosted the G-7 summit. Despite the large number of issues on the agenda, the issue is really only one, it's the main one: the new fees that Trump introduces against the US trade partners - against China and Mexico - and against the US allies - Canada and European countries.

The outcome of the first day of the summit is short: they did not agree. There are no joyful media reports about a "breakthrough" in the main issue. All the efforts of the participating countries turned out to somehow sign the final text - it must be signed before the middle of the Saturday, June 9, as Trump announced in advance that he would fly early to Hong Kong for a meeting with the head of North Korea.

All media write that everything could have ended even worse-the refusal of countries to sign the final text - and this is actually a complete collapse of the group of seven.

Let's note an interesting turn of the plot around Russia. Trump, even before the summit, to all the other leaders of the Seven, unexpectedly said that it was necessary to return Russia to the Seven (that is, to the G8, respectively). Trump's proposals were quickly rejected by the leaders of Germany and Britain, but Italy supported it. Very quickly, literally within one or two hours, Putin's spokesman Peskov said that the Kremlin (read - Putin) is not interested in returning to the G8 - "we are more interested in developing other formats." (On this day, Putin met with the leader of China, Xi Jinping).

At the very meeting of the Group of Seven, Trump did not raise the topic of Russia's accession to the Group of Eight. At the same time, it was stated that "all European countries in the Group of Seven are against the return of Russia - until the conflict is settled in Ukraine" (that is, Italy was promptly "persuaded"). Still, we note that Germany and Sweden and Finland agreed to the construction of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline - which was opposed by Trump ... (this is not about the Group of Seven, but important for the overall picture).

The result is this: the General Statement of the Group of Seven will most likely be signed - but there is no main text in the text - a decision on the trade dispute over the new Trump duties. At the same time, the EU is preparing an introduction in July of reciprocal duties on goods from the United States. The last attempt to agree - Merkel's proposal to convene a "forum" specifically on the issue of trade conflicts.

How will this affect the markets? I do not think that we will have a noticeable gap at the opening on Monday. But I do not see any reason for rapid growth.

EURUSD - closing day and week.

Image

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.

Re: Instaforex Analysis

PostPosted: Wed Jun 13, 2018 12:35 am
by IFX Gertrude
EUR/CHF Bounced Off Support, Prepare For Further Rise

EUR/CHF bounced off its support at 1.1581 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 61.8% & 38.2% & 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support) where we expect prices to rise to its resistance at 1.1658 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance).

Stochastic (55, 5, 3) bounced off its intermediate support at 10% where a corresponding rise is expected.

Buy above 1.1581. Stop loss at 1.1534. Take profit at 1.1658.

Image

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.

Re: Instaforex Analysis

PostPosted: Thu Jun 14, 2018 3:04 am
by IFX Yvonne
AUD/USD Approaching Support, Prepare For A Bounce!

AUD/USD is approaching its support at 0.7560 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support) where we expect to see a bounce, causing the price to rise to its resistance at 0.7659 (61.8% & 50% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance).

Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is approaching its support at 9.6% where a corresponding bounce is expected.

Buy above 0.7560. Stop loss 0.7513. Take profit at 0.7659.

Image

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Re: Instaforex Analysis

PostPosted: Tue Jun 19, 2018 1:56 am
by IFX Gertrude
Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for June 19, 2018

Image

Our short-term expectations for EUR/NZD was spot on. First, we saw a minor corrective set-back to 1.6671 (we were looking for 1.6676) before moving higher to 1.6795 (we were looking for a rally into the 1.6768 - 1.6793 area to complete the first impulsive rally of the 1.6567 low. With this five wave rally complete with the test of 1.6795 we will be looking for a correction in wave ii/ into the 1.6652 - 1.6679 area before moving higher in wave iii/ towards at least 1.7047.

R3: 1.6842
R2: 1.6817
R1: 1.6794
Pivot: 1.6758
S1: 1.6728
S2: 1.6695
S3: 1.6671

Trading recommendation:
We will sell EUR here at 1.6772 and place our stop at 1.6845. We will take profit and buy EUR at 1.6680

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.

Re: Instaforex Analysis

PostPosted: Wed Jun 20, 2018 12:24 am
by IFX Gertrude
Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for June 20, 2018

Image

Wave i/ extended higher to a peak at 1.6831 before letting wave ii take over for a correction lower to at least the low of wave four of one lesser degree at 1.6671. This is very close to the 61.8% corrective target of wave i/ seen at 1.6667. Once this correction is complete near the 1.6667 - 1.6671 area, we will be looking for wave iii/ higher to at least 1.7086.

Short-term, we expect minor resistance at 1.6766 to be able to cap the upside for the decline into the 1.6667 - 1.6671 area to complete wave ii/.

R3: 1.6830
R2: 1.68.12
R1: 1.6788
Pivot: 1.6766
S1: 1.6729
S2: 1.6700
S3: 1.6680

Trading recommendation: We are short EUR from 1.6772 and we will move our stop +revers lower to 1.6815. We will take profit and buy EUR at 1.6680.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.

Re: Instaforex Analysis

PostPosted: Thu Jun 21, 2018 1:57 am
by IFX Gertrude
Technical analysis of Gold June 21, 2018

Image

If We look at the Daily Charts from Gold, We can see clearly they moving in Weekly Up Slope Channel, and now they have a retracement to the down side as long as they not breakout and close above the 1304.93 Gold will going down 1236.09 as their Support level.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.

Re: Instaforex Analysis

PostPosted: Fri Jun 22, 2018 1:44 am
by IFX Gertrude
Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for June 22, 2018

Image

The minor correction we expected from 1.6921 moved slightly lower than expected and spiked down to 1.6806, but that does not change our outlook for a new impulsive rally soon towards 1.7133 and above.

Short-term, we could see another minor spike to near 1.6806 before the next move higher should be expected.

Only an unexpected break below support at 1.6737 will question our bullish outlook.

R3: 1.7025
R2: 1.6964
R1: 1.6933
Pivot: 1.6890
S1: 1.6837
S2: 1.6784
S3: 1.6737

Trading recommendation:
We are long EUR from 1.6815 with our stop placed at 1.6730. If you are not long EUR yet, then buy near 1.6806 or upon a break above 1.6933 and use the same stop at 1.6730.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.

Re: Instaforex Analysis

PostPosted: Mon Jun 25, 2018 1:54 am
by IFX Gertrude
Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for June 25, 2018

Image

We continue to look for more upside here. A break above minor resistance at 1.6933 will call for a continuation higher towards 1.7133 as the next minor upside target on the way higher. Support is now seen at 1.6806 and is expected to be able to protect the downside for a break above 1.6933.

R3: 1.7025
R2: 1.6964
R1: 1.6933
Pivot: 1.6890
S1: 1.6837
S2: 1.6806
S3: 1.6784

Trading recommendation:
We are long EUR from 1.6815 with our stop placed at 1.6730. If you are not long EUR yet, then buy near 1.6806 or upon a break above 1.6933 and use the same stop at 1.6730.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.

Re: Instaforex Analysis

PostPosted: Tue Jun 26, 2018 1:23 am
by IFX Gertrude
Trading Plan for Crude Oil for June 26, 2018

Image

Technical outlook:
A medium-term time frame has been presented (4 hours) here, and the most probable wave counts have been labelled here. It looks to be like a bearish resumption trade setup is getting ready in Crude Oil now. Let us understand the wave counts from sub 73.00 levels. The drop from 73.00 to almost 63.50 has been an impulse (unfolding into 5 waves) as labeled here. The entire drop can be labeled as wave (1). The subsequent rally then unfolded into a probable Zigzag (5-3-5) corrective wave structure, labeled as a-b-c here. Also note that the termination of the wave (2) is just at Fibonacci 0.618 resistance, around 69.50 levels, which triggered a sharp reversal yesterday. if this ave structure holds to be good, we should witness a continued drop lower towards 58.00 and 48.00 respectively. Ideally, prices should now stay below 73.00 levels going forward.

Trading plan:
Remain short now, stop above 73.00, target 58.00 at least.

Fundamental outlook:
Watch out for US Consumer confidence numbers to be out today at 10:00 AM EST.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.

Re: Instaforex Analysis

PostPosted: Wed Jun 27, 2018 4:39 am
by IFX Yvonne
Technical analysis on Gold for June 27, 2018

Gold price remains in a bearish trend. Price is approaching important weekly support levels and at least a short-term bounce is approaching. Gold price has weekly oversold signals, warning not to be bearish at current levels. We have no reversal confirmation yet, but we believe that soon we will see the reversal. The key level is at $1,268.

Image

Green line - long-term support

Red line - long-term resistance

Blue arrows - reversal points when Stochastic was oversold.

Gold price is challenging the weekly cloud support and the weekly upward sloping trend line. All the previous times the stochastic was so oversold, Gold rallied. Our time frame is for the next 1-2 months and therefore our risk tolerance should be similar to the downside. Our target remains new highs above $1,400.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.