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[Volkov Yuriy]

Elliott wave analysis of the market for November 04, 2025 BTCUSD


BTCUSD: SELL 105500, SL 107400, TP 95000

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Bitcoin's position is deteriorating day by day. Under pressure from sales, the digital asset is forced to continue its retreat. This development is fully consistent with the wave scenario discussed earlier.

According to this scenario, a downward impulse is currently developing. Waves 1 and 2 have already formed, and the current pressure on the price is expected to accelerate the decline in wave 3. If this is indeed the case, we will see a continuation of the price decline in the near future, which may be quite strong and prolonged.

For this reason, it is recommended to keep previously opened sell trades open and, if possible, to conclude additional trades in the same direction.

Investment idea: SELL 105500, SL 107400, TP 95000.


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[Volkov Yuriy]

Maximum profit: Top 5 indices of October

In October, client activity peaked around #SP500, #NQ100, #DAX30, #FTSE100, and #NIKKEI. These five indices not only showed the highest share of profitable trades but also delivered the best returns across all index instruments. Strong corporate earnings, steady demand, and a positive news backdrop continue to support their growth potential.

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Growth outlook for key indices through the end of 2025:

• #SP500: New record highs, solid earnings from major players, and expectations of a Fed rate cut support buying the dip with moderate risk.
• #NQ100: Tech demand remains strong as firms invest in data centers and AI infrastructure. If earnings stay on track, there’s still room to grow.
• #DAX30: After hitting new all-time highs in 2025, the German index benefits from improved global trade sentiment and stable EU data. Exporters thrive on robust external demand.
• #FTSE100: The UK market remains near its highs, supported by strong performance in key sectors and commodities. Year-end liquidity may further reinforce the uptrend.
• #NIKKEI: Japan’s index keeps climbing, helped by a weak yen boosting exports and a predictable monetary environment. Further gains are possible if global conditions remain calm.

FreshForex analysts believe short-term index performance hinges on three main factors: current earnings season results, inflation trends, and central bank decisions. Risk management and awareness of the macro calendar remain essential.

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