Commodity Currencies Slide As China Manufacturing PMI Disappoints
Commodity currencies such as the Australian, the New Zealand and the Canadian dollars weakened against their major counterparts in the Asian session on Monday, after data showed that the manufacturing sector in China continued to contract in January. Data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed that the manufacturing sector in China continued to contract in January, and at a faster rate, with a PMI score of 49.4. That was shy of forecasts for 49.6, and was down from 49.7 in December. The government also said that its non-manufacturing PMI came in at 53.5 in January, down from 54.4 in the previous month but still safely in expansion territory. The results of a private survey released by Caixin showed that the manufacturing sector in China continued to contract in January, although at a slower pace, with a PMI score of 48.4. That topped forecasts for a reading of 48.1, and was also up from 48.2 in December. In other economic news, data from the Australian Industry Group showed that the manufacturing sector in Australia continued to expand in January, albeit at a slightly slower pace, with a PMI score of 51.5. That's down from 51.9 in December. In all, the index has expanded in seven straight months. Last Friday, the Australian dollar rose 0.18 percent against the U.S. dollar, 1.83 percent against the yen and 0.99 percent against the euro. The NZ dollar rose 0.44 percent against the U.S. dollar, 2.10 percent against the yen and 1.09 percent against the euro. The Canadian dollar rose 1.93 percent against the yen and 1.41 percent against the euro. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar held steady against the greenback. In the Asian trading, the Australian dollar fell to a 6-day low of 0.9861 against the Canadian dollar and a 4-day low of 0.7042 against the U.S. dollar, from Friday's closing quotes of 0.9892 and 0.7082, respectively. If the aussie extends its downtrend, it is likely to find support around 0.97 against the loonie and 0.69 against the greenback. Against the yen and the euro, the aussie dropped to 85.31 and 1.5388 from last week's closing quotes of 85.79 and 1.5285, respectively. The aussie may test support near 81.00 against the yen and 1.59 against the euro. Meanwhile, the aussie slipped to 1.0901 against the NZ dollar, from Friday's closing value of 1.0914 and held steady thereafter. The NZ dollar fell to a 4-day low of 0.6449 against the U.S. dollar, from Friday's closing value of 0.6478. If the kiwi extends its downtrend, it is likely to find support around the 0.63 area. Against the yen and the euro, the kiwi edged down to 78.12 and 1.6802 from last week's closing value of 78.49 and 1.6691, respectively. The kiwi may test support near 74.00 against the yen and 1.62 against the euro. The Canadian dollar dropped to 1.5204 against the euro and 1.4013 against the U.S. dollar, from an early near 4-week high of 1.5111 and a 4-day high of 1.3966, respectively. The loonie may test support 1.56 near against the euro and 1.44 against the greenback. Against the yen, the loonie edged down to 86.48 from an early high of 86.92. If the loonie extends its downtrend, it is likely to find support around the 82.00 area. Looking ahead, final manufacturing PMI reports from major European economies for January and U.K. mortgage approvals data for December are due to be released later in the day. In the New York session, U.S. personal income and spending data for December, U.S. construction spending for December and U.S. and Canada's flash manufacturing PMI for January are slated for release. At 11:00 am ET, European Central Bank President Mario Draghi will testify about the 2015 ECB Annual Report before the European Parliament, in Strasbourg. Federal Reserve Governor Stanley Fischer is scheduled to speak about the U.S. economy and monetary policy at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York at 1 pm ET.
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