Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart

[Andrea ForexMart]

The USD/CAD has still managed to keep itself afloat in spite of a small increase in oil prices during the previous trading session. The currency pair continued to trade within its ranges, but this could be a cause for celebration of the pair’s bulls as the USD/CAD traded within its range highs with no hints of weakness whatsoever. This movement was also partly due to the recent surge in the dollar’s value which ensured support for the pair’s bulls.

As of this morning, the USD/CAD has somewhat weakened in stance and spent most of the session consolidating within its range highs with no actual direction. The USD/CAD bulls are now monitoring the release of the FOMC minutes, whose hawkish outlook might possibly lend some much-needed support for the pair and finally create some sense of direction. If the minutes are able to meet market expectations, then the USD/CAD pair could possibly move towards 1.3200 and could even go beyond this range.

For today’s session, we have the FOMC meeting minutes set to be released as well as the release of the US housing data. Meanwhile, the Canadian economy will be releasing its core retail sales data which will have to be closely watched by the USD/CAD bears in order for them to regain dominance over the currency pair.

[Andrea ForexMart]

The GBP/USD pair continues to trade very well during the past trading sessions in spite of the US dollar regaining the majority of its losses. The GBP/USD pair remains to be one of the most resilient currency pairs, with the pair even bouncing back significantly as the dollar exhibited weakness and managing to hold on its own once the USD strengthened.

However, it is important to note that in spite of its relative strength, the GBP/USD pair is still trading within a very wide range of 400-500 pips, with the pair consistently trading within this range and not going much further. However, as the Brexit process starts to unfold and with the forthcoming invocation of Article 50, the pair might be in for some added volatility in the coming weeks. But it still remains to be seen whether the pair will be able to finally surpass its current ranges and record some significant change in trend.

UK will be releasing its second GDP estimate today which is expected to give the market an inkling of the current state of the UK economy. The GDP estimate would most likely come out as somewhat positive since the economic state of the country has been well during the past periods. The FOMC minutes will also be released later today, and this is expected to be an indicator of the GBP/USD pair’s short-term trend. If the market expectations with regards to the FOMC minutes is met, then the currency pair could possibly revert back to 1.2400 points.

[Andrea ForexMart]

An objective trend seems bearish. The New Zealand dollar resumed its reversal on Tuesday regaining greater portion of its previous losses. The price halted on top of the 0.7150 level as it trade in a tight range yesterday.

The spot remained unsteady near its fresh highs throughout the day. As shown in the 4-hour chart, the 50-EMA made a downward crossover to 200-EMA whilst the price resumed its development on the lower area of the moving averages. Moreover, the 50 and 100-EMA drove downwards while 200-EMA preserved a bullish pattern. Resistance pierced 0.7200, support plunge in at 0.7150.

The MACD indicator had a dip confirming addition strength for the seller. RSI hovered around the neutral zone.

The price met a support within 0.7150 loss and stalled through 0.7100.

[Andrea ForexMart]

The rising concerns regarding France presidential elections and increasing rate hike expectations of the Fed scheduled in March caused the European currency to remain under the pressured area. Meanwhile, the Business Climate of Germany showed positive figures exceeding its expectations in spite of the bias forecast.

The common currency reversed few of its losses during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The EURUSD highlighted 1.0550 level but the selling pressure within EUR kept intact and drove the spot towards its fresh lows.

The rebounded the 1.0550 and declined to 1.0500 amid EU morning trades. The 4-hour chart showed that the 100-EMA tested the 200-EMA. While the 100 and 50-EMAs preserved a bearish sentiment and on the other hand, 200-EMA is neutral. The price extended its development under the moving averages. Resistance settled around 1.0550, support approached the 1.0500 area. MACD indicator softened which confirmed strength for the sellers. RSI consolidated near the negative territory.

A break under the mark 1.0500 will generate another lower support. A move below the handle 1.0500 would recover a bearish slope at 1.0450 region.

[Andrea ForexMart]

The EURUSD pair strengthened versus the sluggish U.S dollar. The greenbacks were kept below the pressured area during the mid-week of trading following the FOMC minutes and the comments made by Finance Minister Steven Mnuchin regarding tax reform.

The growth gained by the pair did not help the major and further hovered around the descending channel. The buyers lead the price towards its upper limit. The recovery sustained overnight tried to move in the underside of the 1.0600 hurdle during the morning trades of the EU session.

The upside of the pair lost its steam in searching for renewed offers within the level. Buyers attempted to make a gap on top of 1.0600 prior the opening of the New York trades. Moreover, the price surpassed the 50-EMA and continued to stay over the moving averages as outlined in the 4-hour chart. The 100-EMA carried a downward crossover through the 200-EMA. The 50 and 100-EMAs headed lower and the 200-EMA bounced along the neutral zone.
Resistance is at 1.0650 region, support settled in the 1.0600 mark. The MACD histogram acquired growth which signaled weak stance of the sellers. RSI is considered neutral.

A trend above the 1.0600 range indicates support buyers in sending the market through 1.0630 – 1.0650. Likewise, a return to the 1.0550 mark may open doors to move near 1.0500.

[Andrea ForexMart]

The British currency preserved a bid tone close to its recent highs. The sterling gained strength following the favorable results for the BBA Mortgage Approvals along with the USD retracement.

The GBPUSD lacks momentum and failed to touch resistance region 1.2600. The bulls stalled near the 1.2565 level due to failure in driving the spot upwards. The pair is confined in a tight range around 50 pips amid the European trades. A bout of renewed selling interest developed amid EU morning trades.

The Cable weakened versus the greenbacks moving near 1.2500 area. The GBP/USD bounced back from the 200-EMA and surpassed the 50 and 100-EMA higher viewed in the 4-hour chart. The GBP resumed its development over the moving averages. The 200 and 50-EMA directed higher while the 100-EMA preserved a bearish pattern indicated in the same chart. Resistance is set at 1.2600, support pierced the 1.2500 mark.

The MACD indicator increased which confirmed strength for the buyers. RSI weakened and descended.

Bullish sentiment would likely prevail. A trend on top of 1.2550 would restore the bullish tone through 1.2600 – 1.2650.

[Andrea ForexMart]

The Australian currency declined following the announcement made by the RBA Governor, Philip Lowe confirming that the Central Bank will not approve for an interest rate hike in the near future. Regardless of the positive trend in general, bulls were unable to climb higher.

Having posted its recent highs within the 0.7739 region, the price weakened and turned back towards 0.7700 where sustained a consolidated position throughout the night trades.
The increasing demand for the US dollar caused the Aussie to break under 0.7700 driving the AUD to 0.7650.

The 50-EMA was being tested by the price as indicated in the 4-hour chart. The 50, 100 and 200 moving averages moved upwards. Resistance is shown at 0.7700, support is found at 0.7650. MACD decreased indicating a sell signal. The RSI appeared to be neutral.

The AUDUSD pair is required to beef up and take a grasp into the 0.7700 level as a means of strength recovery. The recent weakness is regarded as corrective. There is a chance to buy the dips.

A break under 0.7650 will ease the movement of the upward pressure. A move on the underside of 0.7550 will neutralize the buying pressure and open possibility for further weakening.

[Andrea ForexMart]

The market saw a very dismal durable goods data reading while Trump continues to further delay his long-awaited tax cut policies, thereby contributing to the further dwindling of the value of the US dollar. As a reaction to this particular phenomenon, the EUR/USD pair was able to reach 1.0630 points in a matter of a few hours and seems poised to move further.

However, the US dollar suddenly reverted its losses for no apparent reason at all and this caused the EUR/USD to drop further to 1.0600 before settling at just over 1.0580 points. Some market analysts are crediting this sudden surge in the dollar’s value to Trump’s previous statements regarding the infrastructure increases, a favorite campaign topic of Trump during his candidacy. Previously, there have been rumors swirling around that this infrastructure policies would not come into effect until 2018, but since Trump has already re-discussed this particular proposal, the market has since then been speculating that the increase might be implemented within the year which could help in keeping the buoyancy of the market. The USD has been able to revert its losses as a result but the real determinant here would be the rate statement next month as well as the FOMC rates.

Now that the market is slowly shifting its focus from Trump’s policies towards the move of the Federal Reserve, it is highly likely that the market’s movements will be relying on the Fed’s decision on when they will be implementing the next rate hike.

There are no major releases coming from the eurozone today but the US will be releasing its consumer spending data as well as its Preliminary GDP data today which could bring in added volatility to the USD and affect the EUR/USD pair. The currency pair is expected to continue consolidating with bullish undertones for today.

[Andrea ForexMart]

The USD/CAD had a strong bullish trade during the previous session after the bulls were able to regain its dominance over this particular currency pair. The bulls had previously attempted last week to gain control over the pair after the release of a dismal retail sales data from the Canadian economy but was eventually unable to do so after the release of a very strong CPI data. The bulls had also attempted to break through yesterday but has failed from last week’s range highs.

The currency pair’s strong resistance and support barriers of 1.3060 and 1.3000 respectively has led the market to believe that the USD/CAD pair is in for some major uptrend and is evident of the importance of the support barrier with regards to the struggle between the pair’s bulls and bears. Since the bears have constantly failed to break through this pair, the pair’s bears are currently in full dominance of the USD/CAD. The USD/CAD was previously consolidating within the 1.3100 barrier but a surge in the value of the USD helped in boosting the currency pair following’s Trump’s statement that he will be adding up the country’s infrastructure spending. The pair eventually increased in value after oil prices somewhat dropped in value.

This drop in oil prices could cause trouble for the USD/CAD pair in the short and medium term since Canada is very reliant on oil prices. The pair’s bears could become seriously affected once the dollar strength and weak oil prices come together since this could trigger the pair to move significantly upwards.

There are no major news coming from the Canadian economy today but the pair could get some volatility from the US consumer confidence data and Preliminary GDP which will be released today. The USD/CAD could possibly consolidate within 1.3100-1.3200 points with a bullish undertone.

[Andrea ForexMart]

The GBP/USD took a heavy hitting during the previous session as the pair’s bulls were unable to create a continuously good run for the pair since every time a bounce in the pair manifests, the pair immediately drops as it is met with major selloffs. There are still overshadowing concerns with the currency pair since the Brexit process is still ongoing, and this ensures that the GBP/USD pair will be unable to go higher for quite some time.

The GBP/USD pair was hit even more harder yesterday after rumors that Scotland is currently planning to implement another referendum in their favor in order to discern whether it would still be beneficial for them to continue becoming part of the UK. If this happens, then this would be disastrous for the UK economy since other parts of the UK might also be encouraged to do the same. This is probably the worst that could happen to the UK, especially since Scotland had initially voted to remain part of the European Union but was outvoted by the majority of UK members. But then further confirmation of this particular rumor never happened, and this caused the GBP/USD pair to bounce back from 1.2400 and is currently trading at just under 1.2450 points.

There are no major news releases expected from the UK today but the US will be releasing its Preliminary GDP data and consumer confidence data. The currency pair would most likely remain under pressure for today, with the 1.2500 barrier presenting a possibly limit to any kind of uptrend in the pair.