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[Volkov Yuriy]

TON opens new horizons for users and developers

The Open Network (TON) is a decentralized blockchain originally developed by the Telegram team, designed for scalable and fast transactions. TON is utilized across various sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), gaming applications (GameFi), and payment systems, providing users and developers with a reliable and efficient platform for creating and using decentralized applications.



The first two months of 2025 have been pivotal for TON: the ecosystem has demonstrated significant growth and taken strategic steps that have strengthened its position in the crypto industry. During this period, 3.1 million new wallets were activated, with daily activity ranging from 170,000 to 590,000 users. Monthly trading volume reached an impressive $500–700 million, while weekly transactions grew to 20–30 million, placing TON among the top 8 blockchains by this metric.

Another major announcement was that TON has become the exclusive blockchain infrastructure for Mini Apps on Telegram. This means that all mini-apps on Telegram will now utilize TON for tokenization, payments, and integrations, ensuring users a more convenient, secure, and faster experience with decentralized services.

A key growth factor was the partnership with LayerZero, enabling seamless USDT transfers between Ethereum, TRON, and Arbitrum, with plans to expand to over 100 different blockchains in the future. This move significantly boosts network liquidity and enhances its attractiveness for developers and users.

Toncoin – The native currency of TON. It is used for network operations, transactions, gaming, and NFTs. Key growth factors for the TONUSD crypto pair in 2025:

Deep integration with Telegram – TON’s role as the primary blockchain infrastructure for Mini Apps in Telegram grants access to a vast user base and attracts developers.
Expansion into the U.S. market – The new president of TON Foundation is actively developing strategic partnerships in the U.S., strengthening the blockchain’s global influence.
Investments in DeFi and PayFi – The TVM Ventures fund is allocating $100 million to ecosystem development, fostering growth and innovation.
Technological enhancements and integrations – Integration with LayerZero and the launch of the Omnichain Fungible Token (OFT) standard will improve TON’s compatibility with other blockchains, expanding its functionality.

With such strategic initiatives and continuous infrastructure development, 2025 is set to be a breakthrough year for TON, solidifying its position as one of the leading blockchain projects worldwide.

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1. The ability to open a trading account in TON (Toncoin).
2. The option to trade the TONUSD (Toncoin vs. US Dollar) pair and profit from price fluctuations 24/7.

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Fundamental analysis of the market for 17.03.2025 GBPUSD

Event to pay attention to today:

14:30 EET. USD - Change in retail trade volume

GBPUSD:



The GBP/USD pair starts the new week on a subdued note and fluctuated within a narrow trading range around 1.2930 during the Asian session. However, the fundamental backdrop calls for some caution before positing a significant corrective pullback in spot prices from the four-month peak near 1.2990 reached last Wednesday.

The US Dollar (USD) is languishing near multi-month lows amid concerns that US President Donald Trump's tariffs and retaliatory measures by other countries could hurt the US economy. In addition, lower-than-expected US inflation and signs of a cooling US labor market could force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates several times this year. This, in turn, keeps Dollar bulls on the defensive and serves as a tailwind for the GBP/USD pair.

Betting on further Fed policy easing was supported by the University of Michigan survey data released on Friday, which showed that the consumer sentiment index fell to a near 2-1.5-year low in March. In addition, inflation expectations rose amid concerns that Trump's aggressive economic policies will lead to higher prices. In addition, the overall positive tone in Asian stock markets undermined the safe-haven US Dollar.

The British Pound (GBP), on the other hand, is struggling to attract buyers after Friday's disappointing domestic data, which showed that the UK economy unexpectedly contracted by 0.1% in January....

Trading recommendation: SELL 1.2930, SL 1.2990, TP 1.2860

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Margin analysis of the market for 18.03.2025 XAUUSD

XAUUSD: BUY 2951.86-2983.19, TP1-3014.39, TP2-3084.59

Long-term trend: long. The maximum accumulation of volumes of the current contract is located in the range, at the quotations 2900.00-2930.00. At the moment, XAUUSD is investing higher, indicating the strength of buyers.

Medium-term trend: long. The maximum accumulation of volumes of the medium-term trend is located in the range, at 2912.00-2920.00 and 2986.00-2994.00. At the moment, XAUUSD is investing higher, indicating the strength of buyers.

The area of favorable prices for buying from the point of view of margin support, is located between zones 1/4 and 1/2 built from the maximum of 18.03.2025.

The quotation of the upper border of the zone 1/4-2983.19.

The quote of the upper boundary of zone 1/2-2951.86.

Intraday targets: renewal of the highs from 18.03.2025-3014.39.

Medium-term targets: test of the lower boundary of the SNKZ-3084.59.

Trading recommendations: buying from the range of favorable prices when a reversal pattern is formed.

Buy: 2951.86-2983.19, Take Profit 1-3014.39, Take Profit 2-3084.59.

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Fundamental analysis of the market for 19.03.2025 USDJPY

Event to pay attention to today:

20:00 EET. USD - FOMC Rate Decision

USDJPY:



The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a slight decline during the Asian session on Wednesday, reacting to domestic data that fell short of expectations. However, the decline was not followed by significant selling as traders showed indecision in anticipation of the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) decision. The Japanese central bank is expected to maintain its short-term interest rate at 0.50 per cent, amid uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump's trade policy and its potential impact on the economy. Investors will therefore be looking for signals on the timing and magnitude of future rate hikes by the Bank of Japan.

Investors will then shift their attention to the outcome of the two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which will be announced later in the US session. The US central bank is also expected to leave interest rates unchanged, although markets are pricing in the possibility of three 25 basis point rate cuts before the end of this year. This represents a significant divergence from the Bank of Japan's hawkish stance, which has led to the recent narrowing of the US-Japan rate differential, and should continue to support the lower-yielding Japanese Yen.

Trade recommendation: BUY 149.60, SL 149.00, TP 150.30

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Sharp reversal in US markets

Amid market volatility and uncertainty, US stock indices experienced a sharp decline last week. The Dow Jones Index (#DJI30) fell by 3.5%, the S&P 500 (#SP500) dropped by 4.1%, and the Nasdaq-100 (#NQ100) lost 5.5%.

Investors reacted nervously to new economic data, including rising inflation and expectations of interest rate hikes, leading to a sell-off in stocks and a decline in key indices. The drop was particularly significant in the technology and consumer sectors, where companies like Apple and Tesla lost around 6-7% of their value.

However, starting March 13, 2025, the indices began to recover: #DJI30 gained 2.3%, #SP500 rose by 2.5%, and #NQ100 increased by 3.1%.



The recent rebound in US stock indices has been driven by several factors that restored investor confidence. Let’s take a closer look at the main reasons:

• Improvement in unemployment data: Labor market statistics played a crucial role in the market recovery. The US unemployment rate fell to 3.4% in February 2025, marking a record low in recent decades. This indicates strong employment levels and economic resilience, boosting investor optimism and supporting stock market growth.

• Stabilization of inflation and interest rate expectations: Although inflation in the US remains high, recent data showed a slowdown in its growth. Reduced inflationary pressure gave investors hope that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might slow down the pace of interest rate hikes. This was perceived as a sign of potential economic stabilization, positively impacting stock indices.

• Growth in consumer spending: One of the key drivers of the recent market recovery has been the increase in consumer spending. In Q1 2025, consumer demand in the US showed strong performance, serving as an essential indicator of economic activity. Increased spending on goods and services supports business stability and enhances corporate revenues, which, in turn, stimulates stock growth.

• Absence of new geopolitical risks: In recent weeks, there have been no major geopolitical crises or new threats on the international stage. This helped financial markets stabilize, as investors could focus on economic data and corporate earnings reports, contributing to stock index growth.

• Positive corporate earnings reports:

• #Microsoft (MSFT): Microsoft shares rose by 4.2% after reporting strong quarterly results, driven by growth in cloud services and software revenue.

• #Google (GOOGL): Alphabet’s stock increased by 3.7% due to higher advertising revenue and improved forecasts for upcoming quarters.

• #Apple (AAPL): Apple shares climbed 2.9%, supported by strong sales of new products and rising revenue from services.

• #Tesla (TSLA): Tesla stock surged 5.6%, fueled by strong electric vehicle sales growth and optimistic profit projections for the next quarter.

These companies demonstrated significant growth on the back of improved financial performance, strengthening investor confidence and aiding the stock market’s recovery amid volatility.

So despite last week’s market downturn, the current situation in the US stock market signals a potential recovery and a more positive trend in the coming weeks.

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Elliott wave analysis of the market for 20.03.2025 #NQ100

#NQ100: BUY 19950, SL 19550, TP 20700



The NASDAQ index appears to be in the midst of developing a corrective structure. Lately, intense battles have raged across every segment of the price field. Following a notable dip, the price strives to ascend, albeit with limited success.

Though the price struggles to rise, it is likely to continue doing so. Eventually, however, a strong downward wave is expected, which will update the current local low. This will result in the formation of a zigzag.
Before this occurs, it is feasible to exploit the current corrective upward movement by entering buy trades at market values. Nonetheless, it is crucial to account for the limited potential of this movement.

Investment idea: BUY 19950, SL 19550, TP 20700.

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Have you seen gold? New all-time high – $3,000+ per ounce!

The price of Gold vs. the US Dollar (XAU/USD) has hit a new record, surpassing $3,050 per ounce!



The main drivers behind this surge include escalating conflict in the Middle East and concerns over a slowing US economy. Additionally, US trade wars with China, Canada, and Mexico continue to push global gold prices higher.

The Middle Eastern conflict escalated after Israeli airstrikes on Hamas targets in Gaza, driving demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Another contributing factor is weak US retail sales data for February, which grew only +0.2% instead of the expected +0.7%, heightening recession fears. Moreover, ongoing trade wars — linked to import tariffs introduced by Donald Trump — are putting pressure on global markets, further increasing gold’s appeal as a protective asset.

April gold futures are currently trading around $3,000 per ounce. Since the beginning of 2025, the precious metal has gained over 14%, reinforcing its status as a reliable asset during uncertain times.

Major investment banks forecast further price growth:

UBS Group expects $3,200 per ounce by year-end.
Macquarie Group forecasts a rise to $3,500 in Q2.
BNP Paribas predicts an average price above $3,000 throughout 2025.

Analysts at FreshForex emphasize that in times of global uncertainty and rising risks, gold remains the ultimate safe-haven asset, expecting new all-time highs ahead. Seize the opportunity now!

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Fundamental analysis of the market for 21.03.2025 EURUSD

EURUSD:
​
Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell downplayed the danger to the economy from US President Donald Trump's tariff threats, which seem to exist in a quantum state where they both exist and don't exist at the same time. According to Fed Chairman Powell, downside risks have certainly increased thanks to repeated tariff threats, but Fed policymakers continue to insist that US economic data remains strong, albeit off recent highs.

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's (Fed) manufacturing activity survey for March fell to 12.5 m/m, down from the previous reading of 18.1 and down for the second month in a row, but held the brakes and fell less than the median market forecast of 8.5. US weekly initial jobless claims also rose less than expected at 223,000 new jobless claimants, up from 220,000 the previous week. Investors had expected the figure to be 224k. Sales of existing homes in the US also rose by almost a third of a million transactions more than expected, rising to 4.26 million units in February from a revised January figure of 4.09 million. Market watchers had expected a slight slowdown to 3.95 million.

With little in the way of economic data on Friday, investors will have a week's worth of events to digest. Traders will also keep an eye on any social media developments from President Trump.

Trade recommendation: SELL 1.0850, SL 1.0930, TP 1.0760

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Fundamental analysis of the market for 24.03.2025 GBPUSD

GBPUSD:



The GBP/USD pair continues to hold below the round 1.2900 mark and is attracting buyers in the Asian session on Monday.

The US Dollar (USD) started the new week on a weak note and halted its three-day recovery from multi-month lows, which in turn is seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for the GBP/USD pair. Despite the Federal Reserve (Fed) raising its inflation forecast, investors seem convinced that a tariff-induced slowdown in the US economy could force the central bank to resume its rate-cutting cycle in the near future.

In fact, the UK central bank has cautioned against assumptions of rate cuts and has also raised its forecast for inflation to peak this year. This suggests that the Bank of England will reduce borrowing costs more slowly than other central banks, including the Fed, which lends further support to the GBP/USD pair.

Moving forward, traders are awaiting the release of flash PMI indices from the UK and the US for meaningful momentum. In addition, speeches from influential FOMC members will stimulate demand for the dollar, which, along with comments from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, should create short-term trading opportunities for the GBP/USD pair.

Trading recommendation: BUY 1.2930, SL 1.2850, TP 1.3060

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[Volkov Yuriy]

Elliott wave analysis of the market for 25.03.2025 BTCUSD

BTCUSD: BUY 87000, SL 86500, TP 98000



With the start of the new trading week, the cryptocurrency market, and Bitcoin in particular, has revived. The price began rising from the very start of the day, leaving bears with no chance and solidifying its gains.

Thus, the formation of the third wave in the upward impulse is presumed to have commenced. Given that the first wave took the form of an initial diagonal triangle, a strong and prolonged impulsive rise is anticipated in the future.
For this reason, entering buy trades appears to be a highly promising trading decision.

Investment idea: BUY 87000, SL 86500, TP 98000.

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