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[Volkov Yuriy]

Elliott wave analysis of the market for 03.06.2025 NQ100
Event to pay attention to today:

17:00 EET. USD - JOLTs Job Openings

#NQ100: SELL 21200, SL 21400, TP 19500



There were practically no changes in the wave pattern of the asset under consideration over the past time. The price has been in a very narrow price range all the time. Now there is an activation of buyers, but there are no strong movements yet.
Most likely, this jump is a correction in the emerging downward movement. Then in the future we expect the initiative to be transferred to sellers, which will lead to an impulsive price decline. However, this impulse is considered as a part of the corrective wave structure, which is a zigzag, which is a part of the converging horizontal triangle.

Thus, the recommendation to sell remains valid.

Investment idea: SELL 21200, SL 21400, TP 19500.

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Market Fundamental Analysis for June 4, 2025 USDJPY

Events to pay attention today:

17:00 EET. USD - ISM Services Business Activity Index

15:15 EET. USD - ADP Employment Change

USDJPY:




The Japanese yen (JPY) is attracting some intraday buyers after falling against the US dollar during the Asian session, and, at least for now, it seems that its pullback from the weekly high reached yesterday has paused. An upward revision of Japan's services business activity index, as well as expectations that wage growth will lead to faster inflation, leave open the possibility of another interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) in 2025. In addition, ongoing geopolitical risks and trade uncertainty are key factors supporting the JPY.

Meanwhile, cautious statements by BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda on Tuesday sparked speculation that the next interest rate hike will not happen anytime soon. However, this still differs significantly from expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut rates by at least 25 basis points (bps) by the end of this year. This, along with concerns about the US budget, is causing a new wave of selling of the US dollar (USD) after Tuesday's decent rebound from a six-week low and is putting some pressure on the USD/JPY pair during the Asian session.

Trading recommendation: SELL 144.20, SL 144.40, TP 143.20

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[Volkov Yuriy]

5 stocks that shook the market in May

May 2025 turned out to be a landmark month for the U.S. stock market. Several top companies posted impressive gains driven by explosive demand for AI technologies, advancements in autonomous transport, and strong corporate strategy.

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Here are the five market leaders that set the tone in May:

1. Nvidia – The AI Powerhouse

Nvidia (#NVIDIA) surged 25% in May, becoming the most valuable U.S. company with a market cap of $3.45 trillion — surpassing even Microsoft. The rally was fueled by stunning data center results, with revenue hitting $39.1 billion (+427% YoY). Its new Blackwell chip series has already sparked massive interest from leading AI developers. UBS analysts raised their price target to $175, predicting further growth in high-performance computing.

2. Apple – A return to growth

Apple (#Apple) saw a solid 7% gain, rebounding from earlier struggles. The company announced $500 billion in long-term investments over the next five years to create new jobs and manufacture AI servers in the U.S. This move restored investor confidence and supported the stock’s recovery.

3. Tesla – Robotaxis drive momentum

Tesla (#Tesla) jumped 25%, boosted by the announcement of its robotaxi launch in Austin, Texas, scheduled for June 12. Combined with improving market conditions and a pause in EU tariff pressure, Tesla shares reclaimed center stage. Wedbush analysts see potential for the stock to hit $500 as the company expands its autonomous and AI-driven initiatives.

4. Moderna – Biotech breakthroughs

Moderna (#Moderna) gained 7% following positive results from new cancer drug trials. The company also revealed plans to cut operational costs by $1.7 billion by 2027, aiming to boost overall efficiency. Investors welcomed the strategic pivot beyond COVID-related products.

5. Alcoa – Aluminum and geopolitics

Alcoa (#Alcoa) rose 6.5% on reports that the U.S. may ban aluminum imports from Russia. This geopolitical development, along with steady dividends and renewed investor interest in commodities, positioned Alcoa as a top-performing metals stock for the month.

May 2025 confirmed the market’s focus on AI, autonomous transport, biotech, and raw materials. Nvidia, Tesla, Apple, Moderna, and Alcoa led the charge — and FreshForex analysts recommend riding this momentum for active trading on high-performing stocks.

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Elliott wave analysis of the market for 05.06.2025 #NQ100

#NQ100: SELL 21600, SL 21800, TP 20600



The index continues to push higher, inching closer to its all-time high. It seems that buyers are aiming precisely for that resistance level. Given this, an alternative wave scenario should be considered. Instead of a correction, the ongoing move may be a full impulsive wave—specifically wave 5 of a prolonged upward impulse. Currently, wave 3 of this fifth wave may be ending or already completed. If this view is correct, a corrective pullback is likely in the near future before another upward push resumes. As such, a short position could be considered to capitalize on the expected corrective decline.

Investment idea: SELL 21600, SL 21800, TP 20600.

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Market Fundamental Analysis for June 6, 2025 EURUSD

Event to pay attention to today:

15:30 EET. USD - Non-Farm Employment Change

EURUSD:



The EUR/USD pair is trading in a limited range around 1.1440 during Asian trading hours on Friday.

Investors' attention will be focused on the official US employment data as it will affect market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy outlook. The US economy is estimated to have added 130,000 new workers, down from the 171,000 hired in April. The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.2%.

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the dollar's value against six major currencies, rises to 98.80.

The dollar index rebounded on Thursday following comments by U.S. President Donald Trump in a post on the Truth.Social website suggesting a de-escalation of trade tensions between Washington and Beijing. “The call lasted about an hour and a half and ended very positively for both countries.” wrote Trump.

Meanwhile, the euro (EUR) is trending negative, while comments from European Central Bank (ECB) officials indicate that the monetary policy expansion cycle is now complete.

Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1400, SL 1.1500, TP 1.1200

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Market Fundamental Analysis for June 9, 2025 GBPUSD

GBPUSD:



The GBP/USD pair rose during the Asian session on Monday and so far appears to have paused its corrective decline from the highest level since February 2022 around 1.3615 reached last week.

The US Dollar (USD) failed to capitalize on Friday's positive US jobs data and started the new week on a subdued note, which in turn is seen as a key factor supporting the GBP/USD pair. Moreover, Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey's remarks last week that the central bank would take a gradual and cautious approach to interest rate cuts amid trade uncertainty served as a tailwind for the currency pair.

Meanwhile, a stronger-than-expected US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report dampened hopes that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut rates soon this year. This is deterring dollar bears from new bets and limiting GBP/USD's upside.

On Monday, there will be no market-important economic data released from either the UK or the US, leaving the GBP/USD pair at the mercy of dollar price action.

Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3535, SL 1.3635, TP 1.3335

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Analysis of margin levels for 10 June 2025

XAUUSD: SELL 3330.67-3368.17, TP1-3293.17, TP2-3182.77

Long-term trend: long. The maximum accumulation of volumes of the current contract is located in the range of 3345.00–3370.00. Currently, investment transactions on XAUUSD are being made below the specified range, which indicates weakness among buyers. XAUUSD: SELL 3330.67-3368.17, TP1-3293.17, TP2-3182.77.



• Medium-term trend: short. The maximum accumulation of medium-term trend volumes is located in the range of 3355.00–3365.00. Currently, investment transactions on XAUUSD are being carried out below this range, which indicates the strength of sellers.

• The area of favourable prices for selling from the point of view of margin coverage is located between zones 1/4 and 1/2 built from the low of 09.06.2025.

• The lower border of zone 1/4 is quoted at 3330.67.

• The lower limit of zone 1/2 is quoted at 3368.17.

• Intraday targets: update of lows from 09.06.2025–3293.17.

• Medium-term targets: test of the lower boundary of ZNKZ-3182.77. XAUUSD: SELL 3330.67-3368.17, TP1-3293.17, TP2-3182.77.



• Trading recommendations: sell from the range of favourable prices when a reversal pattern forms.

• Sell: 3330.67-3368.17, Take Profit 1–3293.17, Take Profit 2–3182.77.

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Top stocks now on FreshForex: Ferrari, Palantir, Shell & more

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Palantir (PLTR) – A key player in data analytics and government contracts, constantly in the spotlight.

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) – A cybersecurity leader gaining momentum in today’s digital-first world.

Shell, ConocoPhillips – Energy giants benefiting from global price shifts and geopolitical factors. Great for trend following and portfolio hedging.

GitLab, Cloudflare – Strong representatives of the new wave of tech. Ideal for those who focus on innovation-driven markets.

Domino’s Pizza – A globally recognized consumer brand with steady demand.

Roblox (RBLX) – A popular platform among younger audiences and a standout in the interactive entertainment space.

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Market Fundamental Analysis for June 11, 2025 USDJPY

An event to watch out for today:

15:30 EET. USD - Consumer Price Index

USDJPY:



The Japanese yen (JPY) is attracting new sellers during Tuesday's Asian session as optimism about the resumption of trade talks between the US and China undermines demand for safe-haven assets. This, along with moderate growth in the US dollar (USD), pushes the USD/JPY pair above the psychological mark of 145.00, to an almost two-week high in the last hour. However, a combination of factors may keep JPY bears from aggressively betting on the direction of movement and limit the currency pair's growth.

Amid signs of rising inflation in Japan, the upward revision of first-quarter GDP confirmed bets that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates. This marks a significant divergence from the relatively dovish policy of the Federal Reserve (Fed), which should limit the USD's rise and favor the lower-yielding Japanese yen. In addition, ongoing trade uncertainty and growing geopolitical tensions support the prospect of some bargain hunting in the Japanese yen.

On Tuesday, senior US and Chinese officials will meet for the second time in London for talks aimed at resolving the ongoing trade dispute between the world's two largest economies. Investors remain hopeful for a breakthrough on export controls on commodities such as rare earth metals, which continues to support risk sentiment and undermines the Japanese yen's safe-haven status.

Trading recommendation: BUY 145.00, SL 144.60, TP 146.10

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Analysis of margin levels for 12 June 2025

Event to pay attention to today:

15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims

XAUUSD: SELL 3329.85-3367.35, TP1-3292.35, TP2-3181.95.

- Long-term trend: long. The maximum accumulation of volumes of the current contract is located in the range, at the quotes 3310.00-3335.00. At the moment XAUUSD is making investment operations above this range, which indicates the strength of buyers.



- Medium-term trend: to short. The maximum accumulation of volumes of the medium-term trend is located in the range, at the quotes 3355.00-3365.00. At the moment XAUUSD is making investment operations above this range, which indicates the weakness of sellers.

- The area of favorable selling prices in terms of margin support is located between zones 1/4 and 1/2 built from the minimum of 09.06.2025.

- The quotation of the lower border of the zone 1/4-3329.85.

- The quote of the lower boundary of the 1/2 zone-3367.35.

- Intraday targets: updating the lows of 09.06.2025-3292.35.

- Medium-term targets: test of the lower boundary of the ZNKZ-3181.95.



- Trading recommendations: selling from the range of favorable prices at formation of a reversal pattern.

- Sell: 3329.85-3367.35, Take Profit 1-3292.35, Take Profit 2-3181.95.

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