Instaforex Analysis

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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Fri May 15, 2020 2:51 am

Technical Analysis of GBP/USD for May 15, 2020:

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Technical Market Outlook:
The GBP/USD pair has broken below another technical support located at the level of 1.2246 and made a new local low at the level of 1.2165. Despite the oversold market conditions the momentum remains negative well and the odds for another wave down might be higher. The nearest technical resistance is seen at the level of 1.2246 and 1.2297 and the nearest technical support is located at the level of 1.2165. If the level of 1.2165 is clearly violated, then the next target for bears is seen at the level of 1.2012.

Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.2730
WR2 - 1.2608
WR1 - 1.2508
Weekly Pivot - 1.2380
WS1 - 1.2283
WS2 - 1.2157
WS3 - 1.2054

Trading Recommendations:
The fear of the coronavirus consequences has decreased among the global investors on the financial markets. On the GBP/USD pair the main trend is down, but the reversal will be possible when the coronavirus pandemic is tamed. The key long-term technical support has been recently violated (1.1983) and the new one is seen at the level of 1.1404. The key long-term technical resistance is seen at the level of 1.3518. Only if one of these levels is clearly violated, the main trend might reverse (1.3518) or accelerate (1.1404). The market might have done a Double Top pattern at the level of 1.2645, so the price might move lower in the longer-term.

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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Mon May 18, 2020 2:54 am

Technical Analysis of ETH/USD for May 18, 2020:

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Crypto Industry News:
Visa has applied for the creation of a digital currency on Blockchain at the United States Patent and Trademark Office.

According to the published application, inventors Simon Hurry and Alexander Pierre of the Visa International Service Association in San Francisco applied for a patent for the digital currency registered on Blockchain and controlled by the computer of the central unit. The application cites Ethereum as a possible network, and the cryptocurrency itself would be a stablecoin. The application lists two points, one of which would indicate that "a digital currency was created for the amount associated with the denomination for the public key associated with the digital wallet." The second entry is about "removing physical currency from circulation in the currency system."

While the US dollar is specifically mentioned as one of the fiat functional currencies to be used, the application said that the patent could apply to other central bank digital currencies such as pounds, yen and euros: "The physical currency of the central bank anywhere in the world can be digitized. "

Technical Market Outlook:
The ETH/USD pair has broken through the short-term trend line resistance around the level of $205 and made a new local high during the rally at the level of $216 (at the time of writing the article). The momentum behind the move up is strong, but the market conditions are extremely overbought on the daily time frame chart, so the rally might be short-lived. Nevertheless, the next target for bulls is seen at the level of $217.65 and $225.84.

Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - $259.01
WR2 - $231.70
WR1 - $222.59
Weekly Pivot - $197.56
WS1 - $188.48
WS2 - $163.94
WS3 - $154.56

Trading Recommendations:
The larger time frame trend on Ethereum remains down and as long as the level of $288 is not violated, all rallies will be treated as a counter-trend corrective moves. This is why the short positions are now more preferred.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Tue May 19, 2020 2:35 am

Forecast for EUR/USD on May 19, 2020

EUR/USD
The euro grew by 94 points on several controversial factors yesterday - on the one hand, oil rose by 10.5% to 32.83 dollars and overall risk appetites increased, on the other hand, the EU summit considered a package of assistance to the affected sectors and regions, which is half as much, than expected - 500 billion against the expected 1 trillion. Moreover, it will be a fund, and not direct help, which creates additional bureaucratic difficulties. As often happens, the expected but not realized optimism worked on the market, that is, the euro's growth as a result occurred on speculation. The growth occurred on volumes equal to Friday, which indirectly confirms the speculative nature of yesterday's growth in the thin market.

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The price reached the price channel line just above the MACD line on the daily chart. The Marlin Oscillator is growing in the zone of positive values, so there is still a growth potential. Overcoming yesterday's high may send the euro to the upper border of the 1.5-month trading range of 1.0767-1.0995.

It is possible to turn down prices directly from current levels, indicators will quickly return to the downward trend, the euro will go to the lower border of the range of 1.0767.

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The situation is not clarified on the four-hour chart. The price is above the indicator lines, Marlin is in the growth zone. All that remains is to wait for speculation to cool and then it will become clear what the market really intended.

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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Wed May 20, 2020 2:48 am

Technical Analysis of BTC/USD for May 20, 2020:

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Crypto Industry News:
Robert Kiyosaki, businessman and author of the book Rich Dad, Poor Dad, again visited Twitter to announce his bullish position to Bitcoin. In a published tweet, Kiyosaki states that fear of a dying economy led him to buy more three assets, which he considers valuable outside of the traditional financial system: gold, silver and Bitcoin. The author's tweet describes how valuable he thinks every resource will be in the coming years.

"I bought more silver and Bitcoin gold. GOLD [currently] at $ 1,700. I forecast $ 3,000 in 1 year. Silver [currently] at $ 17. I predict $ 40 for 5 years. Bitcoin [currently] at $ 9,800. I anticipate $ 75,000 in three years. "

In numerical terms, this forecast reflects the expected annual increase of around 76%, 19% and 97% for gold, silver and Bitcoin, respectively. This indicates, at least according to Kiyosaki's calculations, that Bitcoin has the most favorable profit potential out of three.

This is not the first time Robert Kiyosaki has used his platform to explain the benefits of Bitcoin and Blockchain. In recent months, the businessman has repeatedly talked about his faith in the future of these technologies.

Technical Market Outlook:
The BTC/USD pair has been seen hovering around the level of $10,000, which is the key short-term technical resistance for the bulls. The recent local high was made at the level of $9,884, so any violation of this level will lead to the local up trend extension towards the level of $10,227 - $10,430. The nearest technical support is seen at the level of $9,381. The nearest technical support is seen at the level of $9,382. Please notice, the market conditions on daily time frame chart are extremely overbought.

Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - $12,194
WR2 - $10,994
WR1 - $10,553
Weekly Pivot - $9,337
WS1 - $8,765
WS2 - $7,555
WS3 - 7,013

Trading Recommendations:
The larger time frame trend remains down and as long as the level of $10,791 is not violated, all rallies will be treated as a counter-trend corrective moves. This is why the short positions are now more preferred until the level of $10,791 is clearly violated.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
Best regards, PR Manager

Learn more about InstaForex Company at http://instaforex.com
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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Thu May 21, 2020 2:34 am

European Economics Preview: Eurozone Flash PMI Data Due

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Flash Purchasing Mangers' survey results from euro area and the UK are due on Thursday, headlining a busy day for the European economic news.

At 3.15 am ET, IHS Markit is scheduled to issue France's PMI data. Economists forecast the composite output index to improve to 32.0 in May from 11.1 a month ago.

At 3.30 am ET, Germany's flash PMI data is due. The composite index is seen at 34.1 in May versus 17.4 in the previous month.

At 4.00 am ET, Eurozone composite PMI data is due. The index is expected to advance to 25.0 in May from 13.6 in April.

In the meantime, industrial production and producer prices are due from Poland. Economists forecast industrial output to fall 10 percent annually in April, faster than the 2.3 percent decrease in March.

At 4.30 am ET, IHS Markit/CIPS publishes UK flash composite PMI data. Economists forecast the composite indicator to rise to 25.0 in May from 13.8 in April.

At 6.00 am ET, the Confederation of British Industry releases Industrial Trends survey data. The order book balance is forecast to fall to -59 percent in May from -56 percent in the preceding period.

At 7.00 am ET, Turkey's central bank interest rate announcement is due. Economists expect the central bank to cut its one-week repo rate to 8.25 percent from 8.75 percent.

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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Fri May 22, 2020 2:26 am

Forecast for EUR/USD on May 22, 2020

EUR/USD
The euro grew during the first half of Thursday due to optimistic rates of European business activity for the current month: Manufacturing PMI of the euro area grew from 33.4 to 39.5, Services PMI showed even greater dynamics - an increase from 12.0 to 28.7. The euro has decisively reversed since the US session opened. US PMIs came out better than expected, but not as much as we expected: Manufacturing PMI grew from 36.1 to 39.8 against 39.3, Services PMI grew from 26.7 to 36.9 with 32.6 expected. Nevertheless, the trading volumes were comparable to those observed on May 18, which indicates a massive closure of purchases and even the opening of sales. A more interesting story awaits us next week, when sales of new housing, orders for durable goods, incomes and expenses of consumers will be published in the US.

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The price was re-marked at the upper border of the price range and with the turn of the oscillator, Marlin headed down on the daily chart. The closest support for the price is the price channel line at 1.0918, below it is the MACD indicator line at 1.0888, overcoming it will confirm the euro's intention to go much deeper down to 1.0767 and 1.0578.

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The signal line of the Marlin oscillator penetrated into the downward trend zone after forming a double divergence on the four-hour chart. The closest target is the 1.0888 level, at which the MACD lines coincide on both scopes. Consolidation under the level opens the way to the lower border of the range 1.0767.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
Best regards, PR Manager

Learn more about InstaForex Company at http://instaforex.com
IFX Gertrude
 
Posts: 5198
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Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Tue May 26, 2020 3:04 am

Technical Analysis of BTC/USD for May 26, 2020:

Image

Crypto Industry News:
New strict rules, in which many ways of using digital resources are punishable by a fine or imprisonment, may soon become law in Russia.

New bills specifying how Russia should regulate cryptocurrencies were sent to the parliament of the country, the State Duma, earlier this week. Although the official site for the planned regulations has not yet been updated, both documents were published in the OrderCom telegram channel and were confirmed as authentic by the sources of the Russian news channel RBK.

Legislative proposals were reportedly written by employees of the Digital Economy think tank and the Skolkovo business accelerator. They are looking for a new version of the Digital Resources Act that has been stuck in the Duma for over two years, as well as cryptocurrency-oriented additions to the national criminal code.

The first bill would regulate digital currencies in Russia, or more precisely, prohibit the issuance and operation of digital currencies. It would even be forbidden to disseminate information on such activities.

Individuals and companies will not be able to accept digital currencies as payments, unless they are inherited, transferred to the debtors of a bankrupt company or confiscated as a result of a court decision. People with cryptocurrency should declare it at the tax office, as well as provide information on how to buy.

A second draft would introduce a new article in the Criminal Code imposing sanctions for illegal operations using digital resources. If the regulations are adopted, the issue of digital assets in Russia without permission to enter in the register, which is yet to be created in the central bank of this country, will result in a fine of up to two million rubles (almost $ 28,000). The same level of penalty is suggested for organizing operations with digital resources and cryptocurrencies without permission, while people would face fines of up to $ 2,800.

Buying a cryptocurrency for cash or a bank transfer from a Russian bank would be subject to a fine of up to one million Russian rubles ($ 14,000) or up to seven years in prison, depending on the scale of the contract. A similar penalty would apply to those who accept crypto for goods and services.

If such a business brings "particularly large" profits or particularly large damage to citizens and the state, the proposal would cause the person (s) involved to be imprisoned for up to seven years, or even forced labor.

Mention of the central bank register suggests that legislators are free to some officially sanctioned entities to issue and use digital assets, while most general operations would be banned.

According to the RBK report, Anatoly Aksakov, head of the Duma of the Financial Markets Commission, confirmed the authenticity of the documents, but stated that they had not been finalized.

Technical Market Outlook:
The BTC/USD pair has bounced from the level of $8,576 after breaking through the key trend line support located around the level of $8,800. The bounce is so far very shallow and the next the nearest resistance is located at the level of $8,919 and $9,013. On the other hand, the next technical support is seen at the level of $8,464 and $8,357.The momentum remains weak and negative, so the odds for another wave down are high.

Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - $10,568
WR2 - $10,245
WR1 - $9,478
Weekly Pivot - $9,098
WS1 - $8,333
WS2 - $7,968
WS3 - 7,231

Trading Recommendations:
The larger time frame trend remains down and as long as the level of $10,791 is not violated, all rallies will be treated as a counter-trend corrective moves. This is why the short positions are now more preferred until the level of $10,791 is clearly violated. The key mid-term technical support is located at the level of $7,897.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
Best regards, PR Manager

Learn more about InstaForex Company at http://instaforex.com
IFX Gertrude
 
Posts: 5198
Joined: Wed Nov 07, 2012 6:25 am

Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Wed May 27, 2020 3:02 am

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/GBP for May 27, 2020

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EUR/GBP is finally back to test the neckline support at 0.8866. This former resistance which now acts as support should be able to protect the downside for renewed upside pressure through minor resistance at 0.8930 indicating the next impulsive rally towards 0.9065 on the way higher to and above the peak at 0.9495.

In the short-term, we should see a final dip to test the key-support at 0.8866 before EUR/GBP will be ready to turn higher again.
R3: 0.9000
R2: 0.8955
R1: 0.8930
Pivot: 0.8910
S1: 0.8880
S2: 0.8866
S3: 0.8844

Trading recommendation:
We are long EUR from 0.8760 and our stop is placed at 0.8815.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
Best regards, PR Manager

Learn more about InstaForex Company at http://instaforex.com
IFX Gertrude
 
Posts: 5198
Joined: Wed Nov 07, 2012 6:25 am

Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Thu May 28, 2020 2:43 am

Forecast for GBP/USD on May 28, 2020

GBP/USD
The British pound lost 70 points on Wednesday due to investors' concerns regarding the Bank of England's lower rates towards the negative area. The current rate of the BoE is 0.10%. In addition, UK Brexit negotiator David Frost announced the country's refusal to extend the transition period ending at the end of this year and actually reported the failure of the current stage of negotiations.

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The pound's growth on the daily chart was suspended on the balance indicator line. Currently, the price is at the Fibonacci level of 161.8%. But the price is higher than the MACD indicator line, consolidated above it, and if the signal line of the Marlin oscillator moves to the zone of positive values, the upward trend can be restored with the immediate target of 1.2540 at the Fibonacci level of 123.6%.

The price may return to the downward trend after the price goes below the MACD line (1.2165 - match with the April 7 low). Decreasing goals are also determined by Fibonacci levels: 1.1935, 1.1750.

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The price develops between two signal levels on the H4 chart: its exit above 1.2362 - yesterday's high, opens up the prospect of growth to 1.2540, consolidation below 1.2165 opens the first bearish target of 1.1935.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
Best regards, PR Manager

Learn more about InstaForex Company at http://instaforex.com
IFX Gertrude
 
Posts: 5198
Joined: Wed Nov 07, 2012 6:25 am

Re: Instaforex Analysis

Postby IFX Gertrude » Thu May 28, 2020 2:44 am

Forecast for GBP/USD on May 28, 2020

GBP/USD
The British pound lost 70 points on Wednesday due to investors' concerns regarding the Bank of England's lower rates towards the negative area. The current rate of the BoE is 0.10%. In addition, UK Brexit negotiator David Frost announced the country's refusal to extend the transition period ending at the end of this year and actually reported the failure of the current stage of negotiations.

Image

The pound's growth on the daily chart was suspended on the balance indicator line. Currently, the price is at the Fibonacci level of 161.8%. But the price is higher than the MACD indicator line, consolidated above it, and if the signal line of the Marlin oscillator moves to the zone of positive values, the upward trend can be restored with the immediate target of 1.2540 at the Fibonacci level of 123.6%.

The price may return to the downward trend after the price goes below the MACD line (1.2165 - match with the April 7 low). Decreasing goals are also determined by Fibonacci levels: 1.1935, 1.1750.

Image

The price develops between two signal levels on the H4 chart: its exit above 1.2362 - yesterday's high, opens up the prospect of growth to 1.2540, consolidation below 1.2165 opens the first bearish target of 1.1935.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
Best regards, PR Manager

Learn more about InstaForex Company at http://instaforex.com
IFX Gertrude
 
Posts: 5198
Joined: Wed Nov 07, 2012 6:25 am

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