Instaforex Analysis

[IFX Gertrude]

Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on August 4, 2022)

The euro traded with a range of 45 points on Wednesday, closing the day at the opening level, above the support of 1.0150. The signal line of the Marlin Oscillator also failed to cross the zero line into the bears' territory. Thus, the price level of 1.0150 appears to be quite strong, the price may develop an acceleration when it is overcome. Downward targets: 1.0020, 0.9950.



The price settled under both indicator lines on the H4 chart. Yesterday the price went through the shadows of the support at 1.0150 and the resistance of the MACD line. Marlin has a downward direction, we are waiting for the price to settle under 1.0150 and its further fall. This plan will be disrupted after the price settles above the MACD line (1.0195). In this case, the growth will continue to the daily MACD line - 1.0255.



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[IFX Gertrude]

Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on August 5, 2022

After an unsuccessful attempt to overcome technical support at 1.0150 on Wednesday, and the price jumped 77 points on Thursday in order to turn around from the MACD line, having received an impulse push from resistance, to make a subsequent attempt to a solid level of 1.0150. The Marlin Oscillator also did not have enough strength to overcome the zero line on the first attempt, after which it slightly rose and is now turning to a new attack.



After the price settles below 1.0150, the movement will continue to the target level of 1.0020. An alternative scenario will open after the price settles above 1.0254, that is, above the daily MACD line. The nearest upside target will be the level of 1.0360 (15 June low), from which we still expect a reversal to the medium-term downside.

The price is formally in an upward position on the four-hour chart, as there is an increase above both indicator lines and Marlin in the upward trend territory, but based on the logic of the daily timeframe, we are waiting for the price to drop below the MACD line, below 1.0212, which will start the development of an attack on technical support for the daily timeframe. At the time of the price transition below 1.0212, the Marlin Oscillator will move into the downward trend zone. Consolidating above 1.0254 will prolong the euro's corrective growth



*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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[IFX Gertrude]

Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on August 8, 2022

The pound was falling by 151 points on Friday, having touched the support of the MACD trend line (1.2003) with the lower shadow of the daily candle. The price's departure under the trend indicator line will mean a resumption of a decline in the medium term. The first target on this path is the level of 1.1800.



The Marlin Oscillator remains in positive territory for now. Apparently, this circumstance did not allow the price to overcome the support on Friday. Now there is such a situation that the price overcoming the MACD line (1.2003) and the transition of the oscillator to a negative position can coincide in time. Such synchronicity can give a strong momentum to the price in moving down. If the price goes back above 1.2100, then the decline will be delayed for a day or two. Overcoming 1.2230 will open the 1.2435 target.



The price has consolidated under the balance and MACD indicator lines on the four-hour chart, the Marlin Oscillator is developing in negative territory. We are waiting for the price to move down according to the predominant downward scenario.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.


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[IFX Gertrude]

Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for USD/JPY on August 9, 2022

The USD/JPY pair formed a candle with a small body (-6 points) and sweeping shadows on Monday, which creates a sign of a reversal of the growing trend, that is, a sign of the end of the corrective growth from August 2. The reversal will be confirmed by the price dropping below the nearest support of the embedded price channel line at 134.22. The target will open on the underlying embedded line at 132.13.



The Marlin Oscillator is turning down, being in the downward trend zone. An alternative scenario assumes the price's succeeding growth with the 136.00 target. But a sign of such an alternative will be when the price overcomes yesterday's high at 135.57, which is close enough to the target itself, so in the current situation, the best strategy will be to wait for a sell signal, whether it will happen today or in a few days.

The price is approaching the support at 134.22 supported by the rapidly declining Marlin Oscillator on the 4-hour chart. The advance of the oscillator in the current situation means that it tends to move into the negative area before the price approaches the MACD line, since the price will already need technical assistance to overcome this support by that time. Ultimately, we are waiting for the price at the nearest target level of 132.13.



*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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[IFX Gertrude]

Forex Analysis & Reviews: USDCAD Potential for Bullish Rise | 10th August 2022



On the H4, with the price going above ichimoku cloud, and DIF is breaking the signal line in MACD, we have a bullish bias that the price may rise from our 1st resistance at 1.29011, which is in line with previous swing high to our 2nd resistance at 1.29831, which is in line with the 78.6% fibonacci projection and 50% fibonacci retracement. Alternatively, the price may drop to the 1st support at 1.28483, which is in line with 61.8% fibonacci retracement and pullback support.

Trading Recommendation
Entry:1.29011
Reason for Entry:Swing high
Take Profit: 1.29831
Reason for Take Profit: 78.6% fibonacci projection and 50% fibonacci retracement
Stop Loss: 1.28483
Reason for Stop Loss:
61.8% fibonacci retracement and pullback support

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

https://ifxpr.com/3p6weLR

[IFX Gertrude]

Forex Analysis & Reviews: USDCHF Potential for Bearish Drop | 11st August 2022



On the H4, with prices moving below the ichimoku cloud and the MACD indicators are below zero, we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from the 1st support at 0.94002, where the swing low support is to the 2nd support at 0.93272, which is in line with 78.6% fibonacci projection. Alternatively, since the price is rising currently and from H1, the DIF is crossing over the signal line, the price may rise to the 1st resistance at 0.95233, where the swing low support and 50% fibonacci retracement are.

Trading Recommendation Entry:0.94002
Reason for Entry: Swing low support
Take Profit: 0.93272
Reason for Take Profit: 78.6% fibonacci projection
Stop Loss: 0.95233
Reason for Stop Loss:
Swing low support and 50% fibonacci retracement

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

https://ifxpr.com/3SCUAL3

[IFX Gertrude]

Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on August 12, 2022

Yesterday, the euro once again tried to attack the resistance level of 1.0360 (June 15 low), the attempt was unsuccessful, the pullback intensified. The Marlin Oscillator is already turning down in the positive area, and the price needs to overcome the support of the MACD indicator line (1.0222) and then the euro will begin to fall in the medium term. The first target is 1.0150.



Federal Reserve FOMC members Neil Kashkari and Mary Daly (until recently a dove) announced the US central bank's firm intention to raise rates by 0.75% in September. The yield on 5-year US government bonds rose from 2.92% to 2.99%, breaking Monday's high.

The Marlin Oscillator is leading the price down on the four-hour chart. The price itself tends to overcome the support of the MACD line (1.0276), which coincides with yesterday's low. It is very possible that the price will move below 1.0276 and the Marlin Oscillator into negative territory at the same time. In this case, the euro will receive a strong downward momentum with further downward development.



Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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[IFX Gertrude]

Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trading Signal for GOLD (XAU/USD) on August 15 - 16, 2022: sell if breaks 1,785 (21 SMA - uptrend)



Early in the European session, gold (XAU/USD) was trading above the 21 SMA located at 1,793 and above the 200 EMA located at 1,763. We can see that gold is trading within an uptrend channel formed on July 26.

Last week, XAU/USD consolidated in the range of 1,781-1,807. On the other hand, lower US inflation data pushed US bond yields lower. Despite this gold failed to break the resistance zone of 1,812. (6/8 Murray).

If XAU/USD breaks above 6/8 Murray at 1,812, traders could expect gold to hit the resistance zone at 1,843 (7/8). Otherwise, if the price of gold continues below the psychological level of $1,800, the price may move to the 200 EMA at 1,773 and even fall to 4/8 Murray and 1,750.

Recent comments from several Fed officials indicate that the US central bank will continue to tighten its monetary policy. An interest rate hike of 50 basis points is expected in September. This data could limit the rise of gold and could exert downward pressure on the price to push towards support levels of 1,718.

Since the August 1, gold has been giving a negative divergence signal. If XAU/USD fails to break the strong resistance of 6/8 Murray located at 1812, a correction towards 4/8 Murray at 1,750 is likley to occur.

Our trading plan for the next few hours is to buy if there is a technical bounce around the uptrend channel or above the 21 SMA located at 1,793, targeting 1,800 and 1,812.

Conversely, a sharp break below the trend channel formed on the 4-hour chart and a close below 1,785 could be a clear signal to sell with targets at 1,773 and 1,750.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

https://ifxpr.com/3QHAwVL

[IFX Gertrude]

Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on August 16, 2022

As a result of Monday, the British pound fell by 79 points, passing under the indicator balance line, which empirically shifts the players' interest mainly in short positions.



The price is systematically approaching the nearest support at 1.1970 - the MACD line of the daily scale. The Marlin Oscillator has crossed the border with the territory of the downward trend, the downward movement continues. The second target is the level of 1.1800.



The price settled below the balance indicator line on the four-hour chart, Marlin is falling in negative territory. We are waiting for a further slow decline in the pound.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.


https://ifxpr.com/3ppfSyh

[IFX Gertrude]

Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on August 17, 2022

The pound slowed down corrective growth at the target level of 1.2100. If the price does not settle above it, then we are waiting for a reversal with the development of support for the MACD line of the daily scale in the area of 1.1965. Further, the 1.1800 target may open.



A large layer of inflation indicators for July will be released in the UK today. The core CPI is expected to rise from 5.8% y/y to 5.9% y/y, while the overall CPI could rise from 9.4% y/y to 9.8% y/y. Only a slight weakening is expected in producer prices - their selling prices may show an increase of 16.2% y/y against 16.5% y/y a month earlier. Thus, the option with the pound's growth is possible, we will consider its details on the four-hour chart.

Growth is limited by the MACD indicator line on the H4 chart, approximately at the level of 1.2170. At the current moment, the signal line of the Marlin Oscillator is turning down from the border with the territory of the growing trend. Therefore, consolidating under 1.2100 will resume the price decline in its main direction. First target at 1.1965.



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