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NZD/USD Technical Analysis: June 6, 2017

Postby Andrea ForexMart » Tue Jun 06, 2017 5:33 am

The New Zealand broke in the lower channel during the Monday session. Later, the trend bounced off to fill the gap then declined again. There is massive support found in the 0.71 below which triggered the market to rise again as it reached the former break level. Currently, the market is attempting to move higher as it gains momentum to reach the 0.7150 region which would hint a bullish sentiment.

The market could also retreat from this level towards the 0.71 handle once more. Overall, there will be high volatility and persist for some time in the market since the New Zealand dollar is relative to commodities market which always changes. Hence, the currency is expected to be traded with a choppy environment.

Buying on the lows is advisable for this pair and is not surprising for them to return as the trend moves in a downtrend. However, shorting this pair may not be the best move. If the price breaks lower than the 0.71 handle, the next move would be to go downward toward the 0.7050 level.

Nevertheless, the market will be very choppy driven by geopolitical risks and in consideration of its sensitivity opting the U.S. dollars as a safety currency while the kiwi being the riskier one in this pair. Volatility is also anticipated to persist in either direction it goes.
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GBP/JPY Technical Analysis: June 6, 2017

Postby Andrea ForexMart » Tue Jun 06, 2017 6:46 am

The British pound against the Japanese yen broke on the lower side during the Monday session which was upturned indicating bullishness in the trend. It is directed towards the 143 level and higher up that fills the gap. There is a robust resistance seen in the previous trades that makes the reversal unexpected. However, if the price is set higher, this would persist to an elevated level pointed to the 144 region.

It is anticipated to have volatility for this pair regardless of the next move since the market is in a “risk on” or “risk off” sentiment. Moreover, the British elections worsen the situation as it affected the British currency that brings unpredictability in the market until the election on Thursday. Other global economic concerns will also affect the trend.

Volatility is the current focal point of the market and if it gaps more than the 143 region, more buying opportunities will come out for the market. However, if the election polls showed conservatives leading in Britain, this push this pair aimed higher with chances to break higher than the 144 region then shift towards the 145 handle.

Traders should not expect that trading this pair would be easy that makes trades on small positions to be ideal for this pair or one could opt to wait in the sidelines as GBP/JPY is one of the pairs risky to position in the market.


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NZD/USD Technical Analysis: June 7, 2017

Postby Andrea ForexMart » Wed Jun 07, 2017 4:16 am

The NZDUSD rallied amid trades on Tuesday and broke the level on top of 0.7150 smoothly. The Kiwi dollar continued to search for buyers on dips and tend to handle some pullback as an opportunity to increase rate.

The market tried to touch the region above 0.72, en route 0.75 afterwards. As shown in the chart, the area around 0.71 handle provides a lot of support and regarded to be the floor of the market in the near-term uptrend. The commodity space continues to weigh on the market and the NZD seems to be the “barometer” towards the overall sentiment of futures trading. Watch closely for the commodity because it could possibly show the way.

It could be a good move to buy dips moving forward because it suits the current status of the New Zealand currency. Selling remains impossible as far as we breach under the 0.71 mark. A successful break down prompts the market to reach the range below 0.7050 which is very supportive previously, along with the 0.70 region. In any case, the market remains to be volatile, however, the moving averages came in reliable, particularly the 48-hour MA shown in green color, hence it should offer further buying opportunities.

The volatility driven market persists, but the late impulsivity indicates that buyers begin to develop more confident as it moves ahead. Moreover, the dips will provide value which is an advantage to market participants.
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GBP/USD Technical Analysis: June 7, 2017

Postby Andrea ForexMart » Wed Jun 07, 2017 5:47 am

The GBPUSD had attempted to rally yesterday, however, retreated to the level 1.2950 to return underneath the 1.29 handle. In the past few sessions, the market appeared to have a little bit of overall bullish pressure, waiting for the results of UK elections expected tomorrow. In this case, the market will probably experience choppiness and unprepared to conduct a significant move yet. Short-term volatility is predicted along with some choppy spots but a general ascending momentum should also be anticipated. It does not mean that a pull cannot be accomplished, it only implies that longer-term charts and the range below 1.2750 should offer massive support that will surely lure the attention of the majority of market participants.

After the session on Friday, the long-term outlook for the pair shall be available as it could be very difficult from this moment and the next.

Buying the dips remains to be the best option for the Cable but the dips showed to be somewhat steep. You should have got small positions as of now and after the election results in order to acquire lesser damage that might suddenly arise.

Markets have lots of speculation regarding the election decision, therefore a cool level head should be maintained as this is crucial for the following sessions.

In the longer-term, the pair might break the 1.3050 mark as it allows the market move higher freely, or maybe reach its long-term target found at the region 1.3450.


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EUR/USD Technical Analysis: June 7, 2017

Postby Andrea ForexMart » Wed Jun 07, 2017 6:31 am

The EURUSD aimed to make a rally during Tuesday session but look for a strong resistance around 1.1280 region to make a reversal. Then, rebounded through the 1.1240 mark.
Meanwhile, the market remains to be bullish and attempted to front run the monetary policy statement of the European Central Bank.

The ability to break out in the upside enable the market to move towards the area on top of 1.13. The 1.15 range is the top of the latest consolidation seen in the EUR/USD for the past years.

Moreover, the market might experience difficulty in breaking above the mentioned range, however, series of attempt were made to get through the area and identify its capacity to hold on.
Buying in the dips resumes progressing forward despite anticipated noise.

As the Britain will leave the European Union, there is a chance that some statements will weigh against Euro’s value. Either way, the interest rate hikes from the United States may catch more attention.

A breakout to the upside is possible while the 1.12 market must be the “floor” in this market.
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USD/CAD Technical Analysis: June 8, 2017

Postby Andrea ForexMart » Thu Jun 08, 2017 6:39 am

The USDCAD go through sideways amid Wednesday’s trades and attempted to push downwards reaching 1.3425 handle. After that, the market had broken out to the upside on the back of releasing the figures of Crude Oil Inventories. The number showed that oil demand declined again while the greenbacks broke to upside and collapse over the 1.35 handle.
With this, the commodity-linked pair is preparing to resume the longer-term uptrend with anticipation that buying dips will progress.

The Canadian dollar is expected to struggle as demand continued to be sluggish relative to the crude oil market. A break on top of 1.36 handle prompts the market to move forward near 1.40 region eventually. As buying dips in the near-term will persist, selling the market seems uninteresting. The U.S. dollar has to extend its gains versus the loonie because the oil keep on dragging the currency in the longer-term

A breakdown or pull back cause buyers to missed the trend during the announcement.
The position on the lower level showed plenty of choppiness, hence, down there might have the same degree of irregularity because support will be provided for pullbacks. Therefore, expect a lot of order flow accompanied by “market memory found in the lower areas.
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USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis: June 9, 2017

Postby Andrea ForexMart » Fri Jun 09, 2017 5:09 am

The events happened yesterday unexpectedly wrought a slight impact against the USD/CAD, as well as to other currency pairs. However, there are predictions that it would be an explosive day yesterday due to incidents lined up while traders work late at night to secure a safe position and to keep their trades well but everything turned out to be less impressive and unexciting.

The said events are as follows; the decision of ECB to hold its rates paired with the announcement on inflation targets and increasing growth outlook, though it is obviously has nothing to do with the pair. Next is the testimony of Comey after he accused US President Trump with lots of things.

These scenarios were unable to move the dollar and any movement only indicates an insignificant strengthening of the greens that lead the USDCAD near 1.35.

In relation to the Canadian dollar, BOC Governor Poloz delivered a speech expressing his delight about the current condition of their economy. He also stated that he was comfortable regarding the price trend in the housing industry. The neutral tone strike by Poloz reflected towards the commodity-linked pair which continuously trades in a steady and unspecified direction.

Later this day, the Canadian employment figures is anticipated to be release that would likely cause volatility. If the report showed a stronger result, it would help the pair to reach the lows of its tight range close to the 1.3450 level.
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GBP/JPY Technical Analysis: June 9, 2017

Postby Andrea ForexMart » Fri Jun 09, 2017 6:15 am

The British pound paired against the Japanese yen had a volatile session during the Thursday session. This is not surprising because of the U.K. parliamentary elections. Although, traders are not sure what is the general attitude of the market regarding Brexit leaving uncertainty in investors.

Towards the end of the day, the pair rallies forward with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level close to the 142.75 handle. Low levels have been higher which could continue to go up. The 143 region is starting to be strongly resistive and if the market is successful in breaking this level, the price could move higher. As of now, the market is still in consolidation.

However, if the price fell down to the 142 handle, there are more buyers interested in this pair. If the market is successful to break out in the upper channel, it will suggest a “risk on/off” sentiment which is a common reaction here. Traders should be cautious to avoid losses since they could incur bigger losses if not careful. Same goes for the USD/JPY pair and position in smaller trades which is relevant for this pair.

Nevertheless, it is also a good move to buy the pair for long-term but still with some caution before posting large orders since the market is still unstable. It is safer to wait until next week or after the results of U.K. election.


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EUR/USD Technical Analysis: June 13, 2017

Postby Andrea ForexMart » Tue Jun 13, 2017 3:26 am

The European Central Bank decided to stabilize the apple cart and did not talk about the withdrawal of Quantitative Easing turning the focus towards the talks regarding Brexit and politics. Italian elections were delayed which helped yields from Italy to decline on the back of an extensive narrowing of spreads followed by the dovish remarks pronounced by M. Draghi.
However, lots of political challenges remain in the future.

The anti-European forces appeared to be inactive while in Catalonia, Spain threatens the stability of the Spanish country due to the independence referendum planned for October 1.

The debt relief of Greece continue to hang in the Euro region and this is the expected major topic in the EU meeting scheduled on Thursday.

The EURUSD tried to move higher but failed to reacquire its previous resistance found at 1.1227 level close to the 10-day moving average.

The exchange rate indicates the second day of the Doji formation that further shows uncertainties where the close and open levels are in the same range.

Moreover, the pair seems to generate a head and shoulder reversal pattern which starts to produce the right shoulder followed by the left and lastly the head which resistance region entered the 1.1285 area.

Prices in the previous weeks failed to break 1.1299 mark seen around the November 8 highs. The major’s near-term support holds 1.1109 near the lows of May 29.

The momentum became negative since the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) develops a sell signal to take a crossover. It emerged because the spread crosses underneath the 9-day exponential moving average. The histogram shifted to negative grounds from the positive territory establishing a sell signal. The index also prints in the read paired with a descending trajectory that points towards a lower rate of the EUR/USD.
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EUR/GBP Technical Analysis: June 13, 2017

Postby Andrea ForexMart » Tue Jun 13, 2017 4:35 am

The Euro against the British pound move sideways during the Monday session. It broke above the 0.88 handle as the market continues to sell off the currency. This is a significant move while it seems that the market is not ready to retreat. Pullbacks would then attract more buyers and the 0.88 region below continues to be supportive.

However, if the price breaks lower and the gap is filled, this could send the price lower as low as 0.8650 and lower. Some pullbacks would open buying opportunities indicating massive support below. There is still a possibility to move higher towards the 0.90 level which hints as a significant psychological level.

The British currency has depreciated which drags the pair more than the other. On the other hand, the Euro is steadily moving in the market. The impulsive action is most likely driven by the pound more than other aspects. The uncertainty persists in the market which entails the pair could climb higher.

The 0.90 region gives off a significant resistance and a break over this would provide more long-term opportunities. It may not be wise to sell this pair since there are other things to consider in selling off this pair. However, if the pair breaks in the base of the breakdown, this would significantly shift the movement which could induce selling and this is not gonna be good for the pair.


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