Weekly Outlook: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT for 10-14 November 2025XAUUSD: BUY 4070.00, SL 3990.00, TP 4310.00For our readers only—202% bonus on deposits from $202; mention promo code WINx2 in support and trade with TRIPLED capital; details via the link.
Gold enters the week at elevated levels. Markets have strengthened expectations of a December Fed rate cut while tracking progress on resolving the U.S. budget impasse. The rising likelihood of policy easing, together with uncertainty about the growth outlook, supports demand for safe-haven assets. Additional tailwinds come from a gradual recovery of interest from funds and steady central-bank purchases. U.S. government bond yields remain volatile but without a fresh surge higher, which reduces the “carry cost” for gold and helps prices hold firm.
Over the current week, the balance of factors looks moderately positive: expectations of easier policy, signs of softer business activity, and the U.S. budget agenda create a base for ongoing interest in XAU/USD. Risks to this view include a firmer tone from the Fed in public remarks, a quick rebound in real yields, and a stronger dollar on better U.S. data. In the base case, dips are met with buying and gold retains a chance to test higher levels as long as yields stay contained.
Trading recommendation: BUY 4070.00, SL 3990.00, TP 4310.00#SP500: BUY 6725, SL 6600, TP 7100
The U.S. equity market starts the week with a mixed tone: recent correction concerns and rich valuations weigh on sentiment, while expectations of an imminent end to the government shutdown and a likely Fed cut support risk appetite. Index futures reflect an improvement in mood, and the debate around budget restart timing lowers uncertainty for consumer-facing sectors and contractors.
Fundamentally, two forces support the benchmark in the near term: the prospect of easier monetary policy and steadier yields, which eases pressure on valuations—especially in rate-sensitive segments. Offsetting factors include high concentration of gains in a narrow group of names and cooling signals in parts of the macro data, both of which can fuel volatility without a clear trend. Base case for the week: moderate recovery assuming no negative surprises from U.S. statistics or the budget debate.
Trading recommendation: BUY 6725, SL 6600, TP 7100#BRENT: BUY 64.00, SL 62.50, TP 69.50
Oil opened the week firmer on hopes of a swift resumption of U.S. government operations and a modest improvement in overall risk sentiment. The broader backdrop remains mixed: participants weigh OPEC+ plans for quotas, the effect of sanctions-related issues on Russian flows, and weekly U.S. inventory dynamics. In the very near term, supply headlines and stock data can set the tone; absent fresh news, prices tend to revert to range trading.
From a fundamental angle, the weekly balance is “moderately positive”: a discussed pause in OPEC+ supply growth and pockets of disruption risk offset pressure from high inventories and worries about oversupply into 2026. A better global risk mood on progress with the U.S. budget also helps. Bearish risks include weak demand data and persistent inventory builds in the U.S.; in that case Brent could slip back to the lower end of its range.
Trading recommendation: BUY 64.00, SL 62.50, TP 69.50FreshForex offers a wonderful
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